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Long Trade on PENGU

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10 Aug 2026 at 16:10:04 hyperliquid

Long Trade on PENGU (momentum_rotation_v2)

With 35618.88 PENGU at 0.00667$ per unit. Take profit: 0.006838 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 0.006446 (3.37 %)

PENGU LONG momentum_rotation_v2 hyperliquid 10 Aug 2026 16:10 → 22:05 · 5 hours

Position

Entry 0.006671$

Qty 35618.878 PENGU

Size 237.6135$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)

Risk Setup

TP 0.006838 (+2.5%)

TP $ 5.95$

SL 0.006446 (-3.37%)

SL $ 8.01$

RR 0.74

Status loss PnL -2.46% / -5.84$ MAE -3.24% MFE +0.63% 0.2R expires 10 Aug 22:10 Exit time_expired

V2 Shadow Analysis

Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?

Quality Rank (id: 64962)
#8 / 51 OK
seuil : top 15
score du 10/08/2026 16:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.8003

Quality Score
0.6
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
89 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
0 BLOCKED
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
3.4M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
10/08 16:02

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank
#8 / 51 OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
89 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
-1
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
0
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
-1 BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
3.37 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#8 / 51 OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
89 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
-1 BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
3.37 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
3/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Supply Distance (ATR)
1h near -0.59×ATR
4h near 0.33×ATR
1d near -0.49×ATR
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
0/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↑ up early OK
4h ↑ up mid OK
1d ↑ up mid OK
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

Regime

BTC Market Regime BTC Market Regime V2

ml_regime : bear_low_vol

rules_regime : bear_low

rules_regime_5m : range_low

Score : 0

ml_regime : bear_high

Strategic (1D) : range_high (0)

Operational (4H) : range_medium (0)

Tactical (1H) : bear_low_confirmed (-1)

10/08 16:00

Score : -1

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3)

09/08 20:00

Operational (4H) : bull_high_confirmed (+2)

10/08 12:00

Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1)

10/08 15:00

Score : 0 / ±6

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -3.373% (0.0002)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.630% 0.2R -0.765% 0.2R 0.8× 12
2h +0.630% 0.2R -2.548% 0.8R 0.3× 24
4h +0.630% 0.2R -2.938% 0.9R 0.2× 48
6h ★ +0.630% 0.2R -3.238% 1.0R 0.2× 72
8h +0.630% 0.2R -3.508% 1.0R 0.2× 96
12h +0.630% 0.2R -4.752% 1.4R 0.1× 144

computed 4 days ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.35
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↔ neutral range range moderate fading normal bear_high
61%
noisy_chop 38% mid — near -0.5ATR 0.73 bear_high -4.25% +0.71 09/08 20:00
4h ↑ up transition bullish_transition strong grind volatile_reversal bull_high_confirmed
60%
noisy_chop 41% mid — near 0.3ATR 0.65 range_medium -0.66% +0.83 10/08 12:00
1h ↑ up transition bullish_transition moderate grind normal bull_high
64%
noisy_chop 38% early — near -0.6ATR 0.43 bear_low_confirmed -1.11% +0.47 10/08 15:00
15m ↔ neutral range range moderate balanced expansion bull_medium
60%
noisy_chop 37% mid — near 0.0ATR — bear_low -1.04% +0.17 10/08 15:30
5m —

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↑ up mid 12b — 2.782×ATR p6 +1.33×ATR p66
4h ↑ up mid 4b — 1.456×ATR p0 +1.426×ATR p79
1h ↑ up early 4b — 1.682×ATR p8 +0.77×ATR p44
15m ↑ up mid 11b — 2.219×ATR p32 +0.988×ATR p65

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_v2 - BUY

Indicators:

  1. stop_price: 0.0064464
  2. tp_price: 0.00683777
  3. atr: 8.984E-5
  4. expires_at: 2026-08-11T02:10:04+00:00
Details
  1. rank: 7
  2. total: 54
  3. score: 0.65
  4. delta_2h: 0.0346
  5. extension_atr: 0.44
  6. trend_phase:
  7. trend_direction:
  8. rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.8003
  9. confidence: 0.887

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.006671 0.006446 0.006838 0.74 0.006002
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.006671
  • Stop Loss: 0.006446
  • Take Profit: 0.006838

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.006446 - 0.006671 = -0.000225

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.006671 - 0.006838 = -0.000167

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.000167 / -0.000225 = 0.7422

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
237.6135 100 35618.878 2.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss -0.000225

Taille de position = 8 / -0.000225 = -35555.56

Taille de position USD = -35555.56 x 0.006671 = -237.19

Donc, tu peux acheter -35555.56 avec un stoploss a 0.006446

Avec un position size USD de -237.19$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = -35555.56 x -0.000225 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = -35555.56 x -0.000167 = 5.94

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 5.94$

Résumé

  • Taille de position -35555.56
  • Taille de position USD -237.19
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 5.94
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 0.7422

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
2.5 % 5.95 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
3.37 % 8.01 $
PNL PNL %
-5.84 $ -2.46
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-3.2379 % 96 % 3
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.006671 0.006446 0.006838 0.74 0.006002
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.006671
  • Stop Loss: 0.006446
  • Take Profit: 0.006838

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.006446 - 0.006671 = -0.000225

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.006671 - 0.006838 = -0.000167

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.000167 / -0.000225 = 0.7422

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
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Extra SL data

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MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -3.373% (0.0002)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.630% 0.2R -0.765% 0.2R 0.8× 12
2h +0.630% 0.2R -2.548% 0.8R 0.3× 24
4h +0.630% 0.2R -2.938% 0.9R 0.2× 48
6h ★ +0.630% 0.2R -3.238% 1.0R 0.2× 72
8h +0.630% 0.2R -3.508% 1.0R 0.2× 96
12h +0.630% 0.2R -4.752% 1.4R 0.1× 144

computed 4 days ago

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