Long Trade on LIT (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 86.65 LIT at 2.449$ per unit. Take profit: 2.5099 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 2.3564 (3.77 %)
10 Aug 2026 at 23:10:09
hyperliquid
LIT
LONG
momentum_rotation_v2
hyperliquid
10 Aug 2026 23:10
→ 05:10
· 5 hours
Position
Entry 2.4487$
Qty 86.6542 LIT
Size 212.1902$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)
Risk Setup
TP 2.5099 (+2.5%)
TP $ 5.3$
SL 2.3564 (-3.77%)
SL $ 8$
RR 0.66
Status
loss
PnL
-0.65%
/ -1.38$
MAE -0.88%
MFE +2.05%
0.5R
expires
11 Aug 05:10
Exit
time_expired
V2 Shadow Analysis
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Quality Rank (id: 65320)
#3 / 50
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 10/08/2026 23:00
score du 10/08/2026 23:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.8218
Quality Score
0.799
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
100 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
0
BLOCKED
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
12.8M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
10/08 23:02
10/08 23:02
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank
#3 / 50
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
-1
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+5
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
3.77 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#3 / 50
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+5
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
3.77 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
2/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | -0.99×ATR |
| 4h | near | -1.24×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 1.20×ATR |
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
2/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↑ up | early | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
Regime
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bear_low_vol rules_regime : bear_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : range_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : bear_low (-1) 10/08 23:00 Score : -1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+3) 10/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 10/08 20:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high_confirmed (+1) 10/08 22:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1H
Score brut
0.7990
Score SMA
0.5452
Rank
#3
/ 50
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.8218
Rank Norm SMA
0.4472
Calculé le
10/08/2026 23:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.7467 | r1h: 1.356% · r4h: 4.319% · r1d: 4.04% · r3d: 5.75% · ema21_slope: 0.2078% · dist_ema21: 4.040% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.7763 | rs_1h: 1.378% · rs_4h: 4.278% · rs_1d: 5.66% · rs_3d: 7.08% · beta_24h: -0.101 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.8519 | rvol_20: 2.46× · zscore_50: 2.879 · trend: 59.44% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7368 | ADX: 28.4 (trend) · Chop: 34.3 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.567% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -3.769%
(0.0923)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +2.026% | 0.5R | -0.163% | 0.0R | 12.4× | 12 |
| 2h | +2.050% | 0.5R | -0.163% | 0.0R | 12.6× | 24 |
| 4h | +2.050% | 0.5R | -0.163% | 0.0R | 12.6× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +2.050% | 0.5R | -0.882% | 0.2R | 2.3× | 72 |
| 8h | +2.610% | 0.7R | -0.882% | 0.2R | 3.0× | 96 |
| 12h | +3.365% | 0.9R | -0.882% | 0.2R | 3.8× | 144 |
computed 6 days ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 5.4
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | fading | compression | bull_high |
65%
|
noisy_chop 37% | early | — | — | — | bear_high | -4.25% | +0.56 | 10/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | compression | bull_high |
63%
|
noisy_chop 34% | late | — | near -1.2ATR | 0.33 | range_medium | -0.40% | +0.38 | 10/08 20:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | fading | expansion | bull_high_confirmed |
64%
|
noisy_chop 46% | late | — | near -1.0ATR | 0.40 | bear_low | -0.95% | +0.66 | 10/08 22:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | range | range | strong | fading | normal | bull_high_confirmed |
62%
|
noisy_chop 53% | late | — | — | 0.27 | range_low | -0.57% | +0.39 | 10/08 22:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | early | 8b | — | 2.409×ATR | p0 | +0.895×ATR | p49 |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | 11b | — | 2.44×ATR | p22 | +1.658×ATR | p85 |
| 1h | ↑ up | late | 4b | — | 2.79×ATR | p63 | +2.21×ATR | p95 |
| 15m | ↑ up | late | 9b | — | 5.189×ATR | p86 | +2.896×ATR | p98 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.4487 | 2.3564 | 2.5099 | 0.66 | 2.368 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 2.4487
- Stop Loss: 2.3564
- Take Profit: 2.5099
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 2.3564 - 2.4487 = -0.0923
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 2.4487 - 2.5099 = -0.0612
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0612 / -0.0923 = 0.6631
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 212.1902 | 100 | 86.6542 | 2.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss -0.0923
Taille de position = 8 / -0.0923 = -86.67
Taille de position USD = -86.67 x 2.4487 = -212.23
Donc, tu peux acheter -86.67 avec un stoploss a 2.3564
Avec un position size USD de -212.23$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -86.67 x -0.0923 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -86.67 x -0.0612 = 5.3
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 5.3$
Résumé
- Taille de position -86.67
- Taille de position USD -212.23
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 5.3
- Risk-Reward Ratio 0.6631
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.5 % | 5.3 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 3.77 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -1.38 $ | -0.65 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.8821 % | 23.4 % | 11 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.4487 | 2.3564 | 2.5099 | 0.66 | 2.368 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 2.4487
- Stop Loss: 2.3564
- Take Profit: 2.5099
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 2.3564 - 2.4487 = -0.0923
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 2.4487 - 2.5099 = -0.0612
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0612 / -0.0923 = 0.6631
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -3.769%
(0.0923)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +2.026% | 0.5R | -0.163% | 0.0R | 12.4× | 12 |
| 2h | +2.050% | 0.5R | -0.163% | 0.0R | 12.6× | 24 |
| 4h | +2.050% | 0.5R | -0.163% | 0.0R | 12.6× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +2.050% | 0.5R | -0.882% | 0.2R | 2.3× | 72 |
| 8h | +2.610% | 0.7R | -0.882% | 0.2R | 3.0× | 96 |
| 12h | +3.365% | 0.9R | -0.882% | 0.2R | 3.8× | 144 |
computed 6 days ago
Commentaires
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