Short Trade on VVV (BosPullback)
With 47.94 VVV at 11.828$ per unit. Take profit: 11.4108 (3.53 %) & Stop Loss: 11.9949 (1.41 %)
Short Trade on VVV (BosPullback)
With 47.94 VVV at 11.828$ per unit. Take profit: 11.4108 (3.53 %) & Stop Loss: 11.9949 (1.41 %)
Position
Entry 11.828$
Qty 47.9438 VVV
Size 567.0789$ (margin 100$) (leverage 6)
Risk Setup
TP 11.4108 (+3.53%)
TP $ 20$
SL 11.9949 (-1.41%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2.5
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.4333
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 0.66×ATR |
| 4h | clear | 1.42×ATR |
| 1d | near | 0.14×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | early | OK |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : bear_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 1 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : range_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : bear_low (+1) 11/08 03:00 Score : +1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
1H_regime : bull_high 15m_regime : range_medium |
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3) 10/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : range_high (0) 11/08 00:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (-1) 11/08 03:00 Score : +2 / ±6 |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5014 | r1h: 0.009% · r4h: -0.690% · r1d: -1.99% · r3d: 5.48% · ema21_slope: -0.0249% · dist_ema21: -0.447% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5530 | rs_1h: 0.098% · rs_4h: -0.529% · rs_1d: 0.06% · rs_3d: 7.10% · beta_24h: 1.117 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1906 | rvol_20: 0.55× · zscore_50: -0.695 · trend: -27.91% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.2636 | ADX: 17.1 (weak) · Chop: 85.1 (range) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.091% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.448% | 0.3R | -0.736% | 0.5R | 0.6× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.448% | 0.3R | -1.285% | 0.9R | 0.4× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +1.480% | 1.1R | -1.285% | 0.9R | 1.2× | 48 |
| 8h | +3.712% | 2.6R | -1.285% | 0.9R | 2.9× | 96 |
| 12h | +4.041% | 2.9R | -1.285% | 0.9R | 3.1× | 144 |
computed 1 week ago
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
61%
|
noisy_chop 39% | early | near 0.1ATR | — | 0.43 | bear_high | -4.08% | -0.05 | 10/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↔ neutral | range | range | strong | explosive | normal | range_high |
44%
|
noisy_chop 38% | early | — | near 0.1ATR | 0.47 | range_medium | -0.54% | +0.51 | 11/08 00:00 |
| 1h | ↔ neutral | range | range | weak | grind | compression | bull_high |
56%
|
noisy_chop 34% | early | — | — | 0.36 | bear_low | -0.82% | -0.05 | 11/08 03:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | normal | range_medium |
39%
|
noisy_chop 39% | early | near -0.1ATR | — | — | range_low | -0.34% | -0.02 | 11/08 03:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | early | 16b | — | 3.654×ATR | p43 | -0.116×ATR | p8 |
| 4h | ↓ down | early | 5b | — | 2.006×ATR | p0 | +0.336×ATR | p21 |
| 1h | ↓ down | early | 4b | — | 0.946×ATR | p2 | +0.046×ATR | p3 |
| 15m | ↑ up | early | 4b | — | 1.321×ATR | p7 | +0.14×ATR | p11 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
11.984
145
0.4899
0.3956
0.3339
0.2073
0.4375
0.5652
0.3801
0.6819
0.3806
0.048
0.4701
0.6118
-0.0433
0.0183
0.6667
-0.1882
0.5514
0.5
0.5
-1
10
1
0.5853
0.266
2.5218
0.5
0.5652
1.4253
0.5514
0.5873
0.3879
0.08
-0.3181
0.3951
0.3774
0.7868
0.6118
-4.2292
6.665
1
0
1
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[time] => 2026-08-06 20:00:00
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[price] => 11.5
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[price] => 11.722
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[price] => 11.914
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[price] => 11.551
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Array
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[price] => 12.311
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[price] => 11.892
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[price] => 11.956
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[price] => 11.838
[kind] => low
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[kind] => high
[label] => LH
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(
[time] => 2026-08-11 01:30:00
[price] => 11.777
[kind] => low
[label] => HL
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(
[time] => 2026-08-11 03:45:00
[price] => 11.984
[kind] => high
[label] => HH
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Array
(
[time] => 2026-08-11 05:00:00
[price] => 11.771
[kind] => low
[label] => HL
)
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(
[time] => 2026-08-11 05:15:00
[price] => 11.911
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[label] => LH
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11.776
11.984
11.984
11.776
11.782
11.48
11.631
1.3352
12.153
12.14
12.1465
0.4368
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (2)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 03:50 | 11.82800000 | 0% |
| 2 | 03:56 | 11.82800000 | 0% |
Market Structure Score: 0
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11.828 | 11.9949 | 11.4108 | 2.5 | 14.338 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 11.9949 - 11.828 = 0.1669
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 11.828 - 11.4108 = 0.4172
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.4172 / 0.1669 = 2.4997
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 567.0789 | 100 | 47.9438 | 6.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 0.1669 = 47.93
Taille de position USD = 47.93 x 11.828 = 566.92
Donc, tu peux acheter 47.93 avec un stoploss a 11.9949
Avec un position size USD de 566.92$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 47.93 x 0.1669 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 47.93 x 0.4172 = 20
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 20$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 3.53 % | 20 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.41 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 20 $ | 3.53 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -1.2851 % | 91.07 % | 7 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11.828 | 11.9949 | 11.4108 | 2.5 | 14.338 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 11.9949 - 11.828 = 0.1669
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 11.828 - 11.4108 = 0.4172
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.4172 / 0.1669 = 2.4997
Array
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Array
(
)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.448% | 0.3R | -0.736% | 0.5R | 0.6× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.448% | 0.3R | -1.285% | 0.9R | 0.4× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +1.480% | 1.1R | -1.285% | 0.9R | 1.2× | 48 |
| 8h | +3.712% | 2.6R | -1.285% | 0.9R | 2.9× | 96 |
| 12h | +4.041% | 2.9R | -1.285% | 0.9R | 3.1× | 144 |
computed 1 week ago
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