Long Trade on LIT (CatchTheWave)
With 490.03 LIT at 2.448$ per unit. Take profit: 2.4808 (1.34 %) & Stop Loss: 2.4318 (0.67 %)
Long Trade on LIT (CatchTheWave)
With 490.03 LIT at 2.448$ per unit. Take profit: 2.4808 (1.34 %) & Stop Loss: 2.4318 (0.67 %)
Position
Entry 2.4481$
Qty 490.027 LIT
Size 1199.6352$ (margin 100$) (leverage 12)
Risk Setup
TP 2.4808 (+1.34%)
TP $ 16.02$
SL 2.4318 (-0.67%)
SL $ 7.99$
RR 2.01
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.8684
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | -1.44×ATR |
| 4h | clear | 1.33×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 0.67×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bear_low_vol rules_regime : bear_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : range_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : bear_low (-1) 11/08 02:00 Score : -1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
5m : 0.214246 15m : 0.051793 |
1H_regime : bull_high_confirmed 15m_regime : bull_high 5m_regime : range_medium |
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+3) 10/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 11/08 00:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high_confirmed (+1) 11/08 02:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.6561 | r1h: -0.460% · r4h: 1.801% · r1d: 6.70% · r3d: 6.32% · ema21_slope: 0.2508% · dist_ema21: 3.339% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.6868 | rs_1h: -0.485% · rs_4h: 1.820% · rs_1d: 8.35% · rs_3d: 7.76% · beta_24h: 0.056 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2905 | rvol_20: 0.30× · zscore_50: -0.703 · trend: 53.03% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7919 | ADX: 35.0 (trend) · Chop: 36.9 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.615% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.670% | 1.0R | -0.711% | 1.1R | 0.9× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.670% | 1.0R | -0.858% | 1.3R | 0.8× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +1.144% | 1.7R | -0.858% | 1.3R | 1.3× | 48 |
| 8h | +3.390% | 5.1R | -0.858% | 1.3R | 4.0× | 96 |
| 12h | +3.390% | 5.1R | -2.802% | 4.2R | 1.2× | 144 |
computed 1 week ago
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | fading | compression | bull_high |
67%
|
noisy_chop 39% | mid | — | — | — | bear_high | -4.08% | +0.75 | 10/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | normal | bull_high |
65%
|
noisy_chop 34% | late | — | — | 0.33 | range_medium | -0.49% | +0.68 | 11/08 00:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | fading | volatile_reversal | bull_high_confirmed |
55%
|
noisy_chop 44% | late | — | near -1.4ATR | 0.37 | bear_low | -1.03% | +0.75 | 11/08 02:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | explosive | normal | bull_high |
58%
|
noisy_chop 40% | early | — | — | 0.24 | range_low | -0.58% | +0.23 | 11/08 02:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | mid | 8b | — | 2.774×ATR | p13 | +1.315×ATR | p71 |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | 12b | — | 2.923×ATR | p41 | +1.868×ATR | p90 |
| 1h | ↑ up | late | 8b | — | 3.184×ATR | p70 | +1.818×ATR | p88 |
| 15m | ↑ up | early | 2b | — | 1.508×ATR | p0 | +0.916×ATR | p54 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
64006.8
-0.00124708
63927
0.214246
64317.7
-0.00621465
63918
0.051793
64604.3
-0.0105616
63922
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2.3513
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0.2186
0.92
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-0.504
7.6283
1
0
1
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (2)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 02:58 | 2.44810000 | 0% |
| 2 | 03:22 | 2.44060000 | -0.306% |
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-11 00:00:00 | 2.4005 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-11 00:35:00 | 2.3569 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-11 00:55:00 | 2.3849 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-11 02:45:00 | 2.46 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-11 04:15:00 | 2.4989 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-11 04:25:00 | 2.4567 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-11 05:35:00 | 2.4989 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-11 06:20:00 | 2.4466 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-11 06:40:00 | 2.484 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-11 06:55:00 | 2.4455 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-10 13:45:00 | 2.2619 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-10 18:15:00 | 2.4228 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-10 19:00:00 | 2.3615 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-10 20:15:00 | 2.4191 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-10 22:00:00 | 2.3513 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-11 00:00:00 | 2.4005 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-11 00:30:00 | 2.3569 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-11 04:15:00 | 2.4989 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-11 05:30:00 | 2.4989 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-11 06:15:00 | 2.4466 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-08 11:00:00 | 2.3719 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-08 15:00:00 | 2.2611 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 02:00:00 | 2.303 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 04:00:00 | 2.2589 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 20:00:00 | 2.3859 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-10 00:00:00 | 2.3001 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-10 13:00:00 | 2.2619 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-10 18:00:00 | 2.4228 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-10 22:00:00 | 2.3513 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-11 04:00:00 | 2.4989 | ↑ High |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.4481 | 2.4318 | 2.4808 | 2.01 | 2.49 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 2.4318 - 2.4481 = -0.0163
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 2.4481 - 2.4808 = -0.0327
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0327 / -0.0163 = 2.0061
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1199.6352 | 100 | 490.027 | 12.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.0163 = -490.8
Taille de position USD = -490.8 x 2.4481 = -1201.53
Donc, tu peux acheter -490.8 avec un stoploss a 2.4318
Avec un position size USD de -1201.53$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -490.8 x -0.0163 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -490.8 x -0.0327 = 16.05
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16.05$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.34 % | 16.02 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.67 % | 7.99 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -7.99 $ | -0.67 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.7108 % | 106.76 % | 5 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.4481 | 2.4318 | 2.4808 | 2.01 | 2.49 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 2.4318 - 2.4481 = -0.0163
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 2.4481 - 2.4808 = -0.0327
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0327 / -0.0163 = 2.0061
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.670% | 1.0R | -0.711% | 1.1R | 0.9× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.670% | 1.0R | -0.858% | 1.3R | 0.8× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +1.144% | 1.7R | -0.858% | 1.3R | 1.3× | 48 |
| 8h | +3.390% | 5.1R | -0.858% | 1.3R | 4.0× | 96 |
| 12h | +3.390% | 5.1R | -2.802% | 4.2R | 1.2× | 144 |
computed 1 week ago
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