Long Trade on ICP (CatchTheWave)
With 692.95 ICP at 2.316$ per unit. Take profit: 2.3391 (1 %) & Stop Loss: 2.3045 (0.5 %)
Long Trade on ICP (CatchTheWave)
With 692.95 ICP at 2.316$ per unit. Take profit: 2.3391 (1 %) & Stop Loss: 2.3045 (0.5 %)
Position
Entry 2.316$
Qty 692.9497 ICP
Size 1604.8714$ (margin 100$) (leverage 16)
Risk Setup
TP 2.3391 (+1%)
TP $ 16.01$
SL 2.3045 (-0.5%)
SL $ 7.97$
RR 2.01
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.9742
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | -3.09×ATR |
| 4h | near | 0.09×ATR |
| 1d | near | -0.67×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↓ down | late | OK |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : bear_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : range_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : bear_low (-1) 11/08 03:00 Score : -1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
5m : -0.07946 15m : 0.015966 |
1H_regime : bull_high 15m_regime : bull_medium 5m_regime : bear_low |
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+3) 10/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high_confirmed (+2) 11/08 00:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 11/08 03:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.6669 | r1h: -0.195% · r4h: -1.079% · r1d: 6.55% · r3d: 12.56% · ema21_slope: 0.2994% · dist_ema21: 2.155% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.7022 | rs_1h: -0.106% · rs_4h: -0.918% · rs_1d: 8.61% · rs_3d: 14.18% · beta_24h: -0.291 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.7429 | rvol_20: 2.01× · zscore_50: 2.291 · trend: 61.15% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.8811 | ADX: 52.1 (trend) · Chop: 44.7 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.362% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.315% | 0.6R | -0.864% | 1.7R | 0.4× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.432% | 0.9R | -0.864% | 1.7R | 0.5× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.432% | 0.9R | -1.308% | 2.6R | 0.3× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.330% | 2.7R | -2.655% | 5.4R | 0.5× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.330% | 2.7R | -4.266% | 8.6R | 0.3× | 144 |
computed 1 week ago
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | transition | bearish_transition | strong | balanced | expansion | bull_high |
64%
|
noisy_chop 39% | late | — | near -0.7ATR | 0.38 | bear_high | -4.08% | +0.74 | 10/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | strong | explosive | volatile_reversal | bull_high_confirmed |
62%
|
noisy_chop 49% | late | — | near 0.1ATR | 0.61 | range_medium | -0.54% | +0.85 | 11/08 00:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | fading | expansion_after_compression | bull_high |
69%
|
noisy_chop 45% | mid | — | near -3.1ATR | 0.31 | bear_low | -0.98% | +0.63 | 11/08 03:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | fading | compression | bull_medium |
60%
|
noisy_chop 38% | mid | — | — | — | range_low | -0.55% | -0.17 | 11/08 03:15 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | late | 3b | — | 0.433×ATR | p0 | +2.013×ATR | p87 |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | 13b | — | 3.654×ATR | p52 | +2.436×ATR | p99 |
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | 4b | — | 1.66×ATR | p17 | +0.97×ATR | p66 |
| 15m | ↓ down | mid | 16b | — | 3.592×ATR | p52 | -1.171×ATR | p61 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
63998.6
0.00111421
64070
-0.07946
64308.5
-0.00523306
63972
0.015966
64588.2
-0.0095255
63973
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-07 22:00:00
[1] => 2.1026
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-08 05:00:00
[1] => 2.0872
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-08 17:00:00
[1] => 2.3937
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-09 03:00:00
[1] => 2.1587
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-09 15:00:00
[1] => 2.2258
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-10 00:00:00
[1] => 2.1643
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-10 09:00:00
[1] => 2.2391
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-10 13:00:00
[1] => 2.2038
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-10 22:00:00
[1] => 2.2688
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-11 03:00:00
[1] => 2.3963
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => uptrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -2.5372449192505
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 2.939880112835
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 4
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 9
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 5.6197108603667
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-10 07:15:00
[1] => 2.2003
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-10 09:45:00
[1] => 2.2391
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-10 12:15:00
[1] => 2.2098
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-10 13:45:00
[1] => 2.2038
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-10 17:30:00
[1] => 2.3286
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-10 19:45:00
[1] => 2.3538
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-10 22:30:00
[1] => 2.2688
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-11 03:15:00
[1] => 2.3963
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-11 07:30:00
[1] => 2.3346
[2] => L
)
)
[detected_trend] => uptrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -2.5706297208196
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.0042833890173996
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 17
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 0
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 2.64285102373
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-11 00:50:00
[1] => 2.3734
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-11 01:40:00
[1] => 2.3166
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-11 03:15:00
[1] => 2.3963
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-11 03:35:00
[1] => 2.3658
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-11 04:20:00
[1] => 2.3937
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-11 04:35:00
[1] => 2.359
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-11 04:55:00
[1] => 2.3865
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-11 05:50:00
[1] => 2.3741
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-11 06:00:00
[1] => 2.3468
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-11 07:35:00
[1] => 2.316
[2] => L
)
)
[detected_trend] => downtrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => -1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -2.4472431658313
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 21
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 0
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.3298791018998
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
2.3963
195
0.8102
0.5978
0.367
0.2462
0.4658
1
0.5482
0.5346
0.7842
0.88
0.6984
0.8188
0.1824
0.1405
1
0.7621
2.4894
0.7
0.3
1
4
1
0.5076
0.6061
3.3144
0.55
1.4032
2.4423
2.4894
0.619
0.3312
0.8
0.8887
0.5763
0.4411
0.9059
0.8188
-1.8588
8.3982
1
1
0
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (2)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 03:39 | 2.31600000 | 0% |
| 2 | 03:46 | 2.31630000 | +0.013% |
Market Structure Score: 2
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-11 00:50:00 | 2.3734 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-11 01:40:00 | 2.3166 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-11 03:15:00 | 2.3963 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-11 03:35:00 | 2.3658 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-11 04:20:00 | 2.3937 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-11 04:35:00 | 2.359 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-11 04:55:00 | 2.3865 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-11 05:50:00 | 2.3741 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-11 06:00:00 | 2.3468 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-11 07:35:00 | 2.316 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-10 07:15:00 | 2.2003 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-10 09:45:00 | 2.2391 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-10 12:15:00 | 2.2098 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-10 13:45:00 | 2.2038 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-10 17:30:00 | 2.3286 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-10 19:45:00 | 2.3538 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-10 22:30:00 | 2.2688 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-11 03:15:00 | 2.3963 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-11 07:30:00 | 2.3346 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-07 22:00:00 | 2.1026 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-08 05:00:00 | 2.0872 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-08 17:00:00 | 2.3937 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 03:00:00 | 2.1587 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 15:00:00 | 2.2258 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-10 00:00:00 | 2.1643 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-10 09:00:00 | 2.2391 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-10 13:00:00 | 2.2038 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-10 22:00:00 | 2.2688 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-11 03:00:00 | 2.3963 | ↑ High |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.316 | 2.3045 | 2.3391 | 2.01 | 2.2857 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 2.3045 - 2.316 = -0.0115
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 2.316 - 2.3391 = -0.0231
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0231 / -0.0115 = 2.0087
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1604.8714 | 100 | 692.9497 | 16.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.0115 = -695.65
Taille de position USD = -695.65 x 2.316 = -1611.13
Donc, tu peux acheter -695.65 avec un stoploss a 2.3045
Avec un position size USD de -1611.13$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -695.65 x -0.0115 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -695.65 x -0.0231 = 16.07
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16.07$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1 % | 16.01 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.5 % | 7.97 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -7.97 $ | -0.50 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.5656 % | 113.92 % | 1 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.316 | 2.3045 | 2.3391 | 2.01 | 2.2857 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 2.3045 - 2.316 = -0.0115
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 2.316 - 2.3391 = -0.0231
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0231 / -0.0115 = 2.0087
Array
(
)
Array
(
[1.1] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 2.3391
[entry_price] => 2.316
[stop_loss] => 2.30335
[rr_ratio] => 1.83
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
[closed_at] => 2026-08-11 07:40:00+00
[result] => loss
)
[1.2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 2.3391
[entry_price] => 2.316
[stop_loss] => 2.3022
[rr_ratio] => 1.67
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
[closed_at] => 2026-08-11 08:00:00+00
[result] => loss
)
[1.3] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 2.3391
[entry_price] => 2.316
[stop_loss] => 2.30105
[rr_ratio] => 1.55
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
[closed_at] => 2026-08-11 08:00:00+00
[result] => loss
)
[1.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 2.3391
[entry_price] => 2.316
[stop_loss] => 2.29875
[rr_ratio] => 1.34
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
[closed_at] => 2026-08-11 08:00:00+00
[result] => loss
)
)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.315% | 0.6R | -0.864% | 1.7R | 0.4× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.432% | 0.9R | -0.864% | 1.7R | 0.5× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.432% | 0.9R | -1.308% | 2.6R | 0.3× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.330% | 2.7R | -2.655% | 5.4R | 0.5× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.330% | 2.7R | -4.266% | 8.6R | 0.3× | 144 |
computed 1 week ago
Aucun commentaire.