Short Trade on DOT (BalanceBreakoutRegime)
With 1191.92 DOT at 0.802$ per unit. Take profit: 0.7849 (2.1 %) & Stop Loss: 0.8084 (0.84 %)
11 Aug 2026 at 00:14:21
hyperliquid
DOT
SHORT
BalanceBreakoutRegime
hyperliquid
11 Aug 2026 00:14
→ 01:35
· 1 hour
Position
Entry 0.8017$
Qty 1191.9182 DOT
Size 955.5489$ (margin 100$) (leverage 10)
Risk Setup
TP 0.7849 (+2.1%)
TP $ 20.02$
SL 0.8084 (-0.84%)
SL $ 7.99$
RR 2.51
Status
loss
PnL
-0.84%
/ -7.99$
MAE -1.18%
MFE +3.01%
3.6R
expires
11 Aug 12:14
V2 Shadow Analysis
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Quality Rank (id: 65340)
#40 / 50
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 11/08/2026 00:00
score du 11/08/2026 00:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.3887
Quality Score
0.474
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
70 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
1
OK
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
1.9M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
11/08 00:00
11/08 00:00
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank
#40 / 50
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
70 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+1
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+4
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+5
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
0.84 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#40 / 50
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
70 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+5
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
0.84 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 1.64×ATR |
| 4h | near | -0.70×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 1.58×ATR |
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
0/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 1d | ↑ up | early | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
Regime
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : bear_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 1 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : range_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : bear_low (+1) 11/08 00:00 Score : +1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3) 10/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : range_high (0) 10/08 20:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_medium (+1) 10/08 23:00 Score : +4 / ±6 |
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1H
Score brut
0.4735
Score SMA
0.5383
Rank
#40
/ 50
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.3887
Rank Norm SMA
0.4549
Calculé le
11/08/2026 00:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.4735 | r1h: -0.335% · r4h: -0.169% · r1d: 0.68% · r3d: -2.46% · ema21_slope: -0.0215% · dist_ema21: -0.300% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4856 | rs_1h: -0.489% · rs_4h: -0.438% · rs_1d: 1.95% · rs_3d: -1.11% · beta_24h: 0.526 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1625 | rvol_20: 0.17× · zscore_50: -0.562 · trend: -50.94% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5170 | ADX: 15.5 (weak) · Chop: 52.1 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.717% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -0.836%
(0.0067)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.127% | 0.2R | -0.166% | 0.2R | 0.8× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.127% | 0.2R | -1.039% | 1.2R | 0.1× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.127% | 0.2R | -1.039% | 1.2R | 0.1× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.629% | 0.8R | -1.181% | 1.4R | 0.5× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +3.012% | 3.6R | -1.181% | 1.4R | 2.6× | 144 |
| 24h | +3.012% | 3.6R | -1.181% | 1.4R | 2.6× | 288 |
computed 6 days ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 1.75
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | fading | compression | bear_high |
61%
|
noisy_chop 40% | early | — | — | 0.66 | bear_high | -4.25% | -0.04 | 10/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | grind | normal | range_high |
42%
|
noisy_chop 40% | early | near -0.7ATR | near 0.4ATR | 0.68 | range_medium | -0.42% | +0.06 | 10/08 20:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | expansion | bear_medium |
60%
|
noisy_chop 40% | early | — | — | 0.45 | bear_low | -0.78% | +0.06 | 10/08 23:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | balanced | compression | range_low |
39%
|
noisy_chop 41% | mid | near 0.3ATR | — | — | range_low | -0.39% | -0.03 | 10/08 23:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | early | 11b | — | 2.096×ATR | p0 | -0.341×ATR | p17 |
| 4h | ↓ down | early | 3b | — | 1.45×ATR | p0 | -0.35×ATR | p17 |
| 1h | ↓ down | early | 1b | — | 1.538×ATR | p2 | -0.38×ATR | p23 |
| 15m | ↓ down | mid | 6b | — | 3.956×ATR | p66 | -1.1×ATR | p62 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
BalanceBreakoutRegime - SELL
Indicators:
- long_trend: -1
- confidence: 0.6976
- reason: down_bo width=1.84×ATR dur=44b phase=fresh|ob:bid_pressure(-0.10)
- stop_price: 0.80840187
- tp_price: 0.78491032
- atr:
- score: 0.79762136654528
- expires_at: 2026-08-11T16:14:14.090998
- max_bars: 12
- max_bars_tf: 1h
- confidence_pre_ob: 0.79762136654528
Details
- 1H:
- 15m:
- 5m:
- btc_indicators ¸
- market_structures ¸
- market_structure_v2 ¸
- trend_analyzer_1h ¸
- orderbook_context
- obi_top5 : 0.3387
- obi_top10 : 0.1951
- micro_price : 0.8019385
- spread_pct : 0.124844
- mid_price : 0.8015
- bid_wall_price :
- bid_wall_size :
- bid_wall_dist_atr :
- ask_wall_price :
- ask_wall_size :
- ask_wall_dist_atr :
- snapshots_count : 5
- obi_top5_mean : 0.3387
- obi_top5_std : 0.0001
- pressure_side : bid
- collection_mode : ws_rolling
- collection_ms : 6834
- aggregation_tick : 0.001
- error : ¸
- strategy_details
- strategy : balance_breakout_regime_strict
- strategy_details
- balance_zone_top:
0.812895
- balance_zone_bottom:
0.80281
- balance_zone_mid:
0.8078525
- balance_zone_start_time:
1786266000
- balance_zone_end_time:
1786420800
- balance_zone_width_atr:
1.8357
- balance_zone_duration_bars:
44
- balance_zone_quality: tight
- balance_zone_maturity: established
- balance_zone_confidence:
0.7976
- balance_zone_state: leaving_balance
- balance_zone_breakout_direction: down
- balance_zone_breakout_phase: fresh
- balance_zone_breakout_time:
1786417200
- balance_zone_breakout_price:
0.80281
- strategy_details
- balance_metrics_inside_close_ratio:
0.7273
- balance_metrics_bars_since_breakout:
1
- balance_metrics_distance_to_edge_atr:
0.2039
- balance_metrics_has_retested:
1
- balance_metrics_retest_count:
1
- balance_metrics_touch_upper:
8
- balance_metrics_touch_lower:
10
- regime : bear_high
- atr_entry : 0.00549373 ¸
Signal Details
duration_bars
44
inside_close_ratio
0.7273
bars_since_breakout
1
distance_to_edge_atr
0.2039
Signaux confirmants (11)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 00:14 | 0.80169000 | -0.001% |
| 2 | 00:20 | 0.80179000 | +0.011% |
| 3 | 00:26 | 0.80179000 | +0.011% |
| 4 | 00:32 | 0.80179000 | +0.011% |
| 5 | 00:38 | 0.80205000 | +0.044% |
| 6 | 00:44 | 0.80205000 | +0.044% |
| 7 | 00:50 | 0.80123000 | -0.059% |
| 8 | 00:56 | 0.80123000 | -0.059% |
| 9 | 01:03 | 0.80123000 | -0.059% |
| 10 | 01:08 | 0.80128000 | -0.052% |
| 11 | 01:14 | 0.80128000 | -0.052% |
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
Orderbook Context
↑ bid
ws_rolling
5 snapshots
6834ms
Confidence avant OB :
80%
→
70%
Order Book Imbalance
OBI Top 5
0.339
avg 0.339
± 0.000
OBI Top 10
0.195
Microstructure
Mid Price
0.8015
Micro Price
0.8019
Spread
0.1248%
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.8017 | 0.8084 | 0.7849 | 2.51 | 0.7499 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.8017
- Stop Loss: 0.8084
- Take Profit: 0.7849
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.8084 - 0.8017 = 0.0067
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.8017 - 0.7849 = 0.0168
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0168 / 0.0067 = 2.5075
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 955.5489 | 100 | 1191.9182 | 10.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss 0.0067
Taille de position = 8 / 0.0067 = 1194.03
Taille de position USD = 1194.03 x 0.8017 = 957.25
Donc, tu peux acheter 1194.03 avec un stoploss a 0.8084
Avec un position size USD de 957.25$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 1194.03 x 0.0067 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 1194.03 x 0.0168 = 20.06
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 20.06$
Résumé
- Taille de position 1194.03
- Taille de position USD 957.25
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 20.06
- Risk-Reward Ratio 2.5075
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.1 % | 20.02 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.84 % | 7.99 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -7.99 $ | -0.84 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.9043 % | 108.21 % | 6 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.8017 | 0.8084 | 0.7849 | 2.51 | 0.7499 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.8017
- Stop Loss: 0.8084
- Take Profit: 0.7849
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.8084 - 0.8017 = 0.0067
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.8017 - 0.7849 = 0.0168
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0168 / 0.0067 = 2.5075
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
[1.1] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.7849
[entry_price] => 0.8017
[stop_loss] => 0.80907
[rr_ratio] => 2.28
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
[closed_at] => 2026-08-11 05:40:00+00
[result] => loss
)
[1.2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.7849
[entry_price] => 0.8017
[stop_loss] => 0.80974
[rr_ratio] => 2.09
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
[closed_at] => 2026-08-11 05:45:00+00
[result] => loss
)
[1.3] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.7849
[entry_price] => 0.8017
[stop_loss] => 0.81041
[rr_ratio] => 1.93
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
[closed_at] => 2026-08-11 09:40:00+00
[result] => loss
)
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -0.836%
(0.0067)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.127% | 0.2R | -0.166% | 0.2R | 0.8× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.127% | 0.2R | -1.039% | 1.2R | 0.1× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.127% | 0.2R | -1.039% | 1.2R | 0.1× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.629% | 0.8R | -1.181% | 1.4R | 0.5× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +3.012% | 3.6R | -1.181% | 1.4R | 2.6× | 144 |
| 24h | +3.012% | 3.6R | -1.181% | 1.4R | 2.6× | 288 |
computed 6 days ago
Commentaires
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