Long Trade on ARB (BosPullback)
With 7033.15 ARB at 0.0803$ per unit. Take profit: 0.08314 (3.54 %) & Stop Loss: 0.07916 (1.42 %)
Long Trade on ARB (BosPullback)
With 7033.15 ARB at 0.0803$ per unit. Take profit: 0.08314 (3.54 %) & Stop Loss: 0.07916 (1.42 %)
Position
Entry 0.0803$
Qty 7033.1525 ARB
Size 564.7621$ (margin 100$) (leverage 6)
Risk Setup
TP 0.08314 (+3.54%)
TP $ 19.97$
SL 0.07916 (-1.42%)
SL $ 8.02$
RR 2.49
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.4996
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 1.51×ATR |
| 4h | clear | 1.72×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 17.96×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | late | OK |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : range_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : range_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 11/08 08:00 Score : 0 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
1H_regime : bull_high 15m_regime : range_low |
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3) 10/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (-2) 11/08 04:00 Tactical (1H) : range_high (0) 11/08 07:00 Score : -5 / ±6 |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5213 | r1h: 0.441% · r4h: -0.138% · r1d: -0.25% · r3d: 0.15% · ema21_slope: 0.0198% · dist_ema21: -0.234% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5209 | rs_1h: 0.271% · rs_4h: -0.561% · rs_1d: 0.97% · rs_3d: 1.11% · beta_24h: 0.590 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1601 | rvol_20: 0.21× · zscore_50: -1.129 · trend: -23.46% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5186 | ADX: 19.5 (weak) · Chop: 56.0 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.840% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.212% | 0.2R | -0.735% | 0.5R | 0.3× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.212% | 0.2R | -0.810% | 0.6R | 0.3× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.212% | 0.2R | -3.599% | 2.5R | 0.1× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.212% | 0.2R | -3.699% | 2.6R | 0.1× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.212% | 0.2R | -3.699% | 2.6R | 0.1× | 144 |
computed 1 week ago
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
54%
|
noisy_chop 41% | late | near 0.2ATR | — | 0.71 | bear_high | -4.08% | -0.69 | 10/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | early_expansion | bullish_transition | moderate | balanced | expansion | bear_high |
60%
|
noisy_chop 37% | early | — | — | 0.61 | range_medium | +0.02% | +0.20 | 11/08 04:00 |
| 1h | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | balanced | compression | range_high |
40%
|
noisy_chop 36% | early | — | — | 0.37 | range_low | -0.37% | -0.04 | 11/08 07:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | balanced | normal | range_low |
39%
|
noisy_chop 41% | early | near 0.3ATR | near -0.4ATR | — | range_low | +0.09% | -0.09 | 11/08 07:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | late | 30b | — | 5.992×ATR | p83 | -0.266×ATR | p13 |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | 8b | — | 1.668×ATR | p0 | +0.151×ATR | p8 |
| 1h | ↑ up | early | 4b | — | 0.821×ATR | p0 | -0.299×ATR | p16 |
| 15m | ↑ up | early | 5b | — | 1.644×ATR | p3 | +0.006×ATR | p1 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
0.07922
144
0.598
0.562
0.3656
0.2463
0.4633
0.9785
0.2455
0.5406
0.6446
0.1583
0.5137
0.6622
-0.0221
0.0184
0.6667
-0.0117
0.5739
0.55
0.45
1
11
1
0.5075
0.5377
3.1878
0.55
0.9785
2.9122
0.5739
0.3254
0.2603
0.2
-0.2426
0.4762
0.5084
0
0.6622
-2.598
5.0934
1
1
1
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[time] => 2026-08-06 05:00:00
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[label] => LH
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[time] => 2026-08-06 09:00:00
[price] => 0.07673
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[price] => 0.0793
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[price] => 0.07809
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Array
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[price] => 0.08
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[time] => 2026-08-09 08:00:00
[price] => 0.077
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[price] => 0.07748
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[price] => 0.08049
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[price] => 0.07904
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[price] => 0.08093
[kind] => high
[label] => HH
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Array
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[price] => 0.07957
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[label] => HL
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Array
(
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[price] => 0.08086
[kind] => high
[label] => LH
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Array
(
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[price] => 0.07917
[kind] => low
[label] => LL
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Array
(
[time] => 2026-08-11 01:00:00
[price] => 0.0815
[kind] => high
[label] => HH
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Array
(
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[price] => 0.07922
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[label] => HL
)
Array
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[time] => 2026-08-10 12:00:00
[price] => 0.08033
[kind] => high
[label] =>
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Array
(
[time] => 2026-08-10 12:15:00
[price] => 0.07966
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[price] => 0.08093
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[price] => 0.07967
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[price] => 0.08038
[kind] => high
[label] => LH
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[price] => 0.07985
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(
[time] => 2026-08-10 19:30:00
[price] => 0.08084
[kind] => high
[label] => LH
)
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(
[time] => 2026-08-10 22:00:00
[price] => 0.07917
[kind] => low
[label] => LL
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Array
(
[time] => 2026-08-11 01:15:00
[price] => 0.0815
[kind] => high
[label] => HH
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-08-11 05:15:00
[price] => 0.07971
[kind] => low
[label] => HL
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-08-11 06:15:00
[price] => 0.08034
[kind] => high
[label] => LH
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-08-11 07:15:00
[price] => 0.07922
[kind] => low
[label] => LL
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-08-11 09:15:00
[price] => 0.08025
[kind] => high
[label] => LH
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-08-11 10:15:00
[price] => 0.07932
[kind] => low
[label] => HL
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0.07922
0.0815
0.0815
0.07922
0.08062
0.07917
0.079895
0.8596
0.08162
0.08078
0.0812
1.3497
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (3)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 08:12 | 0.08030000 | 0% |
| 2 | 09:48 | 0.08005000 | -0.311% |
| 3 | 09:54 | 0.08005000 | -0.311% |
Market Structure Score: 0
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.0803 | 0.07916 | 0.08314 | 2.49 | 0.0956 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.07916 - 0.0803 = -0.00114
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.0803 - 0.08314 = -0.00284
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.00284 / -0.00114 = 2.4912
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 564.7621 | 100 | 7033.1525 | 6.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.00114 = -7017.54
Taille de position USD = -7017.54 x 0.0803 = -563.51
Donc, tu peux acheter -7017.54 avec un stoploss a 0.07916
Avec un position size USD de -563.51$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -7017.54 x -0.00114 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -7017.54 x -0.00284 = 19.93
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 19.93$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 3.54 % | 19.97 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.42 % | 8.02 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8.02 $ | -1.42 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -1.5567 % | 109.65 % | 1 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.0803 | 0.07916 | 0.08314 | 2.49 | 0.0956 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.07916 - 0.0803 = -0.00114
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.0803 - 0.08314 = -0.00284
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.00284 / -0.00114 = 2.4912
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.212% | 0.2R | -0.735% | 0.5R | 0.3× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.212% | 0.2R | -0.810% | 0.6R | 0.3× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.212% | 0.2R | -3.599% | 2.5R | 0.1× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.212% | 0.2R | -3.699% | 2.6R | 0.1× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.212% | 0.2R | -3.699% | 2.6R | 0.1× | 144 |
computed 1 week ago
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