Short Trade on CC (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 2285.86 CC at 0.0933$ per unit. Take profit: 0.09101 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 0.09684 (3.75 %)
Short Trade on CC (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 2285.86 CC at 0.0933$ per unit. Take profit: 0.09101 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 0.09684 (3.75 %)
Position
Entry 0.09334$
Qty 2285.858 CC
Size 213.3643$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)
Risk Setup
TP 0.09101 (+2.5%)
TP $ 5.33$
SL 0.09684 (-3.75%)
SL $ 8$
RR 0.67
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.3560
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 1.69×ATR |
| 4h | clear | 0.61×ATR |
| 1d | near | -0.87×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| 4h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : bear_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 1 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : range_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : bear_low (+1) 11/08 02:00 Score : +1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high_confirmed (+3) 10/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 11/08 00:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 11/08 01:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.3345 | r1h: -0.859% · r4h: -3.624% · r1d: -6.27% · r3d: 3.41% · ema21_slope: -0.1413% · dist_ema21: -3.216% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.3708 | rs_1h: -0.884% · rs_4h: -3.605% · rs_1d: -4.62% · rs_3d: 4.86% · beta_24h: 0.038 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.5348 | rvol_20: 1.65× · zscore_50: 0.908 · trend: 17.99% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5783 | ADX: 17.6 (weak) · Chop: 46.7 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.542% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.387% | 0.1R | -0.586% | 0.2R | 0.7× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.387% | 0.1R | -2.563% | 0.7R | 0.2× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.387% | 0.1R | -3.108% | 0.8R | 0.1× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +0.387% | 0.1R | -3.108% | 0.8R | 0.1× | 72 |
| 8h | +0.387% | 0.1R | -3.498% | 0.9R | 0.1× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.387% | 0.1R | -8.024% | 2.1R | 0.1× | 144 |
computed 1 week ago
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | range | range | strong | grind | compression | bear_high_confirmed |
53%
|
noisy_chop 47% | late | near -0.9ATR | — | — | bear_high | -4.25% | -0.96 | 10/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
61%
|
noisy_chop 34% | early | — | — | 0.15 | range_medium | -0.43% | +0.46 | 11/08 00:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
59%
|
noisy_chop 51% | late | — | — | 0.03 | bear_low | -0.90% | -0.33 | 11/08 01:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | compression | bear_medium_confirmed |
57%
|
choppy 57% | late | — | — | — | range_low | -0.46% | -0.34 | 11/08 01:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | late | 27b | — | 8.972×ATR | p94 | -1.931×ATR | p93 |
| 4h | ↓ down | early | 7b | — | 2.785×ATR | p21 | -0.863×ATR | p52 |
| 1h | ↓ down | late | 4b | — | 4.001×ATR | p88 | -2.275×ATR | p88 |
| 15m | ↓ down | late | 18b | — | 10.889×ATR | p100 | -4.153×ATR | p100 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (2)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 02:10 | 0.09334100 | +0.001% |
| 2 | 03:10 | 0.09304800 | -0.313% |
Market Structure Score: 0
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.09334 | 0.09684 | 0.09101 | 0.67 | 0.09039 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.09684 - 0.09334 = 0.0035
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.09334 - 0.09101 = 0.00233
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.00233 / 0.0035 = 0.6657
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 213.3643 | 100 | 2285.858 | 2.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 0.0035 = 2285.71
Taille de position USD = 2285.71 x 0.09334 = 213.35
Donc, tu peux acheter 2285.71 avec un stoploss a 0.09684
Avec un position size USD de 213.35$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 2285.71 x 0.0035 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 2285.71 x 0.00233 = 5.33
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 5.33$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.5 % | 5.33 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 3.75 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -4.1 $ | -1.92 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -3.108 % | 82.89 % | 5 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.09334 | 0.09684 | 0.09101 | 0.67 | 0.09039 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.09684 - 0.09334 = 0.0035
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.09334 - 0.09101 = 0.00233
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.00233 / 0.0035 = 0.6657
Array
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.387% | 0.1R | -0.586% | 0.2R | 0.7× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.387% | 0.1R | -2.563% | 0.7R | 0.2× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.387% | 0.1R | -3.108% | 0.8R | 0.1× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +0.387% | 0.1R | -3.108% | 0.8R | 0.1× | 72 |
| 8h | +0.387% | 0.1R | -3.498% | 0.9R | 0.1× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.387% | 0.1R | -8.024% | 2.1R | 0.1× | 144 |
computed 1 week ago
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