Long Trade on XPL

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10 Aug 2026 at 23:10:09 hyperliquid

Long Trade on XPL (momentum_rotation_v2)

With 3243.63 XPL at 0.0804$ per unit. Take profit: 0.08242 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 0.07794 (3.07 %)

XPL LONG momentum_rotation_v2 hyperliquid 10 Aug 2026 23:10 → 05:10 · 5 hours

Position

Entry 0.08041$

Qty 3243.6334 XPL

Size 260.8173$ (margin 100$) (leverage 3)

Risk Setup

TP 0.08242 (+2.5%)

TP $ 6.52$

SL 0.07794 (-3.07%)

SL $ 8.01$

RR 0.81

Status loss PnL -1.99% / -5.19$ MAE -2.18% MFE +0.66% 0.2R expires 11 Aug 05:10 Exit time_expired

V2 Shadow Analysis

Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?

Quality Rank (id: 65312)

#12 / 50 OK

seuil : top 15
score du 10/08/2026 23:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.5459

Quality Score

0.592

score brut du coin

Signal Confidence

97 % OK

seuil : ≥ 40%

Regime Score

0 BLOCKED

seuil : score ≥ 1

Décision V2

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime

Volume 24h (signal)

4.7M $

volume USDT au moment du signal
10/08 23:02

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank

#12 / 50 OK

seuil : top 15

Signal Confidence

97 % OK

seuil : ≥ 40%

BTC Regime Score

-1

−4 → +4 (macro BTC)

Coin Regime Score

−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)

Combined Regime Score

-1 BLOCKED

seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3

Stop Loss Size

3.07 % OK

seuil : ≥ 0.75%

Décision V3

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank

#12 / 50 OK

seuil : top 15

Signal Confidence

97 % OK

seuil : ≥ 40%

Combined Regime Score

-1 BLOCKED

seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3

Stop Loss Size

3.07 % OK

seuil : ≥ 0.75%

Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)

2/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF

TF	Near Supply	Distance (ATR)
1h	near	-1.36×ATR
4h	near	-0.07×ATR
1d	clear	4.68×ATR

Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)

0/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF

TF	Direction	Maturity	Adverse
1h	↑ up	mid	OK
4h	↓ down	mid	OK
1d	↓ down	late	OK

Décision V4

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

Regime

BTC Market Regime	BTC Market Regime V2
ml_regime : bear_low_vol rules_regime : bear_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0	ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : range_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : bear_low (-1) 10/08 23:00 Score : -1

BTC Market Regime

BTC Market Regime V2

ml_regime : bear_low_vol

rules_regime : bear_low

rules_regime_5m : range_low

Score : 0

ml_regime : bear_high

Strategic (1D) : range_high (0)

Operational (4H) : range_medium (0)

Tactical (1H) : bear_low (-1)

10/08 23:00

Score : -1

BTC Correlation	Coin Market Regime	Coin Market Regime V2
		Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3) 10/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 10/08 20:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 10/08 22:00 Score : 0 / ±6

BTC Correlation

Coin Market Regime

Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3)

10/08 20:00

Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2)

10/08 20:00

Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1)

10/08 22:00

Score : 0 / ±6

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

Score brut

0.5923

Score SMA

0.5835

Rank

#12 / 50

Rank Norm SMA 8h

0.5459

Rank Norm SMA

0.6765

Calculé le

10/08/2026 23:00

Composante	Poids	Score	Détails
Momentum	30%	0.6665	r1h: 0.459% · r4h: 3.963% · r1d: 1.82% · r3d: 7.01% · ema21_slope: 0.0182% · dist_ema21: 1.924%
Force Relative	25%	0.7141	rs_1h: 0.481% · rs_4h: 3.922% · rs_1d: 3.43% · rs_3d: 8.34% · beta_24h: 1.449
Volume	20%	0.1682	rvol_20: 0.12× · zscore_50: -0.934 · trend: -27.16%
Qualité Tendance	15%	0.5349	ADX: 18.9 (weak) · Chop: 53.3 (neutral)
Volatilité	10%	1.0000	ATR%: 1.282% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -3.072% (0.0025)

Horizon	MFE %	MFE R	MAE %	MAE R	MFE/MAE	Candles
1h	+0.660%	0.2R	-0.770%	0.3R	0.9×	12
2h	+0.660%	0.2R	-0.770%	0.3R	0.9×	24
4h	+0.660%	0.2R	-1.496%	0.5R	0.4×	48
6h ★	+0.660%	0.2R	-2.180%	0.7R	0.3×	72
8h	+0.660%	0.2R	-2.827%	0.9R	0.2×	96
12h	+0.660%	0.2R	-3.860%	1.3R	0.2×	144

computed 6 days ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: -100

ML Pullback Score: 0.86

Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

TF	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à
1d	↓ down	range	range	moderate	grind	compression	bear_high	53%	noisy_chop 34%	late	—	—	0.51	bear_high	-4.25%	-0.41	10/08 20:00
4h	↑ up	transition	bullish_transition	moderate	grind	expansion	bull_high	65%	noisy_chop 43%	mid	—	near -0.1ATR	0.40	range_medium	-0.40%	+0.57	10/08 20:00
1h	↑ up	range	bearish_transition	moderate	balanced	expansion_after_compression	bull_high	59%	noisy_chop 39%	mid	—	near -1.4ATR	0.43	bear_low	-0.95%	+0.29	10/08 22:00
15m	↔ neutral	range	range	strong	fading	normal	bull_medium	64%	noisy_chop 52%	late	—	near -0.4ATR	0.42	range_low	-0.57%	+0.32	10/08 22:45
5m	—

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF	Direction	Maturity	Age (bars)	Age since BOS	Amplitude	Amp. %ile	Extension	Ext. %ile
1d	↓ down	late	38b	—	7.485×ATR	p90	-0.166×ATR	p8
4h	↓ down	mid	4b	—	0.282×ATR	p0	+1.363×ATR	p79
1h	↑ up	mid	3b	—	3.186×ATR	p61	+1.35×ATR	p78
15m	↑ up	late	11b	—	5.111×ATR	p92	+1.925×ATR	p81

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_v2 - BUY

Indicators:

stop_price: 0.07794263
tp_price: 0.08241922
atr: 0.00098655
expires_at: 2026-08-11T09:10:09+00:00

Details

rank: 5
total: 51
score: 0.6665
delta_2h: 0.0614
extension_atr: 1.31
trend_phase:
trend_direction:
rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.5459
confidence: 0.97

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry	Stop Loss	Take Profit	RR	Current Price
0.08041	0.07794	0.08242	0.81	0.07619

Details

Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

Entry 0.08041
Stop Loss: 0.07794
Take Profit: 0.08242

Calcul:

Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

SL - E = 0.07794 - 0.08041 = -0.00247
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

E - TP = 0.08041 - 0.08242 = -0.00201
Risk-Reward Ratio:

RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.00201 / -0.00247 = 0.8138

📌 Position Size

Amount	Margin	Quantity	Leverage
260.8173	100	3243.6334	3.00

Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

Account Size 100
Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

Risk Amount 8
Distance Stop Loss -0.00247

Taille de position = 8 / -0.00247 = -3238.87

Taille de position USD = -3238.87 x 0.08041 = -260.44

Donc, tu peux acheter -3238.87 avec un stoploss a 0.07794

Avec un position size USD de -260.44$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = -3238.87 x -0.00247 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = -3238.87 x -0.00201 = 6.51

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 6.51$

Résumé

Taille de position -3238.87
Taille de position USD -260.44
Perte potentielle 8
Gain potentiel 6.51
Risk-Reward Ratio 0.8138

📌 Peformances

TP % Target	TP $ Target
2.5 %	6.52 $

SL % Target	SL $ Target
3.07 %	8.01 $

PNL	PNL %
-5.19 $	-1.99

Max Drawdown	Max Drawdown / SL Ratio	Candles in Entry
-2.1801 %	70.97 %	2

Entry	Stop Loss	Take Profit	RR	Current Price
0.08041	0.07794	0.08242	0.81	0.07619

Details

Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

Entry 0.08041
Stop Loss: 0.07794
Take Profit: 0.08242

Calcul:

Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

SL - E = 0.07794 - 0.08041 = -0.00247
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

E - TP = 0.08041 - 0.08242 = -0.00201
Risk-Reward Ratio:

RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.00201 / -0.00247 = 0.8138

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data


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Extra SL data


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MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -3.072% (0.0025)

Horizon	MFE %	MFE R	MAE %	MAE R	MFE/MAE	Candles
1h	+0.660%	0.2R	-0.770%	0.3R	0.9×	12
2h	+0.660%	0.2R	-0.770%	0.3R	0.9×	24
4h	+0.660%	0.2R	-1.496%	0.5R	0.4×	48
6h ★	+0.660%	0.2R	-2.180%	0.7R	0.3×	72
8h	+0.660%	0.2R	-2.827%	0.9R	0.2×	96
12h	+0.660%	0.2R	-3.860%	1.3R	0.2×	144

computed 6 days ago

Commentaires

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