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Short Trade on DOT

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10 Aug 2026 at 12:14:35 hyperliquid

Short Trade on DOT (BalanceBreakoutRegime)

With 1255.86 DOT at 0.803$ per unit. Take profit: 0.787 (1.98 %) & Stop Loss: 0.8093 (0.8 %)

DOT SHORT BalanceBreakoutRegime hyperliquid 10 Aug 2026 12:14 → 17:35 · 5 hours

Position

Entry 0.8029$

Qty 1255.8633 DOT

Size 1008.3578$ (margin 100$) (leverage 10)

Risk Setup

TP 0.787 (+1.98%)

TP $ 19.97$

SL 0.8093 (-0.8%)

SL $ 8.04$

RR 2.48

Status loss PnL -0.80% / -8.04$ MAE -1.20% MFE +0.50% 0.6R expires 11 Aug 00:14

V2 Shadow Analysis

Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?

Quality Rank (id: 64733)
#31 / 52 OUT
seuil : top 15
score du 10/08/2026 12:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.6169

Quality Score
0.5
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
86 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
3 OK
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
2.1M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
10/08 12:00

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank
#31 / 52 OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
86 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+1
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+4
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+5 OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
0.80 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#31 / 52 OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
86 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+5 OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
0.80 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
0/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Demand Distance (ATR)
1h clear 1.66×ATR
4h clear 5.60×ATR
1d clear 1.75×ATR
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
0/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↓ down mid OK
4h ↑ up early OK
1d ↑ up early OK
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

Regime

BTC Market Regime BTC Market Regime V2

ml_regime : bear_low_vol

rules_regime : bear_low_confirmed

rules_regime_5m : bear_low

Score : 3

ml_regime : bear_high

Strategic (1D) : range_high (0)

Operational (4H) : range_medium (0)

Tactical (1H) : bear_low_confirmed (+1)

10/08 12:00

Score : +1

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3)

09/08 20:00

Operational (4H) : range_high (0)

10/08 08:00

Tactical (1H) : bear_medium (+1)

10/08 11:00

Score : +4 / ±6

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★ 12h) Initial Risk: -0.797% (0.0064)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.504% 0.6R -0.338% 0.4R 1.5× 12
2h +0.504% 0.6R -0.533% 0.7R 1.0× 24
4h +0.504% 0.6R -0.776% 1.0R 0.7× 48
8h +0.504% 0.6R -0.964% 1.2R 0.5× 96
12h ★ +0.504% 0.6R -1.204% 1.5R 0.4× 144
24h +3.157% 4.0R -1.204% 1.5R 2.6× 288

computed 2 days ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 1.22
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↓ down transition bearish_transition moderate fading compression bear_high
60%
noisy_chop 42% early — — 0.66 bear_high -2.50% -0.20 09/08 20:00
4h ↔ neutral range bearish_transition moderate grind normal range_high
35%
noisy_chop 37% early — near -0.3ATR 0.68 range_medium +0.49% -0.08 10/08 08:00
1h ↔ neutral transition bullish_transition moderate balanced volatile_reversal bear_medium
49%
noisy_chop 43% mid — — 0.45 range_low -0.74% +0.09 10/08 11:00
15m ↔ neutral transition bullish_transition strong explosive expansion_after_compression range_low
40%
noisy_chop 38% late near 0.3ATR — — bear_low_confirmed -0.99% +0.07 10/08 11:30
5m —

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↑ up early 10b — 2.233×ATR p0 -0.096×ATR p4
4h ↑ up early 4b — 1.707×ATR p0 +0.12×ATR p7
1h ↓ down mid 2b — 2.917×ATR p67 -0.647×ATR p36
15m ↓ down late 9b — 5.011×ATR p82 -1.833×ATR p80

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

BalanceBreakoutRegime - SELL

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. confidence: 0.8616
  3. reason: down_bo width=1.55×ATR dur=36b phase=fresh|ob:ask_pressure(+0.07)
  4. stop_price: 0.80929012
  5. tp_price: 0.78699471
  6. atr:
  7. score: 0.79163854914495
  8. expires_at: 2026-08-11T04:14:27.639970
  9. max_bars: 12
  10. max_bars_tf: 1h
  11. confidence_pre_ob: 0.79163854914495
Details
  1. 1H:
  2. 15m:
  3. 5m:
  4. btc_indicators
    5. ¸
  5. market_structures
    6. ¸
  6. market_structure_v2
    7. ¸
  7. trend_analyzer_1h
    8. ¸
  8. orderbook_context
  9. obi_top5 : -0.1939
  10. obi_top10 : -0.0902
  11. micro_price : 0.80413808
  12. spread_pct : 0.124378
  13. mid_price : 0.8045
  14. bid_wall_price :
  15. bid_wall_size :
  16. bid_wall_dist_atr :
  17. ask_wall_price :
  18. ask_wall_size :
  19. ask_wall_dist_atr :
  20. snapshots_count : 5
  21. obi_top5_mean : -0.1854
  22. obi_top5_std : 0.0079
  23. pressure_side : ask
  24. collection_mode : ws_rolling
  25. collection_ms : 7056
  26. aggregation_tick : 0.001
  27. error :
    28. ¸
  28. strategy_details
  29. strategy : balance_breakout_regime_strict
  30. strategy_details
  31. balance_zone_top: 
    0.81315
  32. balance_zone_bottom: 
    0.80429
  33. balance_zone_mid: 
    0.80872
  34. balance_zone_start_time: 
    1786251600
  35. balance_zone_end_time: 
    1786377600
  36. balance_zone_width_atr: 
    1.5541
  37. balance_zone_duration_bars: 
    36
  38. balance_zone_quality: tight
  39. balance_zone_maturity: established
  40. balance_zone_confidence: 
    0.7916
  41. balance_zone_state: leaving_balance
  42. balance_zone_breakout_direction: down
  43. balance_zone_breakout_phase: fresh
  44. balance_zone_breakout_time: 
    1786374000
  45. balance_zone_breakout_price: 
    0.80429
  46. strategy_details
  47. balance_metrics_inside_close_ratio: 
    0.7222
  48. balance_metrics_bars_since_breakout: 
    1
  49. balance_metrics_distance_to_edge_atr: 
    0.2403
  50. balance_metrics_has_retested: 
    1
  51. balance_metrics_retest_count: 
    1
  52. balance_metrics_touch_upper: 
    8
  53. balance_metrics_touch_lower: 
    8
  54. regime : bear_high
  55. atr_entry : 0.00570115
    56. ¸

Signal Details

duration_bars
36
inside_close_ratio
0.7222
bars_since_breakout
1
distance_to_edge_atr
0.2403

Signaux confirmants (13)

# Heure Entry Δ
1 12:14 0.80292000 +0.002%
2 12:38 0.80167000 -0.153%
3 12:44 0.80167000 -0.153%
4 12:50 0.79999000 -0.362%
5 12:55 0.79999000 -0.362%
6 13:03 0.79999000 -0.362%
7 13:08 0.79919000 -0.462%
8 13:14 0.79919000 -0.462%
9 13:20 0.80192000 -0.122%
10 13:26 0.80192000 -0.122%
11 13:32 0.80192000 -0.122%
12 15:08 0.80198000 -0.115%
13 15:14 0.80198000 -0.115%

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

Orderbook Context

↓ ask ws_rolling 5 snapshots 7056ms Confidence avant OB : 79% → 86%

Order Book Imbalance

OBI Top 5 -0.194
avg -0.185 ± 0.008
OBI Top 10 -0.090

Microstructure

Mid Price
0.8045
Micro Price
0.8041
Spread
0.1244%

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.8029 0.8093 0.787 2.48 0.756
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.8029
  • Stop Loss: 0.8093
  • Take Profit: 0.787

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.8093 - 0.8029 = 0.0064000000000001

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.8029 - 0.787 = 0.0159

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0159 / 0.0064000000000001 = 2.4844

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
1008.3578 100 1255.8633 10.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.0064000000000001

Taille de position = 8 / 0.0064000000000001 = 1250

Taille de position USD = 1250 x 0.8029 = 1003.63

Donc, tu peux acheter 1250 avec un stoploss a 0.8093

Avec un position size USD de 1003.63$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 1250 x 0.0064000000000001 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 1250 x 0.0159 = 19.87

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 19.87$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 1250
  • Taille de position USD 1003.63
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 19.87
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2.4844

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
1.98 % 19.97 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.8 % 8.04 $
PNL PNL %
-8.04 $ -0.80
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.8992 % 112.81 % 8
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.8029 0.8093 0.787 2.48 0.756
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.8029
  • Stop Loss: 0.8093
  • Take Profit: 0.787

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.8093 - 0.8029 = 0.0064000000000001

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.8029 - 0.787 = 0.0159

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0159 / 0.0064000000000001 = 2.4844

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.787
            [entry_price] => 0.8029
            [stop_loss] => 0.80994
            [rr_ratio] => 2.26
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2026-08-10 21:35:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.787
            [entry_price] => 0.8029
            [stop_loss] => 0.81058
            [rr_ratio] => 2.07
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2026-08-10 21:45:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★ 12h) Initial Risk: -0.797% (0.0064)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.504% 0.6R -0.338% 0.4R 1.5× 12
2h +0.504% 0.6R -0.533% 0.7R 1.0× 24
4h +0.504% 0.6R -0.776% 1.0R 0.7× 48
8h +0.504% 0.6R -0.964% 1.2R 0.5× 96
12h ★ +0.504% 0.6R -1.204% 1.5R 0.4× 144
24h +3.157% 4.0R -1.204% 1.5R 2.6× 288

computed 2 days ago

Commentaires

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