Short Trade on ZEC (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 0.73 ZEC at 491.78$ per unit. Take profit: 479.4855 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 502.6677 (2.21 %)
10 Aug 2026 at 22:10:05
hyperliquid
ZEC
SHORT
momentum_rotation_v2
hyperliquid
10 Aug 2026 22:10
→ 04:05
· 5 hours
Position
Entry 491.78$
Qty 0.7348 ZEC
Size 361.3457$ (margin 100$) (leverage 4)
Risk Setup
TP 479.4855 (+2.5%)
TP $ 9.03$
SL 502.6677 (-2.21%)
SL $ 8$
RR 1.13
Status
win
PnL
+0.93%
/ +3.37$
MAE -0.66%
MFE +1.19%
0.5R
expires
11 Aug 04:10
Exit
time_expired
V2 Shadow Analysis
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Quality Rank (id: 65265)
#34 / 49
OUT
seuil : top 15
score du 10/08/2026 22:00
score du 10/08/2026 22:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.2650
Quality Score
0.505
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
98 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
2
OK
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
49.4M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
10/08 22:02
10/08 22:02
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank
#34 / 49
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
98 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+1
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
0
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+1
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
2.21 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#34 / 49
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
98 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+1
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
2.21 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
2/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | -1.32×ATR |
| 4h | near | 0.25×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 2.63×ATR |
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| 4h | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| 1d | ↑ up | early | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
Regime
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bear_low_vol rules_regime : bear_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 2 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : range_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : bear_low (+1) 10/08 22:00 Score : +1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-3) 10/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 10/08 20:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 10/08 21:00 Score : 0 / ±6 |
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1H
Score brut
0.5052
Score SMA
0.5016
Rank
#34
/ 49
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.2650
Rank Norm SMA
0.2585
Calculé le
10/08/2026 22:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.3461 | r1h: -1.011% · r4h: -1.571% · r1d: -4.20% · r3d: -3.26% · ema21_slope: -0.1488% · dist_ema21: -2.065% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.3831 | rs_1h: -0.928% · rs_4h: -1.592% · rs_1d: -2.37% · rs_3d: -1.85% · beta_24h: 1.016 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.5065 | rvol_20: 1.51× · zscore_50: 1.103 · trend: 3.97% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6951 | ADX: 32.0 (trend) · Chop: 47.0 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.922% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -2.214%
(10.8877)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.014% | 0.0R | -0.563% | 0.3R | 0.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.014% | 0.0R | -0.661% | 0.3R | 0.0× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.309% | 0.1R | -0.661% | 0.3R | 0.5× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +1.192% | 0.5R | -0.661% | 0.3R | 1.8× | 72 |
| 8h | +1.554% | 0.7R | -0.661% | 0.3R | 2.4× | 96 |
| 12h | +2.166% | 1.0R | -0.661% | 0.3R | 3.3× | 144 |
computed 5 days ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 1.17
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | fading | compression | bull_high |
57%
|
noisy_chop 33% | early | — | — | 0.48 | bear_high | -4.25% | -0.03 | 10/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↔ neutral | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | balanced | compression | bear_high |
56%
|
noisy_chop 45% | mid | near 0.2ATR | — | 0.64 | range_medium | -0.51% | -0.28 | 10/08 20:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | explosive | normal | bear_high |
57%
|
noisy_chop 41% | late | near -1.3ATR | — | 0.55 | bear_low | -1.05% | -0.22 | 10/08 21:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | fading | compression | bear_low |
47%
|
noisy_chop 45% | late | — | — | 0.45 | range_low | -0.69% | -0.14 | 10/08 21:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | early | 13b | — | 1.775×ATR | p0 | -0.013×ATR | p1 |
| 4h | ↓ down | mid | 10b | — | 4.12×ATR | p71 | -1.492×ATR | p75 |
| 1h | ↓ down | late | 6b | — | 2.581×ATR | p49 | -2.167×ATR | p92 |
| 15m | ↓ down | late | 9b | — | 4.443×ATR | p80 | -2.939×ATR | p99 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL
Indicators:
- stop_price: 502.66774599
- tp_price: 479.4855
- atr: 4.35509839
- expires_at: 2026-08-11T08:10:05+00:00
Details
- rank: 49
- total: 50
- score: 0.3461
- delta_2h: -0.0592
- extension_atr: -1.86
- trend_phase:
- trend_direction:
- rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.265
- confidence: 0.98
Signal Details
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 491.78 | 502.6677 | 479.4855 | 1.13 | 512.63 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 491.78
- Stop Loss: 502.6677
- Take Profit: 479.4855
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 502.6677 - 491.78 = 10.8877
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 491.78 - 479.4855 = 12.2945
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 12.2945 / 10.8877 = 1.1292
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 361.3457 | 100 | 0.7348 | 4.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss 10.8877
Taille de position = 8 / 10.8877 = 0.73
Taille de position USD = 0.73 x 491.78 = 359
Donc, tu peux acheter 0.73 avec un stoploss a 502.6677
Avec un position size USD de 359$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 0.73 x 10.8877 = 7.95
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 7.95$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 0.73 x 12.2945 = 8.97
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 8.97$
Résumé
- Taille de position 0.73
- Taille de position USD 359
- Perte potentielle 7.95
- Gain potentiel 8.97
- Risk-Reward Ratio 1.1292
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.5 % | 9.03 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.21 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 3.37 $ | 0.93 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.6609 % | 29.85 % | 9 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 491.78 | 502.6677 | 479.4855 | 1.13 | 512.63 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 491.78
- Stop Loss: 502.6677
- Take Profit: 479.4855
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 502.6677 - 491.78 = 10.8877
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 491.78 - 479.4855 = 12.2945
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 12.2945 / 10.8877 = 1.1292
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -2.214%
(10.8877)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.014% | 0.0R | -0.563% | 0.3R | 0.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.014% | 0.0R | -0.661% | 0.3R | 0.0× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.309% | 0.1R | -0.661% | 0.3R | 0.5× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +1.192% | 0.5R | -0.661% | 0.3R | 1.8× | 72 |
| 8h | +1.554% | 0.7R | -0.661% | 0.3R | 2.4× | 96 |
| 12h | +2.166% | 1.0R | -0.661% | 0.3R | 3.3× | 144 |
computed 5 days ago
Commentaires
Aucun commentaire.