Short Trade on AAVE (BalanceBreakoutRegime)
With 7.85 AAVE at 90.496$ per unit. Take profit: 87.9489 (2.81 %) & Stop Loss: 91.5148 (1.13 %)
10 Aug 2026 at 11:09:08
hyperliquid
AAVE
SHORT
BalanceBreakoutRegime
hyperliquid
10 Aug 2026 11:09
→ 23:05
· 11 hours
Position
Entry 90.496$
Qty 7.852 AAVE
Size 710.5754$ (margin 100$) (leverage 7)
Risk Setup
TP 87.9489 (+2.81%)
TP $ 20$
SL 91.5148 (-1.13%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2.5
Status
win
PnL
+1.38%
/ +9.82$
MAE -0.00%
MFE +1.93%
1.7R
expires
10 Aug 23:09
Exit
time_expired
V2 Shadow Analysis
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Quality Rank (id: 64680)
#24 / 49
OUT
seuil : top 15
score du 10/08/2026 11:00
score du 10/08/2026 11:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.2957
Quality Score
0.5
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
69 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
1
OK
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
3.7M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
10/08 11:00
10/08 11:00
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank
#24 / 49
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
69 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
0
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+2
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+2
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
1.13 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#24 / 49
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
69 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+2
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
1.13 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
2/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | -0.26×ATR |
| 4h | clear | 0.70×ATR |
| 1d | near | -0.87×ATR |
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
0/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | early | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
Regime
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : range_low rules_regime_5m : bear_low Score : 1 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : range_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 10/08 11:00 Score : 0 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) 09/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 10/08 08:00 Tactical (1H) : range_medium (0) 10/08 10:00 Score : +2 / ±6 |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -1.126%
(1.0188)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.059% | 0.9R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 12 |
| 2h | +1.775% | 1.6R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 24 |
| 4h | +1.775% | 1.6R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 48 |
| 8h | +1.775% | 1.6R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +1.932% | 1.7R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 144 |
| 24h | +3.724% | 3.3R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 288 |
computed 1 day ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 0.69
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | range_high |
36%
|
noisy_chop 35% | early | near -0.9ATR | — | 0.71 | bear_high | -2.50% | -0.22 | 09/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
59%
|
noisy_chop 37% | early | — | near -0.3ATR | 0.45 | range_medium | +0.52% | +0.05 | 10/08 08:00 |
| 1h | ↔ neutral | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | balanced | expansion | range_medium |
37%
|
noisy_chop 43% | mid | near -0.3ATR | — | 0.54 | range_low | -0.02% | +0.04 | 10/08 10:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | range | range | strong | explosive | normal | range_low |
39%
|
noisy_chop 39% | mid | — | — | — | range_low | -0.32% | -0.01 | 10/08 10:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | early | 14b | — | 2.585×ATR | p0 | -0.136×ATR | p11 |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | 25b | — | 2.952×ATR | p31 | +0.16×ATR | p12 |
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | 7b | — | 3.128×ATR | p72 | -0.749×ATR | p49 |
| 15m | ↓ down | mid | 10b | — | 2.237×ATR | p17 | -1.081×ATR | p61 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
BalanceBreakoutRegime - SELL
Indicators:
- long_trend: -1
- confidence: 0.6897
- reason: down_bo width=1.74×ATR dur=37b phase=fresh|ob:bid_pressure(-0.10)
- stop_price: 91.51484754
- tp_price: 87.94888114
- atr:
- score: 0.78971558149225
- expires_at: 2026-08-11T03:09:01.195148
- max_bars: 12
- max_bars_tf: 1h
- confidence_pre_ob: 0.78971558149225
Details
- 1H:
- 15m:
- 5m:
- btc_indicators ¸
- market_structures ¸
- market_structure_v2 ¸
- trend_analyzer_1h ¸
- orderbook_context
- obi_top5 : 0.2516
- obi_top10 : 0.3038
- micro_price : 90.40449438
- spread_pct : 0.011062
- mid_price : 90.405
- bid_wall_price : 89.3
- bid_wall_size : 2757
- bid_wall_dist_atr :
- ask_wall_price : 91.6
- ask_wall_size : 3010.88
- ask_wall_dist_atr :
- snapshots_count : 5
- obi_top5_mean : 0.2437
- obi_top5_std : 0.0155
- pressure_side : bid
- collection_mode : ws_rolling
- collection_ms : 6958
- aggregation_tick : 0.1
- error : ¸
- strategy_details
- strategy : balance_breakout_regime_strict
- strategy_details
- balance_zone_top:
92.012
- balance_zone_bottom:
90.8885
- balance_zone_mid:
91.45025
- balance_zone_start_time:
1786244400
- balance_zone_end_time:
1786374000
- balance_zone_width_atr:
1.7392
- balance_zone_duration_bars:
37
- balance_zone_quality: tight
- balance_zone_maturity: established
- balance_zone_confidence:
0.7897
- balance_zone_state: leaving_balance
- balance_zone_breakout_direction: down
- balance_zone_breakout_phase: fresh
- balance_zone_breakout_time:
1786370400
- balance_zone_breakout_price:
90.8885
- strategy_details
- balance_metrics_inside_close_ratio:
0.7568
- balance_metrics_bars_since_breakout:
1
- balance_metrics_distance_to_edge_atr:
0.6076
- balance_metrics_has_retested:
- balance_metrics_retest_count:
0
- balance_metrics_touch_upper:
7
- balance_metrics_touch_lower:
10
- regime : bear_high
- atr_entry : 0.64597544 ¸
Signal Details
duration_bars
37
inside_close_ratio
0.7568
bars_since_breakout
1
distance_to_edge_atr
0.6076
Signaux confirmants (18)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11:09 | 90.49600000 | 0% |
| 2 | 11:15 | 90.49600000 | 0% |
| 3 | 11:21 | 90.06700000 | -0.474% |
| 4 | 11:27 | 90.06700000 | -0.474% |
| 5 | 11:33 | 90.06700000 | -0.474% |
| 6 | 11:50 | 90.01700000 | -0.529% |
| 7 | 11:55 | 90.01700000 | -0.529% |
| 8 | 12:02 | 90.01700000 | -0.529% |
| 9 | 12:08 | 89.99500000 | -0.554% |
| 10 | 12:14 | 89.99500000 | -0.554% |
| 11 | 12:19 | 89.95600000 | -0.597% |
| 12 | 12:25 | 89.95600000 | -0.597% |
| 13 | 12:32 | 89.95600000 | -0.597% |
| 14 | 13:37 | 89.86200000 | -0.701% |
| 15 | 13:43 | 89.86200000 | -0.701% |
| 16 | 15:49 | 89.95400000 | -0.599% |
| 17 | 15:55 | 89.95400000 | -0.599% |
| 18 | 16:02 | 89.95400000 | -0.599% |
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
Orderbook Context
↑ bid
ws_rolling
5 snapshots
6958ms
Confidence avant OB :
79%
→
69%
Order Book Imbalance
OBI Top 5
0.252
avg 0.244
± 0.016
OBI Top 10
0.304
Microstructure
Mid Price
90.4050
Micro Price
90.4045
Spread
0.0111%
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
Price
89.3000
Size
2,757.00
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
Price
91.6000
Size
3,010.88
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 90.496 | 91.5148 | 87.9489 | 2.5 | 87.841 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 90.496
- Stop Loss: 91.5148
- Take Profit: 87.9489
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 91.5148 - 90.496 = 1.0188
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 90.496 - 87.9489 = 2.5471
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 2.5471 / 1.0188 = 2.5001
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 710.5754 | 100 | 7.852 | 7.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss 1.0188
Taille de position = 8 / 1.0188 = 7.85
Taille de position USD = 7.85 x 90.496 = 710.39
Donc, tu peux acheter 7.85 avec un stoploss a 91.5148
Avec un position size USD de 710.39$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 7.85 x 1.0188 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 7.85 x 2.5471 = 19.99
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 19.99$
Résumé
- Taille de position 7.85
- Taille de position USD 710.39
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 19.99
- Risk-Reward Ratio 2.5001
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.81 % | 20 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.13 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 9.82 $ | 1.38 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| 0 % | 0 % | 0 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 90.496 | 91.5148 | 87.9489 | 2.5 | 87.841 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 90.496
- Stop Loss: 91.5148
- Take Profit: 87.9489
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 91.5148 - 90.496 = 1.0188
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 90.496 - 87.9489 = 2.5471
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 2.5471 / 1.0188 = 2.5001
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -1.126%
(1.0188)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.059% | 0.9R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 12 |
| 2h | +1.775% | 1.6R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 24 |
| 4h | +1.775% | 1.6R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 48 |
| 8h | +1.775% | 1.6R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +1.932% | 1.7R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 144 |
| 24h | +3.724% | 3.3R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 288 |
computed 1 day ago
Commentaires
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