Short Trade on ONDO (BosPullback)
With 2103.19 ONDO at 0.339$ per unit. Take profit: 0.3294 (2.8 %) & Stop Loss: 0.3428 (1.15 %)
Short Trade on ONDO (BosPullback)
With 2103.19 ONDO at 0.339$ per unit. Take profit: 0.3294 (2.8 %) & Stop Loss: 0.3428 (1.15 %)
Position
Entry 0.3389$
Qty 2103.1876 ONDO
Size 712.8755$ (margin 100$) (leverage 7)
Risk Setup
TP 0.3294 (+2.8%)
TP $ 19.98$
SL 0.3428 (-1.15%)
SL $ 8.2$
RR 2.44
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.4259
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | — |
| 4h | near | -0.13×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 0.52×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : bear_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 1 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : range_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : bear_low (+1) 11/08 02:00 Score : +1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
1H_regime : bear_high 15m_regime : bear_low |
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3) 10/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 11/08 00:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 11/08 02:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.4016 | r1h: 0.112% · r4h: -0.589% · r1d: -3.66% · r3d: -3.60% · ema21_slope: -0.1454% · dist_ema21: -1.162% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4487 | rs_1h: 0.087% · rs_4h: -0.570% · rs_1d: -2.01% · rs_3d: -2.15% · beta_24h: 0.665 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1414 | rvol_20: 0.11× · zscore_50: -0.898 · trend: -49.10% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6478 | ADX: 28.2 (trend) · Chop: 49.0 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.884% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.558% | 0.5R | -0.018% | 0.0R | 31.5× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.696% | 0.6R | -0.018% | 0.0R | 39.3× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.696% | 0.6R | -0.410% | 0.4R | 1.7× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.127% | 1.0R | -0.561% | 0.5R | 2.0× | 96 |
| 12h | +2.361% | 2.1R | -0.561% | 0.5R | 4.2× | 144 |
| 24h | +2.361% | 2.1R | -0.561% | 0.5R | 4.2× | 288 |
computed 6 days ago
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | fading | compression | bear_high |
50%
|
noisy_chop 41% | mid | — | — | 0.63 | bear_high | -4.08% | -0.93 | 10/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | fading | compression | bear_high |
60%
|
noisy_chop 44% | late | near -0.1ATR | — | 0.54 | range_medium | -0.49% | -0.12 | 11/08 00:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | balanced | normal | bear_high |
62%
|
noisy_chop 42% | mid | — | — | 0.56 | bear_low | -0.88% | -0.18 | 11/08 02:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bear_low |
49%
|
noisy_chop 40% | mid | near 0.2ATR | near -0.3ATR | — | range_low | -0.60% | -0.04 | 11/08 02:15 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | 12b | — | 4.421×ATR | p67 | -1.384×ATR | p72 |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | 15b | — | 3.135×ATR | p43 | -1.698×ATR | p85 |
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | 4b | — | 1.204×ATR | p0 | -1.446×ATR | p71 |
| 15m | ↓ down | mid | 17b | — | 3.164×ATR | p56 | -0.655×ATR | p36 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
0.34255
145
0.2405
0.6116
0.3808
0.2179
0.5142
0.5167
0.5366
0.5352
0.2903
0.3229
0.6516
0.0766
-0.1746
-0.1287
0
-1.4603
-3.0397
0.4
0.6
-1
6
1
0.5642
0.6017
3.7072
0.55
0.5167
1.9155
-3.0397
0.4914
0.2961
0.3
-0.0856
0.4704
0.4206
0.9322
0.0766
-14.3964
1.1948
1
0
1
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[price] => 0.34636
[kind] => high
[label] => LH
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Array
(
[time] => 2026-08-10 23:00:00
[price] => 0.33729
[kind] => low
[label] => LL
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[time] => 2026-08-10 23:30:00
[price] => 0.342
[kind] => high
[label] => LH
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0.33604
0.34255
0.34255
0.33604
0.34864
0.34224
0.34544
0.805
Signal Details
Market Structure Score: 0
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.3389 | 0.3428 | 0.3294 | 2.44 | 0.3414 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.3428 - 0.3389 = 0.0039
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.3389 - 0.3294 = 0.0095
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0095 / 0.0039 = 2.4359
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 712.8755 | 100 | 2103.1876 | 7.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 0.0039 = 2051.28
Taille de position USD = 2051.28 x 0.3389 = 695.18
Donc, tu peux acheter 2051.28 avec un stoploss a 0.3428
Avec un position size USD de 695.18$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 2051.28 x 0.0039 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 2051.28 x 0.0095 = 19.49
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 19.49$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.8 % | 19.98 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.15 % | 8.2 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 19.98 $ | 2.80 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.5606 % | 48.71 % | 24 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.3389 | 0.3428 | 0.3294 | 2.44 | 0.3414 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.3428 - 0.3389 = 0.0039
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.3389 - 0.3294 = 0.0095
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0095 / 0.0039 = 2.4359
Array
(
)
Array
(
)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.558% | 0.5R | -0.018% | 0.0R | 31.5× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.696% | 0.6R | -0.018% | 0.0R | 39.3× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.696% | 0.6R | -0.410% | 0.4R | 1.7× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.127% | 1.0R | -0.561% | 0.5R | 2.0× | 96 |
| 12h | +2.361% | 2.1R | -0.561% | 0.5R | 4.2× | 144 |
| 24h | +2.361% | 2.1R | -0.561% | 0.5R | 4.2× | 288 |
computed 6 days ago
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