Short Trade on NIL (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 1855.26 NIL at 0.039$ per unit. Take profit: 0.03806 (2.49 %) & Stop Loss: 0.04334 (11.04 %)
11 Aug 2026 at 00:10:05
hyperliquid
NIL
SHORT
momentum_rotation_v2
hyperliquid
11 Aug 2026 00:10
→ 04:25
· 4 hours
Position
Entry 0.03903$
Qty 1855.2575 NIL
Size 72.4144$ (leverage 1)
Risk Setup
TP 0.03806 (+2.49%)
TP $ 1.8$
SL 0.04334 (-11.04%)
SL $ 8$
RR 0.23
Status
win
PnL
+2.49%
/ +1.8$
MAE -2.09%
MFE +4.76%
0.4R
expires
11 Aug 06:10
V2 Shadow Analysis
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Quality Rank (id: 65360)
#49 / 50
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 11/08/2026 00:00
score du 11/08/2026 00:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.2767
Quality Score
0.373
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
96 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
1
OK
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
2.4M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
11/08 00:02
11/08 00:02
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank
#49 / 50
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
96 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+1
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
0
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+1
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
11.04 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#49 / 50
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
96 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+1
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
11.04 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
0/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 2.68×ATR |
| 4h | clear | 0.92×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 2.57×ATR |
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| 4h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 1d | ↑ up | early | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
Regime
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : bear_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 1 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : range_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : bear_low (+1) 11/08 00:00 Score : +1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3) 10/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (-2) 10/08 20:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (-1) 10/08 23:00 Score : 0 / ±6 |
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1H
Score brut
0.3733
Score SMA
0.5708
Rank
#49
/ 50
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.2767
Rank Norm SMA
0.5039
Calculé le
11/08/2026 00:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.3353 | r1h: 2.222% · r4h: -2.985% · r1d: -13.56% · r3d: 6.35% · ema21_slope: -0.5241% · dist_ema21: -3.189% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4575 | rs_1h: 2.067% · rs_4h: -3.254% · rs_1d: -12.28% · rs_3d: 7.70% · beta_24h: -0.683 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1701 | rvol_20: 0.45× · zscore_50: -0.449 · trend: -53.73% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5252 | ADX: 17.7 (weak) · Chop: 53.3 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.4552 | ATR%: 4.635% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -11.043%
(0.0043)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.642% | 0.2R | -1.852% | 0.2R | 0.9× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.642% | 0.2R | -2.093% | 0.2R | 0.8× | 24 |
| 4h | +2.480% | 0.2R | -2.093% | 0.2R | 1.2× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +4.755% | 0.4R | -2.093% | 0.2R | 2.3× | 72 |
| 8h | +6.413% | 0.6R | -2.093% | 0.2R | 3.1× | 96 |
| 12h | +9.664% | 0.9R | -2.093% | 0.2R | 4.6× | 144 |
computed 6 days ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 2.02
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | transition | bearish_transition | strong | balanced | volatile_reversal | bear_high |
56%
|
noisy_chop 40% | early | — | near -0.2ATR | 0.34 | bear_high | -4.25% | +0.83 | 10/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | volatile_reversal | bull_high |
45%
|
noisy_chop 41% | early | — | — | 0.36 | range_medium | -0.42% | -0.66 | 10/08 20:00 |
| 1h | ↔ neutral | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | compression | bull_high |
52%
|
noisy_chop 45% | late | — | — | 0.06 | bear_low | -0.78% | -0.67 | 10/08 23:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | fading | compression | bear_high |
53%
|
noisy_chop 41% | early | near 0.1ATR | — | — | range_low | -0.39% | -0.26 | 10/08 23:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | early | 10b | — | 2.677×ATR | p14 | +0.814×ATR | p50 |
| 4h | ↓ down | early | 3b | — | 3.386×ATR | p47 | -0.154×ATR | p8 |
| 1h | ↓ down | late | 14b | — | 6.02×ATR | p92 | -0.848×ATR | p38 |
| 15m | ↑ up | early | 2b | — | 1.605×ATR | p0 | -0.217×ATR | p8 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL
Indicators:
- stop_price: 0.04334407
- tp_price: 0.0380562
- atr: 0.00172483
- expires_at: 2026-08-11T10:10:05+00:00
Details
- rank: 48
- total: 50
- score: 0.3353
- delta_2h: -0.0497
- extension_atr: -0.58
- trend_phase:
- trend_direction:
- rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.2767
- confidence: 0.959
Signal Details
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.03903 | 0.04334 | 0.03806 | 0.23 | 0.04492 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.03903
- Stop Loss: 0.04334
- Take Profit: 0.03806
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.04334 - 0.03903 = 0.00431
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.03903 - 0.03806 = 0.00097000000000001
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.00097000000000001 / 0.00431 = 0.2251
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 72.4144 | 72.4144 | 1855.2575 | 1.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss 0.00431
Taille de position = 8 / 0.00431 = 1856.15
Taille de position USD = 1856.15 x 0.03903 = 72.45
Donc, tu peux acheter 1856.15 avec un stoploss a 0.04334
Avec un position size USD de 72.45$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 1856.15 x 0.00431 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 1856.15 x 0.00097000000000001 = 1.8
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 1.8$
Résumé
- Taille de position 1856.15
- Taille de position USD 72.45
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 1.8
- Risk-Reward Ratio 0.2251
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.49 % | 1.8 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 11.04 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 1.8 $ | 2.49 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -2.0933 % | 18.96 % | 7 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.03903 | 0.04334 | 0.03806 | 0.23 | 0.04492 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.03903
- Stop Loss: 0.04334
- Take Profit: 0.03806
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.04334 - 0.03903 = 0.00431
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.03903 - 0.03806 = 0.00097000000000001
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.00097000000000001 / 0.00431 = 0.2251
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -11.043%
(0.0043)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.642% | 0.2R | -1.852% | 0.2R | 0.9× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.642% | 0.2R | -2.093% | 0.2R | 0.8× | 24 |
| 4h | +2.480% | 0.2R | -2.093% | 0.2R | 1.2× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +4.755% | 0.4R | -2.093% | 0.2R | 2.3× | 72 |
| 8h | +6.413% | 0.6R | -2.093% | 0.2R | 3.1× | 96 |
| 12h | +9.664% | 0.9R | -2.093% | 0.2R | 4.6× | 144 |
computed 6 days ago
Commentaires
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