Short Trade on ADA (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 2069.44 ADA at 0.187$ per unit. Take profit: 0.1827 (2.51 %) & Stop Loss: 0.1913 (2.08 %)
11 Aug 2026 at 02:10:07
hyperliquid
ADA
SHORT
momentum_rotation_v2
hyperliquid
11 Aug 2026 02:10
→ 08:05
· 5 hours
Position
Entry 0.1874$
Qty 2069.4401 ADA
Size 387.8752$ (margin 100$) (leverage 4)
Risk Setup
TP 0.1827 (+2.51%)
TP $ 9.73$
SL 0.1913 (-2.08%)
SL $ 8.07$
RR 1.21
Status
loss
PnL
-0.42%
/ -1.64$
MAE -0.86%
MFE +0.00%
0.0R
expires
11 Aug 08:10
Exit
time_expired
V2 Shadow Analysis
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Quality Rank (id: 65440)
#37 / 49
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 11/08/2026 02:00
score du 11/08/2026 02:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.3019
Quality Score
0.479
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
98 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
1
OK
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
5.6M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
11/08 02:01
11/08 02:01
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank
#37 / 49
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
98 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+1
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+2
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+3
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
2.08 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#37 / 49
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
98 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+3
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
2.08 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 0.68×ATR |
| 4h | near | -0.91×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 3.43×ATR |
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
2/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↑ up | mid | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
Regime
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : bear_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 1 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : range_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : bear_low (+1) 11/08 02:00 Score : +1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3) 10/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (-2) 11/08 00:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 11/08 01:00 Score : +2 / ±6 |
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1H
Score brut
0.4789
Score SMA
0.5087
Rank
#37
/ 49
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.3019
Rank Norm SMA
0.3351
Calculé le
11/08/2026 02:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.3270 | r1h: -0.949% · r4h: -1.655% · r1d: -4.89% · r3d: -6.39% · ema21_slope: -0.1626% · dist_ema21: -2.444% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.3436 | rs_1h: -0.974% · rs_4h: -1.636% · rs_1d: -3.24% · rs_3d: -4.94% · beta_24h: 0.345 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.3907 | rvol_20: 1.23× · zscore_50: 0.483 · trend: -19.31% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7782 | ADX: 33.4 (trend) · Chop: 37.3 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.855% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -2.081%
(0.0039)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -0.865% | 0.4R | 0.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -0.865% | 0.4R | 0.0× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -0.865% | 0.4R | 0.0× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +0.000% | 0.0R | -0.865% | 0.4R | 0.0× | 72 |
| 8h | +0.624% | 0.3R | -0.865% | 0.4R | 0.7× | 96 |
| 12h | +2.038% | 1.0R | -0.865% | 0.4R | 2.4× | 144 |
computed 1 week ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.29
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | normal | bear_high |
64%
|
noisy_chop 44% | mid | — | near 0.3ATR | 0.80 | bear_high | -4.25% | +0.82 | 10/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↔ neutral | range | range | strong | grind | compression | bull_high |
56%
|
noisy_chop 44% | late | near -0.9ATR | — | 0.57 | range_medium | -0.43% | -0.42 | 11/08 00:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | fading | normal | bear_high |
56%
|
noisy_chop 42% | late | — | — | 0.28 | bear_low | -0.90% | -0.22 | 11/08 01:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | compression | bear_low_confirmed |
49%
|
noisy_chop 48% | late | — | — | — | range_low | -0.46% | -0.12 | 11/08 01:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | mid | 14b | — | 3.864×ATR | p56 | +0.579×ATR | p33 |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | 27b | — | 6.261×ATR | p88 | -1.846×ATR | p82 |
| 1h | ↓ down | late | 15b | — | 5.776×ATR | p94 | -2.842×ATR | p96 |
| 15m | ↓ down | late | 14b | — | 5.539×ATR | p84 | -3.887×ATR | p100 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL
Indicators:
- stop_price: 0.19129578
- tp_price: 0.18274425
- atr: 0.00154631
- expires_at: 2026-08-11T12:10:07+00:00
Details
- rank: 49
- total: 50
- score: 0.327
- delta_2h: -0.0696
- extension_atr: -2.86
- trend_phase:
- trend_direction:
- rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.3019
- confidence: 0.98
Signal Details
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.1874 | 0.1913 | 0.1827 | 1.21 | 0.1756 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.1874
- Stop Loss: 0.1913
- Take Profit: 0.1827
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.1913 - 0.1874 = 0.0039
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.1874 - 0.1827 = 0.0047
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0047 / 0.0039 = 1.2051
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 387.8752 | 100 | 2069.4401 | 4.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss 0.0039
Taille de position = 8 / 0.0039 = 2051.28
Taille de position USD = 2051.28 x 0.1874 = 384.41
Donc, tu peux acheter 2051.28 avec un stoploss a 0.1913
Avec un position size USD de 384.41$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 2051.28 x 0.0039 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 2051.28 x 0.0047 = 9.64
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 9.64$
Résumé
- Taille de position 2051.28
- Taille de position USD 384.41
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 9.64
- Risk-Reward Ratio 1.2051
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.51 % | 9.73 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.08 % | 8.07 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -1.64 $ | -0.42 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.8645 % | 41.54 % | 0 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.1874 | 0.1913 | 0.1827 | 1.21 | 0.1756 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.1874
- Stop Loss: 0.1913
- Take Profit: 0.1827
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.1913 - 0.1874 = 0.0039
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.1874 - 0.1827 = 0.0047
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0047 / 0.0039 = 1.2051
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -2.081%
(0.0039)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -0.865% | 0.4R | 0.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -0.865% | 0.4R | 0.0× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -0.865% | 0.4R | 0.0× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +0.000% | 0.0R | -0.865% | 0.4R | 0.0× | 72 |
| 8h | +0.624% | 0.3R | -0.865% | 0.4R | 0.7× | 96 |
| 12h | +2.038% | 1.0R | -0.865% | 0.4R | 2.4× | 144 |
computed 1 week ago
Commentaires
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