Long Trade on LINK (BalanceBreakoutRegime)
With 55.5 LINK at 8.446$ per unit. Take profit: 8.8068 (4.27 %) & Stop Loss: 8.3023 (1.71 %)
10 Aug 2026 at 22:13:30
hyperliquid
LINK
LONG
BalanceBreakoutRegime
hyperliquid
10 Aug 2026 22:13
→ 10:10
· 11 hours
Position
Entry 8.4464$
Qty 55.4986 LINK
Size 468.763$ (margin 100$) (leverage 5)
Risk Setup
TP 8.8068 (+4.27%)
TP $ 20$
SL 8.3023 (-1.71%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2.5
Status
win
PnL
+2.69%
/ +12.63$
MAE -0.92%
MFE +3.14%
1.8R
expires
11 Aug 10:13
Exit
time_expired
V2 Shadow Analysis
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Quality Rank (id: 65236)
#7 / 49
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 10/08/2026 22:00
score du 10/08/2026 22:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.5610
Quality Score
0.628
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
79 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
0
BLOCKED
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
5.3M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
10/08 22:00
10/08 22:00
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank
#7 / 49
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
79 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
-1
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
0
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
-1
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
1.71 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#7 / 49
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
79 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
-1
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
1.71 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
2/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | -0.20×ATR |
| 4h | near | -0.37×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 1.94×ATR |
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | early | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
Regime
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bear_low_vol rules_regime : bear_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : range_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : bear_low (-1) 10/08 22:00 Score : -1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3) 10/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 10/08 20:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_medium (+1) 10/08 21:00 Score : 0 / ±6 |
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1H
Score brut
0.6279
Score SMA
0.5611
Rank
#7
/ 49
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.5610
Rank Norm SMA
0.5525
Calculé le
10/08/2026 22:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.6064 | r1h: 1.129% · r4h: 1.879% · r1d: 2.40% · r3d: 2.98% · ema21_slope: 0.0316% · dist_ema21: 1.684% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.6786 | rs_1h: 1.212% · rs_4h: 1.859% · rs_1d: 4.23% · rs_3d: 4.38% · beta_24h: 0.842 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.4290 | rvol_20: 1.12× · zscore_50: 0.827 · trend: 5.48% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6033 | ADX: 19.5 (weak) · Chop: 45.5 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.701% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -1.706%
(0.1441)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -0.546% | 0.3R | 0.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -0.657% | 0.4R | 0.0× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -0.925% | 0.5R | 0.0× | 48 |
| 8h | +3.141% | 1.8R | -0.925% | 0.5R | 3.4× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +3.141% | 1.8R | -0.925% | 0.5R | 3.4× | 144 |
| 24h | +4.452% | 2.6R | -0.925% | 0.5R | 4.8× | 288 |
computed 5 days ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 2.1
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
57%
|
noisy_chop 33% | early | — | — | 0.86 | bear_high | -4.25% | -0.04 | 10/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | fading | compression | bull_high |
59%
|
noisy_chop 38% | early | — | near -0.4ATR | 0.84 | range_medium | -0.51% | +0.29 | 10/08 20:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | fading | expansion | bull_medium |
59%
|
noisy_chop 39% | late | — | near -0.2ATR | 0.70 | bear_low | -1.05% | +0.40 | 10/08 21:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | strong | explosive | volatile_reversal | bull_low_confirmed |
35%
|
noisy_chop 43% | late | — | — | — | range_low | -0.71% | +0.15 | 10/08 21:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | early | 15b | — | 2.289×ATR | p0 | +0.197×ATR | p15 |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | 6b | — | 1.899×ATR | p0 | +0.756×ATR | p53 |
| 1h | ↑ up | late | 7b | — | 3.78×ATR | p77 | +2.135×ATR | p91 |
| 15m | ↑ up | late | 14b | — | 4.753×ATR | p91 | +2.574×ATR | p94 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
BalanceBreakoutRegime - BUY
Indicators:
- long_trend: 1
- confidence: 0.7866
- reason: up_bo width=1.99×ATR dur=46b phase=fresh
- stop_price: 8.3022521
- tp_price: 8.80676975
- atr:
- score: 0.78656189733457
- expires_at: 2026-08-11T14:13:22.687851
- max_bars: 12
- max_bars_tf: 1h
- confidence_pre_ob: 0.78656189733457
Details
- 1H:
- 15m:
- 5m:
- btc_indicators ¸
- market_structures ¸
- market_structure_v2 ¸
- trend_analyzer_1h ¸
- orderbook_context
- obi_top5 : -0.0617
- obi_top10 : -0.056
- micro_price : 8.43900769
- spread_pct : 0.01185
- mid_price : 8.4395
- bid_wall_price :
- bid_wall_size :
- bid_wall_dist_atr :
- ask_wall_price : 8.46
- ask_wall_size : 103675.8
- ask_wall_dist_atr :
- snapshots_count : 5
- obi_top5_mean : -0.0632
- obi_top5_std : 0.0032
- pressure_side : neutral
- collection_mode : ws_rolling
- collection_ms : 7016
- aggregation_tick : 0.01
- error : ¸
- strategy_details
- strategy : balance_breakout_regime_strict
- strategy_details
- balance_zone_top:
8.3656
- balance_zone_bottom:
8.2505
- balance_zone_mid:
8.30805
- balance_zone_start_time:
1786251600
- balance_zone_end_time:
1786413600
- balance_zone_width_atr:
1.9852
- balance_zone_duration_bars:
46
- balance_zone_quality: tight
- balance_zone_maturity: established
- balance_zone_confidence:
0.7866
- balance_zone_state: leaving_balance
- balance_zone_breakout_direction: up
- balance_zone_breakout_phase: fresh
- balance_zone_breakout_time:
1786410000
- balance_zone_breakout_price:
8.3656
- strategy_details
- balance_metrics_inside_close_ratio:
0.6522
- balance_metrics_bars_since_breakout:
1
- balance_metrics_distance_to_edge_atr:
1.3936
- balance_metrics_has_retested:
- balance_metrics_retest_count:
0
- balance_metrics_touch_upper:
3
- balance_metrics_touch_lower:
9
- regime : bull_high_confirmed
- atr_entry : 0.057979 ¸
Signal Details
duration_bars
46
inside_close_ratio
0.6522
bars_since_breakout
1
distance_to_edge_atr
1.3936
Signaux confirmants (47)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 22:13 | 8.44640000 | 0% |
| 2 | 22:19 | 8.43930000 | -0.084% |
| 3 | 22:25 | 8.43930000 | -0.084% |
| 4 | 22:31 | 8.43930000 | -0.084% |
| 5 | 22:37 | 8.43220000 | -0.168% |
| 6 | 22:43 | 8.43220000 | -0.168% |
| 7 | 22:49 | 8.40980000 | -0.433% |
| 8 | 22:55 | 8.40980000 | -0.433% |
| 9 | 23:02 | 8.40980000 | -0.433% |
| 10 | 23:07 | 8.41600000 | -0.36% |
| 11 | 23:13 | 8.41600000 | -0.36% |
| 12 | 23:19 | 8.42630000 | -0.238% |
| 13 | 23:25 | 8.42630000 | -0.238% |
| 14 | 23:31 | 8.42630000 | -0.238% |
| 15 | 23:37 | 8.40750000 | -0.461% |
| 16 | 23:43 | 8.40750000 | -0.461% |
| 17 | 23:49 | 8.39960000 | -0.554% |
| 18 | 23:55 | 8.39960000 | -0.554% |
| 19 | 00:02 | 8.39960000 | -0.554% |
| 20 | 00:07 | 8.40040000 | -0.545% |
| 21 | 00:13 | 8.40040000 | -0.545% |
| 22 | 00:19 | 8.40810000 | -0.453% |
| 23 | 00:25 | 8.40810000 | -0.453% |
| 24 | 00:31 | 8.40810000 | -0.453% |
| 25 | 00:37 | 8.37560000 | -0.838% |
| 26 | 00:43 | 8.37560000 | -0.838% |
| 27 | 00:49 | 8.37560000 | -0.838% |
| 28 | 00:55 | 8.37560000 | -0.838% |
| 29 | 01:02 | 8.37560000 | -0.838% |
| 30 | 01:07 | 8.38220000 | -0.76% |
| 31 | 01:13 | 8.38220000 | -0.76% |
| 32 | 01:19 | 8.39950000 | -0.555% |
| 33 | 01:25 | 8.39950000 | -0.555% |
| 34 | 01:31 | 8.39950000 | -0.555% |
| 35 | 01:37 | 8.40890000 | -0.444% |
| 36 | 01:43 | 8.40890000 | -0.444% |
| 37 | 01:49 | 8.40870000 | -0.446% |
| 38 | 01:55 | 8.40870000 | -0.446% |
| 39 | 02:02 | 8.40870000 | -0.446% |
| 40 | 02:19 | 8.42730000 | -0.226% |
| 41 | 02:25 | 8.42730000 | -0.226% |
| 42 | 02:31 | 8.42730000 | -0.226% |
| 43 | 02:37 | 8.41190000 | -0.408% |
| 44 | 02:43 | 8.41190000 | -0.408% |
| 45 | 02:49 | 8.42460000 | -0.258% |
| 46 | 02:55 | 8.42460000 | -0.258% |
| 47 | 03:02 | 8.42460000 | -0.258% |
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
Orderbook Context
→ neutral
ws_rolling
5 snapshots
7016ms
Confidence avant OB :
79%
→
79%
Order Book Imbalance
OBI Top 5
-0.062
avg -0.063
± 0.003
OBI Top 10
-0.056
Microstructure
Mid Price
8.4395
Micro Price
8.4390
Spread
0.0119%
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
Price
8.4600
Size
103,675.80
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8.4464 | 8.3023 | 8.8068 | 2.5 | 9.5438 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 8.4464
- Stop Loss: 8.3023
- Take Profit: 8.8068
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 8.3023 - 8.4464 = -0.1441
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 8.4464 - 8.8068 = -0.3604
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.3604 / -0.1441 = 2.501
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 468.763 | 100 | 55.4986 | 5.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss -0.1441
Taille de position = 8 / -0.1441 = -55.52
Taille de position USD = -55.52 x 8.4464 = -468.94
Donc, tu peux acheter -55.52 avec un stoploss a 8.3023
Avec un position size USD de -468.94$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -55.52 x -0.1441 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -55.52 x -0.3604 = 20.01
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 20.01$
Résumé
- Taille de position -55.52
- Taille de position USD -468.94
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 20.01
- Risk-Reward Ratio 2.501
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 4.27 % | 20 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.71 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 12.63 $ | 2.69 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.9247 % | 54.2 % | 5 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8.4464 | 8.3023 | 8.8068 | 2.5 | 9.5438 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 8.4464
- Stop Loss: 8.3023
- Take Profit: 8.8068
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 8.3023 - 8.4464 = -0.1441
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 8.4464 - 8.8068 = -0.3604
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.3604 / -0.1441 = 2.501
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -1.706%
(0.1441)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -0.546% | 0.3R | 0.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -0.657% | 0.4R | 0.0× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -0.925% | 0.5R | 0.0× | 48 |
| 8h | +3.141% | 1.8R | -0.925% | 0.5R | 3.4× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +3.141% | 1.8R | -0.925% | 0.5R | 3.4× | 144 |
| 24h | +4.452% | 2.6R | -0.925% | 0.5R | 4.8× | 288 |
computed 5 days ago
Commentaires
Aucun commentaire.