Short Trade on ONDO (BalanceBreakoutRegime)
With 1784.24 ONDO at 0.347$ per unit. Take profit: 0.3354 (3.23 %) & Stop Loss: 0.351 (1.27 %)
10 Aug 2026 at 12:39:15
hyperliquid
ONDO
SHORT
BalanceBreakoutRegime
hyperliquid
10 Aug 2026 12:39
→ 00:35
· 11 hours
Position
Entry 0.3466$
Qty 1784.2407 ONDO
Size 618.3465$ (margin 100$) (leverage 6)
Risk Setup
TP 0.3354 (+3.23%)
TP $ 19.98$
SL 0.351 (-1.27%)
SL $ 7.85$
RR 2.55
Status
win
PnL
+2.19%
/ +13.56$
MAE -0.38%
MFE +3.05%
2.4R
expires
11 Aug 00:39
Exit
time_expired
V2 Shadow Analysis
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Quality Rank (id: 64742)
#23 / 52
OUT
seuil : top 15
score du 10/08/2026 12:00
score du 10/08/2026 12:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.1510
Quality Score
0.6
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
83 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
3
OK
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
3.7M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
10/08 12:31
10/08 12:31
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank
#23 / 52
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
83 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+1
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+3
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+4
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
1.27 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#23 / 52
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
83 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+4
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
1.27 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
0/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | — |
| 4h | clear | 1.16×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 1.16×ATR |
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
0/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | early | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
Regime
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bear_low_vol rules_regime : bear_low rules_regime_5m : bear_low Score : 3 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : range_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : bear_low_confirmed (+1) 10/08 12:00 Score : +1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) 09/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 10/08 12:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 10/08 12:00 Score : +3 / ±6 |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -1.270%
(0.0044)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.874% | 0.7R | -0.381% | 0.3R | 2.3× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.183% | 0.9R | -0.381% | 0.3R | 3.1× | 24 |
| 4h | +1.183% | 0.9R | -0.381% | 0.3R | 3.1× | 48 |
| 8h | +3.047% | 2.4R | -0.381% | 0.3R | 8.0× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +3.047% | 2.4R | -0.381% | 0.3R | 8.0× | 144 |
| 24h | +4.530% | 3.6R | -0.381% | 0.3R | 11.9× | 288 |
computed 2 days ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 5.45
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | fading | compression | range_high |
31%
|
noisy_chop 38% | early | — | — | 0.63 | bear_high | -2.50% | -0.80 | 09/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | fading | compression | bear_high |
60%
|
noisy_chop 39% | mid | — | — | 0.54 | range_medium | -0.04% | -0.04 | 10/08 12:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | early_expansion | bearish_transition | moderate | balanced | expansion_after_compression | bear_high |
64%
|
noisy_chop 45% | early | — | near 0.2ATR | 0.62 | bear_low_confirmed | -0.91% | -0.15 | 10/08 12:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | strong | explosive | volatile_reversal | bear_medium |
56%
|
noisy_chop 47% | early | — | — | 0.58 | bear_low_confirmed | -1.26% | +0.01 | 10/08 12:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | early | 11b | — | 3.702×ATR | p44 | -0.803×ATR | p52 |
| 4h | ↓ down | mid | 12b | — | 1.865×ATR | p0 | -0.989×ATR | p60 |
| 1h | ↑ up | early | 1b | — | 1.67×ATR | p6 | -0.824×ATR | p46 |
| 15m | ↑ up | early | 6b | — | 2.77×ATR | p48 | -0.839×ATR | p47 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
BalanceBreakoutRegime - SELL
Indicators:
- long_trend: -1
- confidence: 0.8312
- reason: down_bo width=2.27×ATR dur=36b phase=fresh
- stop_price: 0.3510437
- tp_price: 0.33535075
- atr:
- score: 0.83116422818068
- expires_at: 2026-08-11T04:39:07.611423
- max_bars: 12
- max_bars_tf: 1h
- confidence_pre_ob: 0.83116422818068
Details
- 1H:
- 15m:
- 5m:
- btc_indicators ¸
- market_structures ¸
- market_structure_v2 ¸
- trend_analyzer_1h ¸
- orderbook_context
- obi_top5 : 0.1186
- obi_top10 : 0.0617
- micro_price : 0.34759451
- spread_pct : 0.028777
- mid_price : 0.34755
- bid_wall_price : 0.346
- bid_wall_size : 1382948.98
- bid_wall_dist_atr :
- ask_wall_price : 0.348
- ask_wall_size : 1672260.88
- ask_wall_dist_atr :
- snapshots_count : 5
- obi_top5_mean : 0.1096
- obi_top5_std : 0.0224
- pressure_side : neutral
- collection_mode : ws_rolling
- collection_ms : 6977
- aggregation_tick : 0.001
- error : ¸
- strategy_details
- strategy : balance_breakout_regime_strict
- strategy_details
- balance_zone_top:
0.35444
- balance_zone_bottom:
0.34699
- balance_zone_mid:
0.350715
- balance_zone_start_time:
1786251600
- balance_zone_end_time:
1786377600
- balance_zone_width_atr:
2.2665
- balance_zone_duration_bars:
36
- balance_zone_quality: tight
- balance_zone_maturity: established
- balance_zone_confidence:
0.8312
- balance_zone_state: leaving_balance
- balance_zone_breakout_direction: down
- balance_zone_breakout_phase: fresh
- balance_zone_breakout_time:
1786370400
- balance_zone_breakout_price:
0.34699
- strategy_details
- balance_metrics_inside_close_ratio:
0.8611
- balance_metrics_bars_since_breakout:
2
- balance_metrics_distance_to_edge_atr:
0.1308
- balance_metrics_has_retested:
- balance_metrics_retest_count:
0
- balance_metrics_touch_upper:
7
- balance_metrics_touch_lower:
11
- regime : bear_high
- atr_entry : 0.00328699 ¸
Signal Details
duration_bars
36
inside_close_ratio
0.8611
bars_since_breakout
2
distance_to_edge_atr
0.1308
Signaux confirmants (37)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12:39 | 0.34656000 | -0.012% |
| 2 | 12:45 | 0.34656000 | -0.012% |
| 3 | 12:51 | 0.34554000 | -0.306% |
| 4 | 12:56 | 0.34554000 | -0.306% |
| 5 | 13:04 | 0.34554000 | -0.306% |
| 6 | 13:09 | 0.34391000 | -0.776% |
| 7 | 13:15 | 0.34391000 | -0.776% |
| 8 | 13:21 | 0.34589000 | -0.205% |
| 9 | 13:27 | 0.34589000 | -0.205% |
| 10 | 13:33 | 0.34589000 | -0.205% |
| 11 | 13:39 | 0.34684000 | +0.069% |
| 12 | 13:45 | 0.34684000 | +0.069% |
| 13 | 13:50 | 0.34528000 | -0.381% |
| 14 | 13:56 | 0.34528000 | -0.381% |
| 15 | 14:04 | 0.34528000 | -0.381% |
| 16 | 14:09 | 0.34427000 | -0.672% |
| 17 | 14:15 | 0.34427000 | -0.672% |
| 18 | 14:20 | 0.34446000 | -0.617% |
| 19 | 14:26 | 0.34446000 | -0.617% |
| 20 | 14:33 | 0.34446000 | -0.617% |
| 21 | 14:38 | 0.34362000 | -0.86% |
| 22 | 14:44 | 0.34362000 | -0.86% |
| 23 | 14:50 | 0.34383000 | -0.799% |
| 24 | 14:56 | 0.34383000 | -0.799% |
| 25 | 15:04 | 0.34383000 | -0.799% |
| 26 | 15:09 | 0.34502000 | -0.456% |
| 27 | 15:14 | 0.34502000 | -0.456% |
| 28 | 15:20 | 0.34538000 | -0.352% |
| 29 | 15:26 | 0.34538000 | -0.352% |
| 30 | 15:33 | 0.34538000 | -0.352% |
| 31 | 15:38 | 0.34635000 | -0.072% |
| 32 | 15:44 | 0.34635000 | -0.072% |
| 33 | 15:50 | 0.34545000 | -0.332% |
| 34 | 15:56 | 0.34545000 | -0.332% |
| 35 | 16:04 | 0.34545000 | -0.332% |
| 36 | 17:09 | 0.34487000 | -0.499% |
| 37 | 17:15 | 0.34487000 | -0.499% |
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
Orderbook Context
→ neutral
ws_rolling
5 snapshots
6977ms
Confidence avant OB :
83%
→
83%
Order Book Imbalance
OBI Top 5
0.119
avg 0.110
± 0.022
OBI Top 10
0.062
Microstructure
Mid Price
0.3476
Micro Price
0.3476
Spread
0.0288%
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
Price
0.3460
Size
1,382,948.98
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
Price
0.3480
Size
1,672,260.88
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.3466 | 0.351 | 0.3354 | 2.55 | 0.3235 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.3466
- Stop Loss: 0.351
- Take Profit: 0.3354
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.351 - 0.3466 = 0.0044
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.3466 - 0.3354 = 0.0112
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0112 / 0.0044 = 2.5455
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 618.3465 | 100 | 1784.2407 | 6.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss 0.0044
Taille de position = 8 / 0.0044 = 1818.18
Taille de position USD = 1818.18 x 0.3466 = 630.18
Donc, tu peux acheter 1818.18 avec un stoploss a 0.351
Avec un position size USD de 630.18$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 1818.18 x 0.0044 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 1818.18 x 0.0112 = 20.36
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 20.36$
Résumé
- Taille de position 1818.18
- Taille de position USD 630.18
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 20.36
- Risk-Reward Ratio 2.5455
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 3.23 % | 19.98 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.27 % | 7.85 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 13.56 $ | 2.19 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.3808 % | 30 % | 3 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.3466 | 0.351 | 0.3354 | 2.55 | 0.3235 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.3466
- Stop Loss: 0.351
- Take Profit: 0.3354
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.351 - 0.3466 = 0.0044
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.3466 - 0.3354 = 0.0112
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0112 / 0.0044 = 2.5455
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -1.270%
(0.0044)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.874% | 0.7R | -0.381% | 0.3R | 2.3× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.183% | 0.9R | -0.381% | 0.3R | 3.1× | 24 |
| 4h | +1.183% | 0.9R | -0.381% | 0.3R | 3.1× | 48 |
| 8h | +3.047% | 2.4R | -0.381% | 0.3R | 8.0× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +3.047% | 2.4R | -0.381% | 0.3R | 8.0× | 144 |
| 24h | +4.530% | 3.6R | -0.381% | 0.3R | 11.9× | 288 |
computed 2 days ago
Commentaires
Aucun commentaire.