Long Trade on PUMP (BalanceBreakoutRegime)
With 63471.91 PUMP at 0.00289$ per unit. Take profit: 0.003202 (10.91 %) & Stop Loss: 0.002761 (4.36 %)
11 Aug 2026 at 03:09:31
hyperliquid
PUMP
LONG
BalanceBreakoutRegime
hyperliquid
11 Aug 2026 03:09
→ 06:00
· 2 hours
Position
Entry 0.002887$
Qty 63471.9137 PUMP
Size 183.2434$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)
Risk Setup
TP 0.003202 (+10.91%)
TP $ 19.99$
SL 0.002761 (-4.36%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2.5
Status
loss
PnL
-4.36%
/ -8$
MAE -7.52%
MFE +0.31%
0.1R
expires
11 Aug 15:09
V2 Shadow Analysis
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Quality Rank (id: 65510)
#1 / 51
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 11/08/2026 03:00
score du 11/08/2026 03:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.8496
Quality Score
0.822
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
75 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
0
BLOCKED
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
57.9M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
11/08 03:02
11/08 03:02
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank
#1 / 51
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
75 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
-1
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+5
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
4.36 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#1 / 51
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
75 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+5
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
4.36 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
2/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | -0.40×ATR |
| 4h | clear | — |
| 1d | near | -1.21×ATR |
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
2/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
Regime
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bear_low_vol rules_regime : bear_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : range_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : bear_low (-1) 11/08 03:00 Score : -1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bull_high_confirmed (+3) 10/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 11/08 00:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high_confirmed (+1) 11/08 02:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1H
Score brut
0.8223
Score SMA
0.6503
Rank
#1
/ 51
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.8496
Rank Norm SMA
0.8728
Calculé le
11/08/2026 03:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.8166 | r1h: 1.656% · r4h: 2.449% · r1d: 1.16% · r3d: 26.52% · ema21_slope: 0.1817% · dist_ema21: 3.292% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.7922 | rs_1h: 1.745% · rs_4h: 2.610% · rs_1d: 3.21% · rs_3d: 28.14% · beta_24h: 1.045 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.9305 | rvol_20: 3.44× · zscore_50: 3.213 · trend: 47.85% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6213 | ADX: 30.6 (trend) · Chop: 54.8 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 2.528% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -4.364%
(0.0001)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.312% | 0.1R | -2.771% | 0.6R | 0.1× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.312% | 0.1R | -3.602% | 0.8R | 0.1× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.312% | 0.1R | -4.745% | 1.1R | 0.1× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.312% | 0.1R | -7.135% | 1.6R | 0.0× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +0.312% | 0.1R | -7.517% | 1.7R | 0.0× | 144 |
| 24h | +0.312% | 0.1R | -7.517% | 1.7R | 0.0× | 288 |
computed 6 days ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.12
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | fading | expansion_after_compression | bull_high_confirmed |
64%
|
noisy_chop 47% | late | — | near -1.2ATR | 0.57 | bear_high | -4.08% | +1.00 | 10/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | grind | expansion_after_compression | bull_high |
71%
|
noisy_chop 47% | late | — | — | 0.43 | range_medium | -0.49% | +0.99 | 11/08 00:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | normal | bull_high_confirmed |
59%
|
noisy_chop 33% | mid | — | near -0.4ATR | 0.24 | bear_low | -1.03% | +0.59 | 11/08 02:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | grind | expansion | bull_high_confirmed |
63%
|
noisy_chop 42% | late | — | — | 0.20 | range_low | -0.59% | +0.31 | 11/08 02:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | late | 28b | — | 7.503×ATR | p89 | +2.883×ATR | p99 |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | 20b | — | 5.908×ATR | p86 | +1.92×ATR | p84 |
| 1h | ↑ up | mid | 6b | — | 2.179×ATR | p43 | +1.276×ATR | p64 |
| 15m | ↑ up | late | 7b | — | 3.369×ATR | p70 | +1.881×ATR | p91 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
BalanceBreakoutRegime - BUY
Indicators:
- long_trend: 1
- confidence: 0.7451
- reason: up_bo width=2.50×ATR dur=35b phase=fresh
- stop_price: 0.00276096
- tp_price: 0.0032021
- atr:
- score: 0.74507986904153
- expires_at: 2026-08-11T19:09:24.000895
- max_bars: 12
- max_bars_tf: 1h
- confidence_pre_ob: 0.74507986904153
Details
- 1H:
- 15m:
- 5m:
- btc_indicators ¸
- market_structures ¸
- market_structure_v2 ¸
- trend_analyzer_1h ¸
- orderbook_context
- obi_top5 : 0.0708
- obi_top10 : 0.0907
- micro_price : 0.00287769
- spread_pct : 0.069517
- mid_price : 0.002878
- bid_wall_price : 0.00286
- bid_wall_size : 65618828
- bid_wall_dist_atr :
- ask_wall_price : 0.00288
- ask_wall_size : 56715403.4
- ask_wall_dist_atr :
- snapshots_count : 5
- obi_top5_mean : 0.0389
- obi_top5_std : 0.0331
- pressure_side : neutral
- collection_mode : ws_rolling
- collection_ms : 7092
- aggregation_tick : 1.0E-5
- error : ¸
- strategy_details
- strategy : balance_breakout_regime_strict
- strategy_details
- balance_zone_top:
0.002856
- balance_zone_bottom:
0.00268
- balance_zone_mid:
0.002768
- balance_zone_start_time:
1786309200
- balance_zone_end_time:
1786431600
- balance_zone_width_atr:
2.5002
- balance_zone_duration_bars:
35
- balance_zone_quality: tight
- balance_zone_maturity: established
- balance_zone_confidence:
0.7451
- balance_zone_state: leaving_balance
- balance_zone_breakout_direction: up
- balance_zone_breakout_phase: fresh
- balance_zone_breakout_time:
1786428000
- balance_zone_breakout_price:
0.002856
- strategy_details
- balance_metrics_inside_close_ratio:
0.8571
- balance_metrics_bars_since_breakout:
1
- balance_metrics_distance_to_edge_atr:
0.4404
- balance_metrics_has_retested:
- balance_metrics_retest_count:
0
- balance_metrics_touch_upper:
10
- balance_metrics_touch_lower:
7
- regime : bull_high
- atr_entry : 7.039E-5 ¸
Signal Details
duration_bars
35
inside_close_ratio
0.8571
bars_since_breakout
1
distance_to_edge_atr
0.4404
Signaux confirmants (7)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 03:09 | 0.00288700 | 0% |
| 2 | 03:15 | 0.00288700 | 0% |
| 3 | 03:21 | 0.00289300 | +0.208% |
| 4 | 03:27 | 0.00289300 | +0.208% |
| 5 | 03:33 | 0.00289300 | +0.208% |
| 6 | 03:39 | 0.00286300 | -0.831% |
| 7 | 03:45 | 0.00286300 | -0.831% |
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
Orderbook Context
→ neutral
ws_rolling
5 snapshots
7092ms
Confidence avant OB :
75%
→
75%
Order Book Imbalance
OBI Top 5
0.071
avg 0.039
± 0.033
OBI Top 10
0.091
Microstructure
Mid Price
0.0029
Micro Price
0.0029
Spread
0.0695%
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
Price
0.0029
Size
65,618,828.00
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
Price
0.0029
Size
56,715,403.40
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.002887 | 0.002761 | 0.003202 | 2.5 | 0.003099 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.002887
- Stop Loss: 0.002761
- Take Profit: 0.003202
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.002761 - 0.002887 = -0.000126
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.002887 - 0.003202 = -0.000315
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.000315 / -0.000126 = 2.5
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 183.2434 | 100 | 63471.9137 | 2.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss -0.000126
Taille de position = 8 / -0.000126 = -63492.06
Taille de position USD = -63492.06 x 0.002887 = -183.3
Donc, tu peux acheter -63492.06 avec un stoploss a 0.002761
Avec un position size USD de -183.3$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -63492.06 x -0.000126 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -63492.06 x -0.000315 = 20
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 20$
Résumé
- Taille de position -63492.06
- Taille de position USD -183.3
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 20
- Risk-Reward Ratio 2.5
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 10.91 % | 19.99 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 4.36 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -4.36 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -4.3644 % | 100 % | 3 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.002887 | 0.002761 | 0.003202 | 2.5 | 0.003099 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.002887
- Stop Loss: 0.002761
- Take Profit: 0.003202
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.002761 - 0.002887 = -0.000126
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.002887 - 0.003202 = -0.000315
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.000315 / -0.000126 = 2.5
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
[1.1] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.003202
[entry_price] => 0.002887
[stop_loss] => 0.0027484
[rr_ratio] => 2.27
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
[closed_at] => 2026-08-11 11:15:00+00
[result] => loss
)
[1.2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.003202
[entry_price] => 0.002887
[stop_loss] => 0.0027358
[rr_ratio] => 2.08
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
[closed_at] => 2026-08-11 11:20:00+00
[result] => loss
)
[1.3] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.003202
[entry_price] => 0.002887
[stop_loss] => 0.0027232
[rr_ratio] => 1.92
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
[closed_at] => 2026-08-11 12:15:00+00
[result] => loss
)
[1.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.003202
[entry_price] => 0.002887
[stop_loss] => 0.002698
[rr_ratio] => 1.67
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
[closed_at] => 2026-08-11 12:20:00+00
[result] => loss
)
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -4.364%
(0.0001)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.312% | 0.1R | -2.771% | 0.6R | 0.1× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.312% | 0.1R | -3.602% | 0.8R | 0.1× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.312% | 0.1R | -4.745% | 1.1R | 0.1× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.312% | 0.1R | -7.135% | 1.6R | 0.0× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +0.312% | 0.1R | -7.517% | 1.7R | 0.0× | 144 |
| 24h | +0.312% | 0.1R | -7.517% | 1.7R | 0.0× | 288 |
computed 6 days ago
Commentaires
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