Short Trade on XRP (BalanceBreakoutRegime)
With 835.73 XRP at 1.027$ per unit. Take profit: 1.0026 (2.33 %) & Stop Loss: 1.0361 (0.94 %)
10 Aug 2026 at 11:08:54
hyperliquid
XRP
SHORT
BalanceBreakoutRegime
hyperliquid
10 Aug 2026 11:08
→ 23:05
· 11 hours
Position
Entry 1.0265$
Qty 835.7291 XRP
Size 857.8759$ (margin 100$) (leverage 9)
Risk Setup
TP 1.0026 (+2.33%)
TP $ 19.97$
SL 1.0361 (-0.94%)
SL $ 8.02$
RR 2.49
Status
win
PnL
+1.24%
/ +10.61$
MAE -0.00%
MFE +2.12%
2.3R
expires
10 Aug 23:08
Exit
time_expired
V2 Shadow Analysis
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Quality Rank (id: 64679)
#35 / 49
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 10/08/2026 11:00
score du 10/08/2026 11:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.2682
Quality Score
0.5
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
76 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
1
OK
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
28.3M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
10/08 11:00
10/08 11:00
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank
#35 / 49
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
76 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
0
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+6
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
0.94 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#35 / 49
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
76 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+6
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
0.94 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
2/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 1.58×ATR |
| 4h | near | -1.71×ATR |
| 1d | near | -2.68×ATR |
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
0/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
Regime
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : range_low rules_regime_5m : bear_low Score : 1 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : range_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 10/08 11:00 Score : 0 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3) 09/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 10/08 08:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_medium (+1) 10/08 10:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -0.935%
(0.0096)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.711% | 0.8R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 12 |
| 2h | +0.974% | 1.0R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 24 |
| 4h | +1.033% | 1.1R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 48 |
| 8h | +2.124% | 2.3R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +2.124% | 2.3R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 144 |
| 24h | +3.452% | 3.7R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 288 |
computed 1 day ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 0.91
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | fading | compression | bear_high |
53%
|
noisy_chop 45% | mid | near -2.7ATR | — | 0.86 | bear_high | -2.50% | -0.66 | 09/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
57%
|
noisy_chop 37% | early | near -1.7ATR | — | 0.82 | range_medium | +0.52% | -0.05 | 10/08 08:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | balanced | volatile_reversal | bear_medium |
51%
|
noisy_chop 44% | early | — | near -0.5ATR | 0.71 | range_low | -0.02% | -0.03 | 10/08 10:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | early_expansion | bearish_transition | moderate | balanced | expansion | range_low |
43%
|
noisy_chop 40% | mid | — | near 0.3ATR | — | range_low | -0.32% | +0.03 | 10/08 10:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | 20b | — | 4.42×ATR | p73 | -1.177×ATR | p75 |
| 4h | ↓ down | early | 11b | — | 1.798×ATR | p0 | -0.933×ATR | p59 |
| 1h | ↑ up | early | 1b | — | 1.565×ATR | p9 | -0.324×ATR | p21 |
| 15m | ↑ up | mid | 3b | — | 3.401×ATR | p63 | +0.383×ATR | p24 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
BalanceBreakoutRegime - SELL
Indicators:
- long_trend: -1
- confidence: 0.7633
- reason: down_bo width=1.86×ATR dur=38b phase=fresh
- stop_price: 1.03607248
- tp_price: 1.00256881
- atr:
- score: 0.76332178721202
- expires_at: 2026-08-11T03:08:46.258027
- max_bars: 12
- max_bars_tf: 1h
- confidence_pre_ob: 0.76332178721202
Details
- 1H:
- 15m:
- 5m:
- btc_indicators ¸
- market_structures ¸
- market_structure_v2 ¸
- trend_analyzer_1h ¸
- orderbook_context
- obi_top5 : 0.0587
- obi_top10 : 0.0587
- micro_price : 1.02625642
- spread_pct : 0.009745
- mid_price : 1.02625
- bid_wall_price :
- bid_wall_size :
- bid_wall_dist_atr :
- ask_wall_price :
- ask_wall_size :
- ask_wall_dist_atr :
- snapshots_count : 5
- obi_top5_mean : 0.059
- obi_top5_std : 0.0006
- pressure_side : neutral
- collection_mode : ws_rolling
- collection_ms : 7022
- aggregation_tick : 0.01
- error : ¸
- strategy_details
- strategy : balance_breakout_regime_strict
- strategy_details
- balance_zone_top:
1.0404
- balance_zone_bottom:
1.0307
- balance_zone_mid:
1.03555
- balance_zone_start_time:
1786240800
- balance_zone_end_time:
1786374000
- balance_zone_width_atr:
1.8565
- balance_zone_duration_bars:
38
- balance_zone_quality: tight
- balance_zone_maturity: established
- balance_zone_confidence:
0.7633
- balance_zone_state: leaving_balance
- balance_zone_breakout_direction: down
- balance_zone_breakout_phase: fresh
- balance_zone_breakout_time:
1786363200
- balance_zone_breakout_price:
1.0307
- strategy_details
- balance_metrics_inside_close_ratio:
0.6316
- balance_metrics_bars_since_breakout:
3
- balance_metrics_distance_to_edge_atr:
0.8039
- balance_metrics_has_retested:
- balance_metrics_retest_count:
0
- balance_metrics_touch_upper:
9
- balance_metrics_touch_lower:
12
- regime : bear_high
- atr_entry : 0.00522476 ¸
Signal Details
duration_bars
38
inside_close_ratio
0.6316
bars_since_breakout
3
distance_to_edge_atr
0.8039
Signaux confirmants (22)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11:08 | 1.02650000 | 0% |
| 2 | 11:15 | 1.02650000 | 0% |
| 3 | 11:21 | 1.02440000 | -0.205% |
| 4 | 11:27 | 1.02440000 | -0.205% |
| 5 | 11:33 | 1.02440000 | -0.205% |
| 6 | 11:38 | 1.02280000 | -0.36% |
| 7 | 11:44 | 1.02280000 | -0.36% |
| 8 | 11:49 | 1.02200000 | -0.438% |
| 9 | 11:55 | 1.02200000 | -0.438% |
| 10 | 12:02 | 1.02200000 | -0.438% |
| 11 | 12:08 | 1.02460000 | -0.185% |
| 12 | 12:13 | 1.02460000 | -0.185% |
| 13 | 12:19 | 1.02100000 | -0.536% |
| 14 | 12:25 | 1.02100000 | -0.536% |
| 15 | 12:31 | 1.02100000 | -0.536% |
| 16 | 12:37 | 1.02070000 | -0.565% |
| 17 | 12:43 | 1.02070000 | -0.565% |
| 18 | 13:19 | 1.02180000 | -0.458% |
| 19 | 13:25 | 1.02180000 | -0.458% |
| 20 | 13:32 | 1.02180000 | -0.458% |
| 21 | 13:37 | 1.02190000 | -0.448% |
| 22 | 13:43 | 1.02190000 | -0.448% |
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
Orderbook Context
→ neutral
ws_rolling
5 snapshots
7022ms
Confidence avant OB :
76%
→
76%
Order Book Imbalance
OBI Top 5
0.059
avg 0.059
± 0.001
OBI Top 10
0.059
Microstructure
Mid Price
1.0263
Micro Price
1.0263
Spread
0.0097%
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.0265 | 1.0361 | 1.0026 | 2.49 | 1.0066 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 1.0265
- Stop Loss: 1.0361
- Take Profit: 1.0026
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 1.0361 - 1.0265 = 0.0096000000000001
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 1.0265 - 1.0026 = 0.0239
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0239 / 0.0096000000000001 = 2.4896
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 857.8759 | 100 | 835.7291 | 9.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss 0.0096000000000001
Taille de position = 8 / 0.0096000000000001 = 833.33
Taille de position USD = 833.33 x 1.0265 = 855.41
Donc, tu peux acheter 833.33 avec un stoploss a 1.0361
Avec un position size USD de 855.41$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 833.33 x 0.0096000000000001 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 833.33 x 0.0239 = 19.92
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 19.92$
Résumé
- Taille de position 833.33
- Taille de position USD 855.41
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 19.92
- Risk-Reward Ratio 2.4896
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.33 % | 19.97 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.94 % | 8.02 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 10.61 $ | 1.24 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| 0 % | 0 % | 1 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.0265 | 1.0361 | 1.0026 | 2.49 | 1.0066 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 1.0265
- Stop Loss: 1.0361
- Take Profit: 1.0026
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 1.0361 - 1.0265 = 0.0096000000000001
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 1.0265 - 1.0026 = 0.0239
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0239 / 0.0096000000000001 = 2.4896
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -0.935%
(0.0096)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.711% | 0.8R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 12 |
| 2h | +0.974% | 1.0R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 24 |
| 4h | +1.033% | 1.1R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 48 |
| 8h | +2.124% | 2.3R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +2.124% | 2.3R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 144 |
| 24h | +3.452% | 3.7R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 288 |
computed 1 day ago
Commentaires
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