Observation #9866

← Research Observations / #9866

🪙 ADA page 📊 Market Context

🪙 ADA

Market snapshot at

2026-09-30 22:00 UTC

T — snapshot anchor

Last closed 1h candle

21:00–22:00

features known as of T*

Outcome entry

22:05 UTC

T + 5 minutes

Record created

23:15 UTC

Historical computation

Price

$0.247290

Universe

Eligible

Vol 24h: $10,305,337

Synced: 09-30 23:00 +1h

← Prev (09-30 21:00) Next (09-30 23:00) →

* Subject to the verification of feature availability timestamps. Exchange: hyperliquid · Sampling: 1h

Chart · ADA — marker à observed_at

Market Regime

fresh

Primary biasbull

Phasebull_consolidation

Environmenttrend_consolidation

Participationbroad_risk_on

Leadershipalts

BTC bias 1Dbull

Breadth score0.7043

evaluated_at: 2026-09-30 21:46:10 · staleness: 14min

Funding (settled)

fresh

Rate0.001250%

Annualized10.95%

Premium-0.00012337

Settled at: 2026-09-30 22:00:00

staleness: 0s

Open Interest

fresh

OI (coin)162,085,794.00

OI (USD)$40,101,646

Mark price$0.247410

Funding next0.001250%

Day vol (USD)$10,196,474

Snapshot at: 2026-09-30 21:55:04

⚠️ funding_next = taux qui settlera à la prochaine heure, pas déjà appliqué.

staleness: 5min

Derivatives Features v1 ⓘ

fresh

📊 OI Dynamics quantity-space

Change 1h -0.040%

Change 4h -0.106%

Change 24h +3.172%

Z-score 7d -0.03

💰 Funding Context settled

Current 0.001250%

Avg 24h 0.000385%

Percentile 7d 97.0% top

Percentile 30d 97.2%

Δ 4h +0.000298%

🔀 Price × OI

↑↓ Price ↑ · OI ↓

Price Δ 4h +1.228%

Divergence 0.68

🧮 Participation / Crowding P1 primitives

OI / Vol 24h

3.895

OI / Vol z-7d

-0.52

OI momentum 4h

+0.551%

Funding +ratio 24h

64.0%

Sign streak

+16 crowded

Time: 2026-09-30 21:00:00 OI observed: 20:55:03 (5min ago) Funding at: 21:00 Coverage 30d: 100% (720 samples) OI samples 7d: 168 Funding interval: 1h

Market Contexts (4) ⓘ

TF	Status	Staleness	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Mom. score	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	RVOL	Vol %ile	Vol Trend	Vol Zone	POC ATR	LVN	VP ref	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à / Updated
1d #187616	fresh	2h	↑ up	range	range	moderate	grind	0.619	expansion	bull_high	65%	noisy_chop 40%	early 14b 0.7ATR	—	—	1.14	87%	↑ +0.47	above_value	-0.34	—	#101584	0.79	bull_high	+12.59%	+0.76	29/09 20:00 upd 30/09 20:21	↗
4h #187469	fresh	2h	↑ up	range	range	moderate	grind	0.564	expansion	bull_high	55%	noisy_chop 34%	early 2b -0.1ATR	near 0.4ATR	near 0.1ATR	0.27	19%	↑ +0.17	above_value	-0.34	—	#101584	0.70	bull_high	+1.53%	-0.21	30/09 16:00 upd 30/09 20:14	↗
1h anchor #188427	fresh	0s	↔ neutral	range	range	strong	balanced	0.634	normal	range_high	39%	noisy_chop 41%	early 6b 0.2ATR	near -0.1ATR	near 0.2ATR	0.18	14%	↓ -0.60	above_value	-0.18	—	#101970	0.68	range_medium	-0.32%	+0.05	30/09 21:00 upd 30/09 22:10	↗
15m #188352	fresh	0s	↔ neutral	range	range	strong	explosive	0.670	compression	range_medium	41%	noisy_chop 41%	early 2b 0.5ATR	near -0.3ATR	near -0.3ATR	1.53	46%	↓ -0.25	value	-0.41	—	#101815	0.80	range_low	-0.27%	+0.13	30/09 21:45 upd 30/09 22:02	↗
5m	—	—	Pas de snapshot

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + timeframe — c'est ce que Staleness mesure par rapport à observed_at.

Quality Scores (3) ⓘ

Base TF	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	Score	Momentum	Rank	Scored bucket	Created at
1h #168690	fresh	2026-09-30 21:00	0s	0.507	0.541	22/77	2026-09-30 22:00	2026-09-30 22:35
4h #168461	fresh	2026-09-30 16:00	2h	0.502	0.544	38/76	2026-09-30 20:00	2026-09-30 20:38
1d #168537	fresh	2026-09-29 20:00	2h	0.578	0.763	41/76	2026-09-30 20:00	2026-09-30 20:20

scored_at = bucket Laravel pour ranking cross-coin ; evaluated_at = timestamp de la dernière candle Python (canonique).

Volume Profiles (3) ⓘ

Window	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	POC	VAH	VAL	Zone	POC dist (ATR)	Value width (ATR)
24h #101892	fresh	2026-09-30 21:45	0s	$0.248183	$0.249673	$0.244360	hvn	-0.67	3.98
7d #101970	fresh	2026-09-30 21:00	0s	$0.247952	$0.254364	$0.242632	hvn	-0.18	3.27
30d #101661	fresh	2026-09-30 16:00	2h	$0.249536	$0.259270	$0.214682	hvn	-0.31	5.95

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée du rolling window. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + source TF.

LVN zones (window 24h — source TF 15m) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$0.241380 → $0.242417	0.43%	0.78	0.75	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.004873	+3.65
below	$0.253043 → $0.253820	0.31%	0.58	0.65	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.005753	-4.31
below	$0.254986 → $0.256930	0.76%	1.46	0.85	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.007696	-5.76

Prix observé : $0.247290. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 24h (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 7d — source TF 1h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$0.232810 → $0.234720	0.82%	0.53	0.88	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.012570	+3.50
below	$0.259275 → $0.265550	2.39%	1.75	0.93	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.011985	-3.34

Prix observé : $0.247290. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 7d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 30d — source TF 4h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$0.231010 → $0.239174	3.47%	1.09	0.53	reversion	✓	↑ $0.008116	+1.08
below	$0.258642 → $0.265550	2.64%	0.92	0.82	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.011352	-1.52

Prix observé : $0.247290. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 30d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

Outcomes (5 horizons) ⓘ

Horizon	Status	Entry	Window end	Close ret	in ATR	Max up ATR	Max down ATR	Time to high	Time to low	First extreme	Dir. eff.	Excess vs BTC	BTC ret	Real. vol	Real. range	Volume	FT up 1/2 ATR	FT down 1/2 ATR	Ambig.	Coverage
15m	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
4h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
12h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1d	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—

Entry = observed_at + 5min (policy next_5m_open_plus_5min, versionnée). ATR référence = atr_1h_14 (Wilder, 1h fermées) et atr_1d_14. Excess vs BTC = close_return − btc_return (benchmark non-β-ajusté).

Debug — Raw resolutions JSON

{
    "market_regime": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-01T01:46:10+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 830,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "funding_rate": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-01T02:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "open_interest": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-01T01:55:04+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 296,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "derivatives_features": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-01T01:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    }
}