Long Trade on HYPE (CatchTheWave)
With 59.79 HYPE at 55.06$ per unit. Take profit: 55.3276 (0.49 %) & Stop Loss: 54.9262 (0.24 %)
Long Trade on HYPE (CatchTheWave)
With 59.79 HYPE at 55.06$ per unit. Take profit: 55.3276 (0.49 %) & Stop Loss: 54.9262 (0.24 %)
Position
Entry 55.06$
Qty 59.7887 HYPE
Size 3291.9648$ (margin 100$) (leverage 33)
Risk Setup
TP 55.3276 (+0.49%)
TP $ 16$
SL 54.9262 (-0.24%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.6331
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 2.26×ATR |
| 4h | clear | 0.57×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 4.44×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | late | OK |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bear_low_vol rules_regime : bear_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : range_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : bear_low (-1) 11/08 02:00 Score : -1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
5m : 0.427061 15m : 0.444747 |
1H_regime : range_high 15m_regime : range_low 5m_regime : range_low |
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3) 10/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : range_high (0) 11/08 00:00 Tactical (1H) : range_high (0) 11/08 02:00 Score : -3 / ±6 |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5271 | r1h: -0.419% · r4h: -0.081% · r1d: 1.96% · r3d: 1.71% · ema21_slope: 0.0829% · dist_ema21: 0.517% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5516 | rs_1h: -0.444% · rs_4h: -0.063% · rs_1d: 3.61% · rs_3d: 3.16% · beta_24h: 0.870 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1395 | rvol_20: 0.14× · zscore_50: -1.012 · trend: -44.80% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6512 | ADX: 22.7 (weak) · Chop: 42.9 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.772% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.164% | 0.7R | -0.472% | 1.9R | 0.4× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.262% | 1.1R | -0.472% | 1.9R | 0.6× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.467% | 1.9R | -0.472% | 1.9R | 1.0× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.590% | 2.4R | -1.555% | 6.4R | 0.4× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.590% | 2.4R | -2.403% | 9.9R | 0.3× | 144 |
computed 1 week ago
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
52%
|
noisy_chop 39% | late | — | — | 0.46 | bear_high | -4.08% | -0.34 | 10/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↔ neutral | range | range | strong | balanced | compression | range_high |
42%
|
noisy_chop 39% | early | — | — | 0.58 | range_medium | -0.49% | +0.37 | 11/08 00:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | early_expansion | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | expansion | range_high |
46%
|
noisy_chop 41% | early | — | — | 0.47 | bear_low | -1.03% | +0.30 | 11/08 02:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | range_low |
40%
|
noisy_chop 35% | early | — | — | — | range_low | -0.58% | -0.01 | 11/08 02:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | late | 35b | — | 6.463×ATR | p90 | -0.326×ATR | p22 |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | 21b | — | 2.214×ATR | p3 | +0.553×ATR | p34 |
| 1h | ↑ up | early | 5b | — | 1.188×ATR | p0 | +0.423×ATR | p22 |
| 15m | ↓ down | early | 8b | — | 2.354×ATR | p32 | -0.641×ATR | p45 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
64005.8
-0.00196687
63880
0.427061
64317.7
-0.00621465
63918
0.444747
64604.3
-0.0105616
63922
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[detected_trend] => range
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[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 2
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 5
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54.765
194
0.7154
0.6358
0.3644
0.2384
0.4675
0.6163
0.3572
0.554
0.6643
0.5928
0.6175
0.508
0.093
0.0552
1
0.4782
1.0056
0.55
0.45
1
10
1
0.5231
0.5069
4.0681
0.7
0.6163
2.5071
1.0056
0.4935
0.2872
0.48
0.1572
0.4829
0.4534
0.8367
0.508
-4.5323
4.6805
1
0
1
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (2)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 02:56 | 55.06000000 | 0% |
| 2 | 03:03 | 55.06300000 | +0.005% |
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-10 22:50:00 | 55.211 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-11 01:05:00 | 54.765 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-11 01:45:00 | 55.487 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-11 02:50:00 | 55.153 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-11 04:35:00 | 55.615 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-11 05:20:00 | 55.241 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-11 05:50:00 | 55.258 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-11 06:10:00 | 55.489 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-11 06:50:00 | 55 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-10 08:15:00 | 54.853 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-10 11:00:00 | 54.228 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-10 12:15:00 | 55.244 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-10 16:45:00 | 53.947 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-10 18:45:00 | 54.777 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-10 20:00:00 | 56.079 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-11 01:00:00 | 54.765 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-11 01:45:00 | 55.487 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-11 04:30:00 | 55.615 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-11 06:30:00 | 55.219 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-08 14:00:00 | 54.315 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 01:00:00 | 55.282 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 11:00:00 | 54.057 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 16:00:00 | 54.997 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 23:00:00 | 53.706 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-10 12:00:00 | 55.244 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-10 16:00:00 | 53.947 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-10 20:00:00 | 56.079 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-11 01:00:00 | 54.765 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-11 04:00:00 | 55.615 | ↑ High |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 55.06 | 54.9262 | 55.3276 | 2 | 62.07 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 54.9262 - 55.06 = -0.1338
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 55.06 - 55.3276 = -0.26759999999999
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.26759999999999 / -0.1338 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3291.9648 | 100 | 59.7887 | 33.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.1338 = -59.79
Taille de position USD = -59.79 x 55.06 = -3292.04
Donc, tu peux acheter -59.79 avec un stoploss a 54.9262
Avec un position size USD de -3292.04$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -59.79 x -0.1338 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -59.79 x -0.26759999999999 = 16
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.49 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.24 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -0.24 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.3977 % | 163.66 % | 2 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 55.06 | 54.9262 | 55.3276 | 2 | 62.07 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 54.9262 - 55.06 = -0.1338
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 55.06 - 55.3276 = -0.26759999999999
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.26759999999999 / -0.1338 = 2
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.164% | 0.7R | -0.472% | 1.9R | 0.4× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.262% | 1.1R | -0.472% | 1.9R | 0.6× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.467% | 1.9R | -0.472% | 1.9R | 1.0× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.590% | 2.4R | -1.555% | 6.4R | 0.4× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.590% | 2.4R | -2.403% | 9.9R | 0.3× | 144 |
computed 1 week ago
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