Short Trade on NIL

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11 Aug 2026 at 08:10:07 hyperliquid

Short Trade on NIL (momentum_rotation_v2)

With 2146.56 NIL at 0.0367$ per unit. Take profit: 0.0358 (2.51 %) & Stop Loss: 0.04045 (10.16 %)

NIL SHORT momentum_rotation_v2 hyperliquid 11 Aug 2026 08:10 → 10:45 · 2 hours

Position

Entry 0.03672$

Qty 2146.5561 NIL

Size 78.828$ (leverage 1)

Risk Setup

TP 0.0358 (+2.51%)

TP $ 1.97$

SL 0.04045 (-10.16%)

SL $ 8.01$

RR 0.25

Status win PnL +2.51% / +1.97$ MAE -1.04% MFE +3.98% 0.4R expires 11 Aug 14:10

V2 Shadow Analysis

Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?

Quality Rank (id: 65754)

#47 / 47 OK

seuil : top 15
score du 11/08/2026 08:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.0130

Quality Score

0.257

score brut du coin

Signal Confidence

100 % OK

seuil : ≥ 40%

Regime Score

0 BLOCKED

seuil : score ≥ 1

Décision V2

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime

Volume 24h (signal)

1.4M $

volume USDT au moment du signal
11/08 08:02

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank

#47 / 47 OK

seuil : top 15

Signal Confidence

100 % OK

seuil : ≥ 40%

BTC Regime Score

−4 → +4 (macro BTC)

Coin Regime Score

−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)

Combined Regime Score

+2 BLOCKED

seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3

Stop Loss Size

10.16 % OK

seuil : ≥ 0.75%

Décision V3

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank

#47 / 47 OK

seuil : top 15

Signal Confidence

100 % OK

seuil : ≥ 40%

Combined Regime Score

+2 BLOCKED

seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3

Stop Loss Size

10.16 % OK

seuil : ≥ 0.75%

Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)

0/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF

TF	Near Demand	Distance (ATR)
1h	clear	1.74×ATR
4h	clear	0.99×ATR
1d	clear	2.20×ATR

Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)

1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF

TF	Direction	Maturity	Adverse
1h	↓ down	late	BLOCKED
4h	↓ down	mid	OK
1d	↑ up	early	OK

Décision V4

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

Regime

BTC Market Regime	BTC Market Regime V2
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : range_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0	ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : range_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 11/08 08:00 Score : 0

BTC Market Regime

BTC Market Regime V2

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : range_low

rules_regime_5m : range_low

Score : 0

ml_regime : bear_high

Strategic (1D) : range_high (0)

Operational (4H) : range_medium (0)

Tactical (1H) : range_low (0)

11/08 08:00

Score : 0

BTC Correlation	Coin Market Regime	Coin Market Regime V2
		Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3) 10/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (-2) 11/08 04:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 11/08 07:00 Score : +2 / ±6

BTC Correlation

Coin Market Regime

Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3)

10/08 20:00

Operational (4H) : bull_high (-2)

11/08 04:00

Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1)

11/08 07:00

Score : +2 / ±6

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

Score brut

0.2573

Score SMA

0.4409

Rank

#47 / 47

Rank Norm SMA 8h

0.0130

Rank Norm SMA

0.2276

Calculé le

11/08/2026 08:00

Composante	Poids	Score	Détails
Momentum	30%	0.2293	r1h: -3.629% · r4h: -4.821% · r1d: -17.52% · r3d: 6.55% · ema21_slope: -0.3798% · dist_ema21: -5.597%
Force Relative	25%	0.2033	rs_1h: -3.799% · rs_4h: -5.244% · rs_1d: -16.31% · rs_3d: 7.51% · beta_24h: 1.656
Volume	20%	0.1493	rvol_20: 0.51× · zscore_50: -0.785 · trend: -54.58%
Qualité Tendance	15%	0.3386	ADX: 12.2 (weak) · Chop: 70.8 (range)
Volatilité	10%	0.5708	ATR%: 4.288% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -10.158% (0.0037)

Horizon	MFE %	MFE R	MAE %	MAE R	MFE/MAE	Candles
1h	+1.125%	0.1R	-1.038%	0.1R	1.1×	12
2h	+2.462%	0.2R	-1.038%	0.1R	2.4×	24
4h	+3.982%	0.4R	-1.038%	0.1R	3.8×	48
6h ★	+3.982%	0.4R	-1.038%	0.1R	3.8×	72
8h	+4.395%	0.4R	-1.038%	0.1R	4.2×	96
12h	+5.779%	0.6R	-1.038%	0.1R	5.6×	144

computed 1 week ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: 30

ML Pullback Score: 3.75

Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

TF	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à
1d	↔ neutral	transition	bearish_transition	strong	balanced	volatile_reversal	bear_high	55%	noisy_chop 41%	early	—	near 0.1ATR	0.34	bear_high	-4.08%	+0.68	10/08 20:00
4h	↑ up	early_expansion	bullish_transition	moderate	grind	expansion	bull_high	65%	noisy_chop 42%	mid	—	—	0.36	range_medium	+0.02%	+0.46	11/08 04:00
1h	↔ neutral	transition	bullish_transition	moderate	grind	compression	bear_high	52%	noisy_chop 43%	late	—	—	0.04	range_low	-0.37%	-0.78	11/08 07:00
15m	↓ down	early_expansion	bearish_transition	moderate	grind	expansion_after_compression	bear_high	56%	noisy_chop 45%	mid	—	—	—	range_low	+0.09%	-0.49	11/08 07:30
5m	—

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF	Direction	Maturity	Age (bars)	Age since BOS	Amplitude	Amp. %ile	Extension	Ext. %ile
1d	↑ up	early	10b	—	2.304×ATR	p0	+0.542×ATR	p37
4h	↓ down	mid	5b	—	3.648×ATR	p55	-0.168×ATR	p10
1h	↓ down	late	22b	—	8.206×ATR	p94	-1.797×ATR	p72
15m	↓ down	mid	5b	—	3.178×ATR	p55	-1.928×ATR	p74

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL

Indicators:

stop_price: 0.0404499
tp_price: 0.03580493
atr: 0.00149076
expires_at: 2026-08-11T18:10:07+00:00

Details

rank: 50
total: 50
score: 0.2293
delta_2h: -0.0811
extension_atr: -1.32
trend_phase:
trend_direction:
rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.013
confidence: 1

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry	Stop Loss	Take Profit	RR	Current Price
0.03672	0.04045	0.0358	0.25	0.04552

Details

Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

Entry 0.03672
Stop Loss: 0.04045
Take Profit: 0.0358

Calcul:

Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

SL - E = 0.04045 - 0.03672 = 0.00373
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

E - TP = 0.03672 - 0.0358 = 0.00092
Risk-Reward Ratio:

RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.00092 / 0.00373 = 0.2466

📌 Position Size

Amount	Margin	Quantity	Leverage
78.828	78.828	2146.5561	1.00

Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

Account Size 100
Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

Risk Amount 8
Distance Stop Loss 0.00373

Taille de position = 8 / 0.00373 = 2144.77

Taille de position USD = 2144.77 x 0.03672 = 78.76

Donc, tu peux acheter 2144.77 avec un stoploss a 0.04045

Avec un position size USD de 78.76$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 2144.77 x 0.00373 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 2144.77 x 0.00092 = 1.97

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 1.97$

Résumé

Taille de position 2144.77
Taille de position USD 78.76
Perte potentielle 8
Gain potentiel 1.97
Risk-Reward Ratio 0.2466

📌 Peformances

TP % Target	TP $ Target
2.51 %	1.97 $

SL % Target	SL $ Target
10.16 %	8.01 $

PNL	PNL %
1.97 $	2.51

Max Drawdown	Max Drawdown / SL Ratio	Candles in Entry
-1.0376 %	10.21 %	3

Entry	Stop Loss	Take Profit	RR	Current Price
0.03672	0.04045	0.0358	0.25	0.04552

Details

Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

Entry 0.03672
Stop Loss: 0.04045
Take Profit: 0.0358

Calcul:

Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

SL - E = 0.04045 - 0.03672 = 0.00373
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

E - TP = 0.03672 - 0.0358 = 0.00092
Risk-Reward Ratio:

RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.00092 / 0.00373 = 0.2466

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data


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Extra SL data


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MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -10.158% (0.0037)

Horizon	MFE %	MFE R	MAE %	MAE R	MFE/MAE	Candles
1h	+1.125%	0.1R	-1.038%	0.1R	1.1×	12
2h	+2.462%	0.2R	-1.038%	0.1R	2.4×	24
4h	+3.982%	0.4R	-1.038%	0.1R	3.8×	48
6h ★	+3.982%	0.4R	-1.038%	0.1R	3.8×	72
8h	+4.395%	0.4R	-1.038%	0.1R	4.2×	96
12h	+5.779%	0.6R	-1.038%	0.1R	5.6×	144

computed 1 week ago

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