Long Trade on XPL (CatchTheWave)
With 24003.84 XPL at 0.0799$ per unit. Take profit: 0.08056 (0.84 %) & Stop Loss: 0.07956 (0.41 %)
Long Trade on XPL (CatchTheWave)
With 24003.84 XPL at 0.0799$ per unit. Take profit: 0.08056 (0.84 %) & Stop Loss: 0.07956 (0.41 %)
Position
Entry 0.07989$
Qty 24003.8406 XPL
Size 1917.7628$ (margin 100$) (leverage 19)
Risk Setup
TP 0.08056 (+0.84%)
TP $ 16.08$
SL 0.07956 (-0.41%)
SL $ 7.92$
RR 2.03
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.6330
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | -1.56×ATR |
| 4h | near | -0.04×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 4.68×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | late | OK |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : bear_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : range_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : bear_low (-1) 11/08 00:00 Score : -1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
5m : -0.089999 15m : 0.276136 |
1H_regime : bull_high 15m_regime : bull_medium 5m_regime : range_low |
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3) 10/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 10/08 20:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 10/08 23:00 Score : 0 / ±6 |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.6461 | r1h: 0.406% · r4h: 2.455% · r1d: 2.99% · r3d: 6.47% · ema21_slope: 0.0204% · dist_ema21: 1.961% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.6744 | rs_1h: 0.251% · rs_4h: 2.186% · rs_1d: 4.26% · rs_3d: 7.82% · beta_24h: 1.371 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1664 | rvol_20: 0.26× · zscore_50: -0.741 · trend: -38.16% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5573 | ADX: 19.8 (weak) · Chop: 51.6 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.250% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.623% | 1.5R | -0.079% | 0.2R | 7.9× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.623% | 1.5R | -0.456% | 1.1R | 1.4× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.623% | 1.5R | -1.200% | 2.9R | 0.5× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.623% | 1.5R | -2.194% | 5.3R | 0.3× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.623% | 1.5R | -5.909% | 14.3R | 0.1× | 144 |
computed 6 days ago
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
53%
|
noisy_chop 34% | late | — | — | 0.51 | bear_high | -4.25% | -0.41 | 10/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | expansion | bull_high |
65%
|
noisy_chop 43% | mid | — | near 0.0ATR | 0.40 | range_medium | -0.42% | +0.57 | 10/08 20:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | range | bearish_transition | moderate | fading | expansion_after_compression | bull_high |
57%
|
noisy_chop 40% | mid | — | near -1.6ATR | 0.42 | bear_low | -0.78% | +0.21 | 10/08 23:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | range | range | strong | fading | normal | bull_medium |
64%
|
choppy 52% | late | — | near -0.8ATR | — | range_low | -0.39% | +0.34 | 10/08 23:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | late | 38b | — | 7.485×ATR | p90 | -0.166×ATR | p8 |
| 4h | ↓ down | mid | 4b | — | 0.31×ATR | p0 | +1.323×ATR | p78 |
| 1h | ↑ up | mid | 4b | — | 3.431×ATR | p59 | +1.407×ATR | p80 |
| 15m | ↑ up | late | 14b | — | 5.384×ATR | p92 | +1.983×ATR | p81 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
64036.8
0.00137643
64125
-0.089999
64368.4
-0.00378201
64125
0.276136
64652
-0.0081373
64126
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0.4382
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0.0821
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1
0.4813
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0.3222
0.48
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0.5288
0.4038
0
0.9073
-0.8814
8.6268
1
1
0
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (2)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 00:10 | 0.07989400 | +0.005% |
| 2 | 00:16 | 0.07996700 | +0.096% |
Market Structure Score: 2
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-10 22:05:00 | 0.07769 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-10 22:30:00 | 0.077947 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-10 23:00:00 | 0.077206 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-10 23:55:00 | 0.079262 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-11 01:00:00 | 0.080164 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-11 02:20:00 | 0.080752 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-11 02:50:00 | 0.080746 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-11 03:00:00 | 0.080233 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-11 03:35:00 | 0.080941 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-11 04:10:00 | 0.079894 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-10 09:45:00 | 0.07895 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-10 12:15:00 | 0.079958 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-10 12:45:00 | 0.078607 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-10 14:15:00 | 0.080026 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-10 15:00:00 | 0.078174 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-10 15:45:00 | 0.08026 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-10 16:45:00 | 0.078308 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-10 23:00:00 | 0.077206 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-11 03:30:00 | 0.080941 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-11 04:00:00 | 0.079894 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-07 21:00:00 | 0.076753 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-08 02:00:00 | 0.075211 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-08 15:00:00 | 0.077499 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 03:00:00 | 0.075535 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 20:00:00 | 0.079414 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-10 00:00:00 | 0.076149 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-10 08:00:00 | 0.080949 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-10 15:00:00 | 0.08026 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-10 23:00:00 | 0.077206 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-11 03:00:00 | 0.080941 | ↑ High |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.07989 | 0.07956 | 0.08056 | 2.03 | 0.0748 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.07956 - 0.07989 = -0.00033
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.07989 - 0.08056 = -0.00067
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.00067 / -0.00033 = 2.0303
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1917.7628 | 100 | 24003.8406 | 19.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.00033 = -24242.42
Taille de position USD = -24242.42 x 0.07989 = -1936.73
Donc, tu peux acheter -24242.42 avec un stoploss a 0.07956
Avec un position size USD de -1936.73$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -24242.42 x -0.00033 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -24242.42 x -0.00067 = 16.24
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16.24$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.84 % | 16.08 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.41 % | 7.92 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -7.92 $ | -0.41 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.4556 % | 110.29 % | 10 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.07989 | 0.07956 | 0.08056 | 2.03 | 0.0748 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.07956 - 0.07989 = -0.00033
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.07989 - 0.08056 = -0.00067
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.00067 / -0.00033 = 2.0303
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.623% | 1.5R | -0.079% | 0.2R | 7.9× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.623% | 1.5R | -0.456% | 1.1R | 1.4× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.623% | 1.5R | -1.200% | 2.9R | 0.5× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.623% | 1.5R | -2.194% | 5.3R | 0.3× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.623% | 1.5R | -5.909% | 14.3R | 0.1× | 144 |
computed 6 days ago
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