Observation #9971

← Research Observations / #9971

🪙 SPX page 📊 Market Context

🪙 SPX

Market snapshot at

2026-09-30 23:00 UTC

T — snapshot anchor

Last closed 1h candle

22:00–23:00

features known as of T*

Outcome entry

23:05 UTC

T + 5 minutes

Record created

00:15 UTC

Historical computation

Price

$0.450400

Universe

Eligible

Vol 24h: $1,346,156

Synced: 10-01 00:02 +1h

← Prev (09-30 22:00) Next (10-01 00:00) →

* Subject to the verification of feature availability timestamps. Exchange: hyperliquid · Sampling: 1h

Chart · SPX — marker à observed_at

Market Regime

fresh

Primary biasbull

Phasebull_consolidation

Environmenttrend_consolidation

Participationmixed_dispersion

Leadershipalts

BTC bias 1Dbull

Breadth score0.6021

evaluated_at: 2026-09-30 22:46:09 · staleness: 14min

Funding (settled)

fresh

Rate0.001250%

Annualized10.95%

Premium0.00017529

Settled at: 2026-09-30 23:00:00

staleness: 0s

Open Interest

fresh

OI (coin)18,193,676.60

OI (USD)$8,162,775

Mark price$0.448660

Funding next0.001250%

Day vol (USD)$1,345,286

Snapshot at: 2026-09-30 22:55:04

⚠️ funding_next = taux qui settlera à la prochaine heure, pas déjà appliqué.

staleness: 5min

Derivatives Features v1 ⓘ

fresh

📊 OI Dynamics quantity-space

Change 1h +0.007%

Change 4h -0.094%

Change 24h -0.736%

Z-score 7d 0.10

💰 Funding Context settled

Current 0.001250%

Avg 24h 0.001250%

Percentile 7d 55.4%

Percentile 30d 75.3%

Δ 4h 0.000000%

🔀 Price × OI

↑↓ Price ↑ · OI ↓

Price Δ 4h +1.673%

Divergence 0.80

🧮 Participation / Crowding P1 primitives

OI / Vol 24h

5.870

OI / Vol z-7d

0.76

OI momentum 4h

+0.437%

Funding +ratio 24h

100.0%

Sign streak

+1093 crowded

Time: 2026-09-30 22:00:00 OI observed: 21:55:04 (5min ago) Funding at: 22:00 Coverage 30d: 100% (720 samples) OI samples 7d: 168 Funding interval: 1h

Market Contexts (4) ⓘ

TF	Status	Staleness	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Mom. score	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	RVOL	Vol %ile	Vol Trend	Vol Zone	POC ATR	LVN	VP ref	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à / Updated
1d #187708	fresh	3h	↔ neutral	range	range	moderate	grind	0.550	compression	bull_high	46%	noisy_chop 39%	mid 26b -0.5ATR	—	—	0.53	46%	↑ +0.32	above_value	-0.13	—	#101609	0.73	bull_high	+12.59%	-0.90	29/09 20:00 upd 30/09 20:25	↗
4h #187546	fresh	3h	↔ neutral	transition	bearish_transition	moderate	grind	0.639	normal	bear_high	59%	noisy_chop 37%	early 11b 1.0ATR	—	near -0.3ATR	0.21	6%	↓ -0.15	above_value	-0.13	—	#101609	0.63	bull_high	+1.53%	+0.25	30/09 16:00 upd 30/09 20:18	↗
1h anchor #188846	fresh	0s	↔ neutral	range	range	moderate	balanced	0.507	expansion	bull_high	62%	noisy_chop 42%	mid 7b 1.4ATR	—	near 0.0ATR	0.39	21%	↓ -0.80	above_value	+0.50	—	#102152	0.59	range_medium	-0.36%	+0.53	30/09 22:00 upd 30/09 23:10	↗
15m #188770	fresh	0s	↑ up	range	bullish_transition	moderate	balanced	0.548	normal	bull_high	63%	noisy_chop 49%	late 2b 2.1ATR	—	near -2.4ATR	0.68	26%	↓ -0.26	above_value	-0.19	—	#101996	0.65	range_low	-0.27%	+0.33	30/09 22:45 upd 30/09 23:03	↗
5m	—	—	Pas de snapshot

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + timeframe — c'est ce que Staleness mesure par rapport à observed_at.

Quality Scores (3) ⓘ

Base TF	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	Score	Momentum	Rank	Scored bucket	Created at
1h #168793	fresh	2026-09-30 22:00	0s	0.625	0.753	10/77	2026-09-30 23:00	2026-09-30 23:36
4h #168486	fresh	2026-09-30 16:00	3h	0.517	0.474	31/76	2026-09-30 20:00	2026-09-30 20:38
1d #168562	fresh	2026-09-29 20:00	3h	0.368	0.403	75/76	2026-09-30 20:00	2026-09-30 20:21

scored_at = bucket Laravel pour ranking cross-coin ; evaluated_at = timestamp de la dernière candle Python (canonique).

Volume Profiles (3) ⓘ

Window	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	POC	VAH	VAL	Zone	POC dist (ATR)	Value width (ATR)
24h #102074	fresh	2026-09-30 22:45	0s	$0.424847	$0.441817	$0.422091	between	7.38	5.70
7d #102152	fresh	2026-09-30 22:00	0s	$0.446289	$0.458025	$0.419127	hvn	0.50	4.73
30d #101686	fresh	2026-09-30 16:00	3h	$0.494830	$0.543148	$0.430012	value	-3.21	6.88

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée du rolling window. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + source TF.

LVN zones (window 24h — source TF 15m) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$0.418030 → $0.422091	0.97%	1.17	0.65	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.028309	+8.17
above	$0.447038 → $0.449359	0.52%	0.67	0.28	reversion	—	↑ $0.001041	+0.30
below	$0.450809 → $0.452840	0.45%	0.59	0.81	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.000409	-0.12

Prix observé : $0.450400. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 24h (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 7d — source TF 1h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$0.392300 → $0.400348	2.03%	0.98	0.62	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.050052	+6.09
below	$0.462049 → $0.472780	2.30%	1.30	0.65	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.011649	-1.42

Prix observé : $0.450400. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 7d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 30d — source TF 4h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$0.392300 → $0.404085	2.96%	0.72	0.83	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.046315	+2.82
below	$0.616215 → $0.675140	9.13%	3.58	0.88	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.165815	-10.08

Prix observé : $0.450400. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 30d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

Outcomes (5 horizons) ⓘ

Horizon	Status	Entry	Window end	Close ret	in ATR	Max up ATR	Max down ATR	Time to high	Time to low	First extreme	Dir. eff.	Excess vs BTC	BTC ret	Real. vol	Real. range	Volume	FT up 1/2 ATR	FT down 1/2 ATR	Ambig.	Coverage
15m	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
4h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
12h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1d	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—

Entry = observed_at + 5min (policy next_5m_open_plus_5min, versionnée). ATR référence = atr_1h_14 (Wilder, 1h fermées) et atr_1d_14. Excess vs BTC = close_return − btc_return (benchmark non-β-ajusté).

Debug — Raw resolutions JSON

{
    "market_regime": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-01T02:46:09+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 831,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "funding_rate": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-01T03:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "open_interest": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-01T02:55:04+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 296,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "derivatives_features": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-01T02:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    }
}