Short Trade on KAITO (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 222.95 KAITO at 0.652$ per unit. Take profit: 0.6361 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 0.6883 (5.5 %)
10 Aug 2026 at 22:10:05
hyperliquid
KAITO
SHORT
momentum_rotation_v2
hyperliquid
10 Aug 2026 22:10
→ 01:35
· 3 hours
Position
Entry 0.6524$
Qty 222.9539 KAITO
Size 145.4596$ (margin 100$) (leverage 1)
Risk Setup
TP 0.6361 (+2.5%)
TP $ 3.63$
SL 0.6883 (-5.5%)
SL $ 8$
RR 0.45
Status
win
PnL
+2.50%
/ +3.63$
MAE -1.57%
MFE +2.58%
0.5R
expires
11 Aug 04:10
V2 Shadow Analysis
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Quality Rank (id: 65259)
#49 / 49
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 10/08/2026 22:00
score du 10/08/2026 22:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.0177
Quality Score
0.396
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
100 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
2
OK
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
22.0M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
10/08 22:02
10/08 22:02
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank
#49 / 49
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+1
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+7
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
5.50 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#49 / 49
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+7
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
5.50 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
2/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | — |
| 4h | near | -0.37×ATR |
| 1d | near | -0.49×ATR |
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
Regime
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bear_low_vol rules_regime : bear_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 2 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : range_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : bear_low (+1) 10/08 22:00 Score : +1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high_confirmed (+3) 10/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 10/08 20:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 10/08 21:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1H
Score brut
0.3955
Score SMA
0.4168
Rank
#49
/ 49
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.0177
Rank Norm SMA
0.0560
Calculé le
10/08/2026 22:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.2817 | r1h: 0.949% · r4h: -1.770% · r1d: -5.15% · r3d: -19.76% · ema21_slope: -0.1568% · dist_ema21: -0.933% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.3392 | rs_1h: 1.032% · rs_4h: -1.790% · rs_1d: -3.32% · rs_3d: -18.35% · beta_24h: -0.512 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2319 | rvol_20: 0.70× · zscore_50: -0.406 · trend: -29.36% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5323 | ADX: 34.3 (trend) · Chop: 69.5 (range) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 2.343% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -5.503%
(0.0359)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.231% | 0.2R | -1.003% | 0.2R | 1.2× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.488% | 0.3R | -1.003% | 0.2R | 1.5× | 24 |
| 4h | +2.578% | 0.5R | -1.003% | 0.2R | 2.6× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +2.578% | 0.5R | -1.567% | 0.3R | 1.7× | 72 |
| 8h | +2.578% | 0.5R | -1.567% | 0.3R | 1.7× | 96 |
| 12h | +2.578% | 0.5R | -1.567% | 0.3R | 1.7× | 144 |
computed 5 days ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 2.03
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | fading | expansion | bear_high_confirmed |
52%
|
noisy_chop 42% | mid | near -0.5ATR | — | 0.38 | bear_high | -4.25% | -1.00 | 10/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | fading | compression | bear_high |
50%
|
noisy_chop 46% | late | near -0.4ATR | — | 0.00 | range_medium | -0.51% | -0.98 | 10/08 20:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
59%
|
noisy_chop 34% | early | — | — | -0.13 | bear_low | -1.05% | -0.13 | 10/08 21:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
60%
|
noisy_chop 42% | early | — | — | 0.02 | range_low | -0.71% | -0.12 | 10/08 21:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | 13b | — | 6.177×ATR | p78 | -1.73×ATR | p78 |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | 56b | — | 16.882×ATR | p100 | -2.063×ATR | p82 |
| 1h | ↓ down | early | 3b | — | 0.855×ATR | p0 | -0.424×ATR | p24 |
| 15m | ↑ up | early | 6b | — | 2.612×ATR | p39 | +0.137×ATR | p11 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL
Indicators:
- stop_price: 0.68830185
- tp_price: 0.6361095
- atr: 0.01435274
- expires_at: 2026-08-11T08:10:05+00:00
Details
- rank: 50
- total: 50
- score: 0.2817
- delta_2h: -0.0213
- extension_atr: -0.45
- trend_phase:
- trend_direction:
- rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.0177
- confidence: 1
Signal Details
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.6524 | 0.6883 | 0.6361 | 0.45 | 0.3328 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.6524
- Stop Loss: 0.6883
- Take Profit: 0.6361
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.6883 - 0.6524 = 0.0359
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.6524 - 0.6361 = 0.0163
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0163 / 0.0359 = 0.454
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 145.4596 | 100 | 222.9539 | 1.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss 0.0359
Taille de position = 8 / 0.0359 = 222.84
Taille de position USD = 222.84 x 0.6524 = 145.38
Donc, tu peux acheter 222.84 avec un stoploss a 0.6883
Avec un position size USD de 145.38$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 222.84 x 0.0359 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 222.84 x 0.0163 = 3.63
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 3.63$
Résumé
- Taille de position 222.84
- Taille de position USD 145.38
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 3.63
- Risk-Reward Ratio 0.454
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.5 % | 3.63 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 5.5 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 3.63 $ | 2.50 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -1.0025 % | 18.22 % | 1 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.6524 | 0.6883 | 0.6361 | 0.45 | 0.3328 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.6524
- Stop Loss: 0.6883
- Take Profit: 0.6361
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.6883 - 0.6524 = 0.0359
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.6524 - 0.6361 = 0.0163
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0163 / 0.0359 = 0.454
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -5.503%
(0.0359)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.231% | 0.2R | -1.003% | 0.2R | 1.2× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.488% | 0.3R | -1.003% | 0.2R | 1.5× | 24 |
| 4h | +2.578% | 0.5R | -1.003% | 0.2R | 2.6× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +2.578% | 0.5R | -1.567% | 0.3R | 1.7× | 72 |
| 8h | +2.578% | 0.5R | -1.567% | 0.3R | 1.7× | 96 |
| 12h | +2.578% | 0.5R | -1.567% | 0.3R | 1.7× | 144 |
computed 5 days ago
Commentaires
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