Long Trade on LIT (BalanceBreakoutRegime)
With 126.86 LIT at 2.404$ per unit. Take profit: 2.5612 (6.56 %) & Stop Loss: 2.3404 (2.63 %)
10 Aug 2026 at 16:11:50
hyperliquid
LIT
LONG
BalanceBreakoutRegime
hyperliquid
10 Aug 2026 16:11
→ 04:10
· 11 hours
Position
Entry 2.4035$
Qty 126.8626 LIT
Size 304.9144$ (margin 100$) (leverage 3)
Risk Setup
TP 2.5612 (+6.56%)
TP $ 20.01$
SL 2.3404 (-2.63%)
SL $ 8.01$
RR 2.5
Status
win
PnL
+1.02%
/ +3.12$
MAE -2.17%
MFE +3.97%
1.5R
expires
11 Aug 04:11
Exit
time_expired
V2 Shadow Analysis
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Quality Rank (id: 64975)
#5 / 51
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 10/08/2026 16:00
score du 10/08/2026 16:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.5262
Quality Score
0.6
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
82 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
0
BLOCKED
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
11.9M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
10/08 16:02
10/08 16:02
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank
#5 / 51
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
82 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
-1
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+5
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
2.63 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#5 / 51
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
82 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+5
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
2.63 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 0.87×ATR |
| 4h | near | -0.65×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 1.02×ATR |
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
0/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | late | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| 1d | ↑ up | early | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
Regime
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bear_low_vol rules_regime : bear_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : range_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : bear_low_confirmed (-1) 10/08 16:00 Score : -1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+3) 09/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 10/08 12:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high_confirmed (+1) 10/08 15:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -2.625%
(0.0631)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.649% | 0.3R | -1.748% | 0.7R | 0.4× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.649% | 0.3R | -2.172% | 0.8R | 0.3× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.649% | 0.3R | -2.172% | 0.8R | 0.3× | 48 |
| 8h | +3.944% | 1.5R | -2.172% | 0.8R | 1.8× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +3.969% | 1.5R | -2.172% | 0.8R | 1.8× | 144 |
| 24h | +5.309% | 2.0R | -2.172% | 0.8R | 2.4× | 288 |
computed 4 days ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 1.57
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | fading | compression | bull_high |
65%
|
noisy_chop 37% | early | — | — | — | bear_high | -4.25% | +0.54 | 09/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | normal | bull_high |
61%
|
noisy_chop 31% | mid | — | near -0.7ATR | 0.34 | range_medium | -0.66% | +0.15 | 10/08 12:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | balanced | expansion | bull_high_confirmed |
67%
|
noisy_chop 41% | late | — | — | 0.41 | bear_low_confirmed | -1.11% | +0.46 | 10/08 15:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | strong | explosive | volatile_reversal | bull_high |
57%
|
noisy_chop 47% | mid | — | near -0.2ATR | 0.30 | bear_low | -1.06% | +0.51 | 10/08 15:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | early | 7b | — | 2.376×ATR | p0 | +0.997×ATR | p55 |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | 9b | — | 1.85×ATR | p3 | +1.295×ATR | p70 |
| 1h | ↓ down | late | 1b | — | 0.927×ATR | p2 | +1.671×ATR | p85 |
| 15m | ↑ up | mid | 3b | — | 1.531×ATR | p8 | +1.101×ATR | p66 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
BalanceBreakoutRegime - BUY
Indicators:
- long_trend: 1
- confidence: 0.8166
- reason: up_bo width=2.23×ATR dur=33b phase=fresh
- stop_price: 2.34043967
- tp_price: 2.56115083
- atr:
- score: 0.81663590949333
- expires_at: 2026-08-11T08:11:42.471468
- max_bars: 12
- max_bars_tf: 1h
- confidence_pre_ob: 0.81663590949333
Details
- 1H:
- 15m:
- 5m:
- btc_indicators ¸
- market_structures ¸
- market_structure_v2 ¸
- trend_analyzer_1h ¸
- orderbook_context
- obi_top5 : 0.0721
- obi_top10 : -0.1216
- micro_price : 2.40602564
- spread_pct : 0.08316
- mid_price : 2.406
- bid_wall_price : 2.37
- bid_wall_size : 29634
- bid_wall_dist_atr :
- ask_wall_price : 2.44
- ask_wall_size : 32220
- ask_wall_dist_atr :
- snapshots_count : 5
- obi_top5_mean : 0.0775
- obi_top5_std : 0.004
- pressure_side : neutral
- collection_mode : ws_rolling
- collection_ms : 6830
- aggregation_tick : 0.01
- error : ¸
- strategy_details
- strategy : balance_breakout_regime_strict
- strategy_details
- balance_zone_top:
2.3825
- balance_zone_bottom:
2.3053
- balance_zone_mid:
2.3439
- balance_zone_start_time:
1786276800
- balance_zone_end_time:
1786392000
- balance_zone_width_atr:
2.231
- balance_zone_duration_bars:
33
- balance_zone_quality: tight
- balance_zone_maturity: established
- balance_zone_confidence:
0.8166
- balance_zone_state: leaving_balance
- balance_zone_breakout_direction: up
- balance_zone_breakout_phase: fresh
- balance_zone_breakout_time:
1786388400
- balance_zone_breakout_price:
2.3825
- strategy_details
- balance_metrics_inside_close_ratio:
0.6667
- balance_metrics_bars_since_breakout:
1
- balance_metrics_distance_to_edge_atr:
0.6069
- balance_metrics_has_retested:
- balance_metrics_retest_count:
0
- balance_metrics_touch_upper:
4
- balance_metrics_touch_lower:
8
- regime : bull_high
- atr_entry : 0.03460333 ¸
Signal Details
duration_bars
33
inside_close_ratio
0.6667
bars_since_breakout
1
distance_to_edge_atr
0.6069
Signaux confirmants (8)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 16:11 | 2.40350000 | 0% |
| 2 | 16:17 | 2.40350000 | 0% |
| 3 | 16:22 | 2.41740000 | +0.578% |
| 4 | 16:28 | 2.41740000 | +0.578% |
| 5 | 16:35 | 2.41740000 | +0.578% |
| 6 | 16:40 | 2.40200000 | -0.062% |
| 7 | 16:47 | 2.40200000 | -0.062% |
| 8 | 22:10 | 2.42680000 | +0.969% |
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
Orderbook Context
→ neutral
ws_rolling
5 snapshots
6830ms
Confidence avant OB :
82%
→
82%
Order Book Imbalance
OBI Top 5
0.072
avg 0.078
± 0.004
OBI Top 10
-0.122
Microstructure
Mid Price
2.4060
Micro Price
2.4060
Spread
0.0832%
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
Price
2.3700
Size
29,634.00
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
Price
2.4400
Size
32,220.00
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.4035 | 2.3404 | 2.5612 | 2.5 | 2.3047 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 2.4035
- Stop Loss: 2.3404
- Take Profit: 2.5612
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 2.3404 - 2.4035 = -0.0631
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 2.4035 - 2.5612 = -0.1577
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.1577 / -0.0631 = 2.4992
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 304.9144 | 100 | 126.8626 | 3.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss -0.0631
Taille de position = 8 / -0.0631 = -126.78
Taille de position USD = -126.78 x 2.4035 = -304.72
Donc, tu peux acheter -126.78 avec un stoploss a 2.3404
Avec un position size USD de -304.72$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -126.78 x -0.0631 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -126.78 x -0.1577 = 19.99
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 19.99$
Résumé
- Taille de position -126.78
- Taille de position USD -304.72
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 19.99
- Risk-Reward Ratio 2.4992
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 6.56 % | 20.01 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.63 % | 8.01 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 3.12 $ | 1.02 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -2.1718 % | 82.73 % | 2 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.4035 | 2.3404 | 2.5612 | 2.5 | 2.3047 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 2.4035
- Stop Loss: 2.3404
- Take Profit: 2.5612
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 2.3404 - 2.4035 = -0.0631
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 2.4035 - 2.5612 = -0.1577
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.1577 / -0.0631 = 2.4992
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -2.625%
(0.0631)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.649% | 0.3R | -1.748% | 0.7R | 0.4× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.649% | 0.3R | -2.172% | 0.8R | 0.3× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.649% | 0.3R | -2.172% | 0.8R | 0.3× | 48 |
| 8h | +3.944% | 1.5R | -2.172% | 0.8R | 1.8× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +3.969% | 1.5R | -2.172% | 0.8R | 1.8× | 144 |
| 24h | +5.309% | 2.0R | -2.172% | 0.8R | 2.4× | 288 |
computed 4 days ago
Commentaires
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