Long Trade on LIT (BalanceBreakoutRegime)
With 92.45 LIT at 2.427$ per unit. Take profit: 2.6431 (8.91 %) & Stop Loss: 2.3403 (3.56 %)
10 Aug 2026 at 22:17:00
hyperliquid
LIT
LONG
BalanceBreakoutRegime
hyperliquid
10 Aug 2026 22:17
→ 10:15
· 11 hours
Position
Entry 2.4268$
Qty 92.453 LIT
Size 224.365$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)
Risk Setup
TP 2.6431 (+8.91%)
TP $ 20$
SL 2.3403 (-3.56%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2.5
Status
win
PnL
+3.59%
/ +8.06$
MAE -0.11%
MFE +4.23%
1.2R
expires
11 Aug 10:16
Exit
time_expired
V2 Shadow Analysis
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Quality Rank (id: 65270)
#12 / 49
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 10/08/2026 22:00
score du 10/08/2026 22:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.8222
Quality Score
0.597
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
63 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
0
BLOCKED
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
11.4M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
10/08 22:02
10/08 22:02
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank
#12 / 49
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
63 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
-1
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+5
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
3.56 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#12 / 49
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
63 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+5
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
3.56 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 0.80×ATR |
| 4h | near | -0.50×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 1.20×ATR |
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
0/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 1d | ↑ up | early | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
Regime
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bear_low_vol rules_regime : bear_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : range_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : bear_low (-1) 10/08 22:00 Score : -1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+3) 10/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 10/08 20:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 10/08 21:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1H
Score brut
0.5974
Score SMA
0.5341
Rank
#12
/ 49
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.8222
Rank Norm SMA
0.4202
Calculé le
10/08/2026 22:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.6172 | r1h: 0.525% · r4h: 1.597% · r1d: 2.65% · r3d: 3.59% · ema21_slope: 0.1541% · dist_ema21: 1.753% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.6559 | rs_1h: 0.608% · rs_4h: 1.577% · rs_1d: 4.48% · rs_3d: 5.00% · beta_24h: -0.314 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2222 | rvol_20: 0.51× · zscore_50: -0.527 · trend: -8.68% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6921 | ADX: 25.8 (trend) · Chop: 41.1 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.497% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -3.564%
(0.0865)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.368% | 0.4R | -0.111% | 0.0R | 12.3× | 12 |
| 2h | +2.971% | 0.8R | -0.111% | 0.0R | 26.7× | 24 |
| 4h | +2.971% | 0.8R | -0.111% | 0.0R | 26.7× | 48 |
| 8h | +2.971% | 0.8R | -0.111% | 0.0R | 26.7× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +4.228% | 1.2R | -0.111% | 0.0R | 38.0× | 144 |
| 24h | +4.298% | 1.2R | -2.707% | 0.8R | 1.6× | 288 |
computed 5 days ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 6.48
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | fading | compression | bull_high |
65%
|
noisy_chop 37% | early | — | — | — | bear_high | -4.25% | +0.56 | 10/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | compression | bull_high |
62%
|
noisy_chop 34% | early | — | near -0.5ATR | 0.33 | range_medium | -0.51% | +0.19 | 10/08 20:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | early_expansion | bullish_transition | strong | explosive | expansion | bull_high |
67%
|
noisy_chop 40% | early | — | — | 0.40 | bear_low | -1.05% | +0.47 | 10/08 21:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | range | range | strong | balanced | compression | bull_medium |
61%
|
noisy_chop 44% | early | near 0.2ATR | near 0.3ATR | 0.26 | range_low | -0.69% | +0.09 | 10/08 21:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | early | 8b | — | 2.409×ATR | p0 | +0.895×ATR | p49 |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | 11b | — | 1.728×ATR | p3 | +0.912×ATR | p56 |
| 1h | ↑ up | early | 6b | — | 0.849×ATR | p2 | +1.018×ATR | p57 |
| 15m | ↑ up | early | 5b | — | 1.599×ATR | p0 | +0.542×ATR | p35 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
BalanceBreakoutRegime - BUY
Indicators:
- long_trend: 1
- confidence: 0.6305
- reason: up_bo width=2.13×ATR dur=39b phase=fresh|ob:ask_pressure(-0.10)|ob:obi_bearish(-0.05)
- stop_price: 2.34026958
- tp_price: 2.64312605
- atr:
- score: 0.7804636565581
- expires_at: 2026-08-11T14:16:52.614353
- max_bars: 12
- max_bars_tf: 1h
- confidence_pre_ob: 0.7804636565581
Details
- 1H:
- 15m:
- 5m:
- btc_indicators ¸
- market_structures ¸
- market_structure_v2 ¸
- trend_analyzer_1h ¸
- orderbook_context
- obi_top5 : -0.4287
- obi_top10 : -0.2854
- micro_price : 2.4275
- spread_pct : 0.041203
- mid_price : 2.4275
- bid_wall_price : 2.38
- bid_wall_size : 12085.6
- bid_wall_dist_atr :
- ask_wall_price : 2.47
- ask_wall_size : 24447
- ask_wall_dist_atr :
- snapshots_count : 5
- obi_top5_mean : -0.4291
- obi_top5_std : 0.0008
- pressure_side : ask
- collection_mode : ws_rolling
- collection_ms : 7117
- aggregation_tick : 0.01
- error : ¸
- strategy_details
- strategy : balance_breakout_regime_strict
- strategy_details
- balance_zone_top:
2.3825
- balance_zone_bottom:
2.3053
- balance_zone_mid:
2.3439
- balance_zone_start_time:
1786276800
- balance_zone_end_time:
1786413600
- balance_zone_width_atr:
2.1265
- balance_zone_duration_bars:
39
- balance_zone_quality: tight
- balance_zone_maturity: established
- balance_zone_confidence:
0.7805
- balance_zone_state: leaving_balance
- balance_zone_breakout_direction: up
- balance_zone_breakout_phase: fresh
- balance_zone_breakout_time:
1786410000
- balance_zone_breakout_price:
2.3825
- strategy_details
- balance_metrics_inside_close_ratio:
0.6667
- balance_metrics_bars_since_breakout:
1
- balance_metrics_distance_to_edge_atr:
1.2202
- balance_metrics_has_retested:
- balance_metrics_retest_count:
0
- balance_metrics_touch_upper:
8
- balance_metrics_touch_lower:
9
- regime : bull_high
- atr_entry : 0.03630419 ¸
Signal Details
duration_bars
39
inside_close_ratio
0.6667
bars_since_breakout
1
distance_to_edge_atr
1.2202
Signaux confirmants (6)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 22:17 | 2.42680000 | 0% |
| 2 | 22:22 | 2.42770000 | +0.037% |
| 3 | 22:28 | 2.42770000 | +0.037% |
| 4 | 22:35 | 2.42770000 | +0.037% |
| 5 | 22:40 | 2.43830000 | +0.474% |
| 6 | 22:46 | 2.43830000 | +0.474% |
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
Orderbook Context
↓ ask
ws_rolling
5 snapshots
7117ms
Confidence avant OB :
78%
→
63%
Order Book Imbalance
OBI Top 5
-0.429
avg -0.429
± 0.001
OBI Top 10
-0.285
Microstructure
Mid Price
2.4275
Micro Price
2.4275
Spread
0.0412%
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
Price
2.3800
Size
12,085.60
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
Price
2.4700
Size
24,447.00
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.4268 | 2.3403 | 2.6431 | 2.5 | 2.324 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 2.4268
- Stop Loss: 2.3403
- Take Profit: 2.6431
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 2.3403 - 2.4268 = -0.0865
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 2.4268 - 2.6431 = -0.2163
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.2163 / -0.0865 = 2.5006
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 224.365 | 100 | 92.453 | 2.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss -0.0865
Taille de position = 8 / -0.0865 = -92.49
Taille de position USD = -92.49 x 2.4268 = -224.45
Donc, tu peux acheter -92.49 avec un stoploss a 2.3403
Avec un position size USD de -224.45$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -92.49 x -0.0865 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -92.49 x -0.2163 = 20.01
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 20.01$
Résumé
- Taille de position -92.49
- Taille de position USD -224.45
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 20.01
- Risk-Reward Ratio 2.5006
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 8.91 % | 20 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 3.56 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 8.06 $ | 3.59 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.1113 % | 3.12 % | 1 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.4268 | 2.3403 | 2.6431 | 2.5 | 2.324 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 2.4268
- Stop Loss: 2.3403
- Take Profit: 2.6431
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 2.3403 - 2.4268 = -0.0865
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 2.4268 - 2.6431 = -0.2163
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.2163 / -0.0865 = 2.5006
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -3.564%
(0.0865)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.368% | 0.4R | -0.111% | 0.0R | 12.3× | 12 |
| 2h | +2.971% | 0.8R | -0.111% | 0.0R | 26.7× | 24 |
| 4h | +2.971% | 0.8R | -0.111% | 0.0R | 26.7× | 48 |
| 8h | +2.971% | 0.8R | -0.111% | 0.0R | 26.7× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +4.228% | 1.2R | -0.111% | 0.0R | 38.0× | 144 |
| 24h | +4.298% | 1.2R | -2.707% | 0.8R | 1.6× | 288 |
computed 5 days ago
Commentaires
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