Short Trade on VVV (BalanceBreakoutRegime)
With 40.53 VVV at 11.692$ per unit. Take profit: 11.1985 (4.22 %) & Stop Loss: 11.8894 (1.69 %)
11 Aug 2026 at 08:15:34
hyperliquid
VVV
SHORT
BalanceBreakoutRegime
hyperliquid
11 Aug 2026 08:15
→ 20:15
· 11 hours
Position
Entry 11.692$
Qty 40.5298 VVV
Size 473.8739$ (margin 100$) (leverage 5)
Risk Setup
TP 11.1985 (+4.22%)
TP $ 20$
SL 11.8894 (-1.69%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2.5
Status
win
PnL
+1.54%
/ +7.3$
MAE -0.44%
MFE +2.93%
1.7R
expires
11 Aug 20:15
Exit
time_expired
V2 Shadow Analysis
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Quality Rank (id: 65752)
#24 / 47
OUT
seuil : top 15
score du 11/08/2026 08:00
score du 11/08/2026 08:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.3288
Quality Score
0.510
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
89 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
0
BLOCKED
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
1.5M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
11/08 08:02
11/08 08:02
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank
#24 / 47
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
89 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
0
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+3
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+3
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
1.69 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#24 / 47
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
89 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+3
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
1.69 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
2/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | -0.91×ATR |
| 4h | clear | 1.46×ATR |
| 1d | near | 0.14×ATR |
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| 4h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | early | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
Regime
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : range_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : range_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 11/08 08:00 Score : 0 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3) 10/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : range_high (0) 11/08 04:00 Tactical (1H) : range_high (0) 11/08 07:00 Score : +3 / ±6 |
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1H
Score brut
0.5099
Score SMA
0.5277
Rank
#24
/ 47
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.3288
Rank Norm SMA
0.5148
Calculé le
11/08/2026 08:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.4438 | r1h: -1.136% · r4h: -1.161% · r1d: -3.79% · r3d: 3.92% · ema21_slope: -0.0316% · dist_ema21: -1.451% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4211 | rs_1h: -1.306% · rs_4h: -1.584% · rs_1d: -2.58% · rs_3d: 4.88% · beta_24h: 0.736 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.5582 | rvol_20: 2.28× · zscore_50: 0.270 · trend: -9.05% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.3989 | ADX: 14.7 (weak) · Chop: 65.8 (range) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.140% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -1.688%
(0.1974)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.984% | 0.6R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 12 |
| 2h | +0.984% | 0.6R | -0.436% | 0.3R | 2.3× | 24 |
| 4h | +2.925% | 1.7R | -0.436% | 0.3R | 6.7× | 48 |
| 8h | +2.925% | 1.7R | -0.436% | 0.3R | 6.7× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +2.925% | 1.7R | -0.436% | 0.3R | 6.7× | 143 |
| 24h | +2.925% | 1.7R | -3.892% | 2.3R | 0.8× | 288 |
computed 1 week ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 4.49
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
61%
|
noisy_chop 39% | early | near 0.1ATR | — | 0.43 | bear_high | -4.08% | -0.05 | 10/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↔ neutral | range | range | strong | explosive | normal | range_high |
44%
|
noisy_chop 39% | early | — | near 0.1ATR | 0.47 | range_medium | +0.02% | +0.47 | 11/08 04:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | compression | range_high |
35%
|
noisy_chop 36% | late | near -0.9ATR | — | 0.34 | range_low | -0.37% | -0.21 | 11/08 07:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | range | range | strong | balanced | expansion_after_compression | bear_medium_confirmed |
59%
|
noisy_chop 42% | late | — | — | — | range_low | +0.09% | -0.17 | 11/08 07:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | early | 16b | — | 3.654×ATR | p43 | -0.116×ATR | p8 |
| 4h | ↓ down | early | 6b | — | 2.022×ATR | p0 | +0.316×ATR | p19 |
| 1h | ↓ down | late | 2b | — | 2.398×ATR | p47 | -1.434×ATR | p81 |
| 15m | ↓ down | late | 10b | — | 5.02×ATR | p89 | -2.146×ATR | p93 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
BalanceBreakoutRegime - SELL
Indicators:
- long_trend: -1
- confidence: 0.8931
- reason: down_bo width=1.63×ATR dur=45b phase=fresh
- stop_price: 11.88938585
- tp_price: 11.19853536
- atr:
- score: 0.89314145824239
- expires_at: 2026-08-12T00:15:26.204005
- max_bars: 12
- max_bars_tf: 1h
- confidence_pre_ob: 0.89314145824239
Details
- 1H:
- 15m:
- 5m:
- btc_indicators ¸
- market_structures ¸
- market_structure_v2 ¸
- trend_analyzer_1h ¸
- orderbook_context
- obi_top5 : 0.0371
- obi_top10 : 0.0499
- micro_price : 11.66813107
- spread_pct : 0.05144
- mid_price : 11.667
- bid_wall_price : 11.6
- bid_wall_size : 9355.064
- bid_wall_dist_atr :
- ask_wall_price : 11.8
- ask_wall_size : 7958.206
- ask_wall_dist_atr :
- snapshots_count : 5
- obi_top5_mean : 0.0364
- obi_top5_std : 0.0013
- pressure_side : neutral
- collection_mode : ws_rolling
- collection_ms : 7061
- aggregation_tick : 0.1
- error : ¸
- strategy_details
- strategy : balance_breakout_regime_strict
- strategy_details
- balance_zone_top:
11.98
- balance_zone_bottom:
11.7735
- balance_zone_mid:
11.87675
- balance_zone_start_time:
1786291200
- balance_zone_end_time:
1786449600
- balance_zone_width_atr:
1.6342
- balance_zone_duration_bars:
45
- balance_zone_quality: tight
- balance_zone_maturity: established
- balance_zone_confidence:
0.8931
- balance_zone_state: leaving_balance
- balance_zone_breakout_direction: down
- balance_zone_breakout_phase: fresh
- balance_zone_breakout_time:
1786446000
- balance_zone_breakout_price:
11.7735
- strategy_details
- balance_metrics_inside_close_ratio:
0.6444
- balance_metrics_bars_since_breakout:
1
- balance_metrics_distance_to_edge_atr:
0.645
- balance_metrics_has_retested:
- balance_metrics_retest_count:
0
- balance_metrics_touch_upper:
4
- balance_metrics_touch_lower:
17
- regime : bear_high
- atr_entry : 0.12635854 ¸
Signal Details
duration_bars
45
inside_close_ratio
0.6444
bars_since_breakout
1
distance_to_edge_atr
0.645
Signaux confirmants (29)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 08:15 | 11.69200000 | 0% |
| 2 | 08:21 | 11.68100000 | -0.094% |
| 3 | 08:27 | 11.68100000 | -0.094% |
| 4 | 08:33 | 11.68100000 | -0.094% |
| 5 | 08:39 | 11.61500000 | -0.659% |
| 6 | 08:45 | 11.61500000 | -0.659% |
| 7 | 08:51 | 11.58600000 | -0.907% |
| 8 | 08:57 | 11.58600000 | -0.907% |
| 9 | 09:04 | 11.58600000 | -0.907% |
| 10 | 09:09 | 11.65300000 | -0.334% |
| 11 | 09:15 | 11.65300000 | -0.334% |
| 12 | 09:21 | 11.67100000 | -0.18% |
| 13 | 09:27 | 11.67100000 | -0.18% |
| 14 | 09:33 | 11.67100000 | -0.18% |
| 15 | 09:39 | 11.65100000 | -0.351% |
| 16 | 09:45 | 11.65100000 | -0.351% |
| 17 | 09:51 | 11.73000000 | +0.325% |
| 18 | 09:57 | 11.73000000 | +0.325% |
| 19 | 10:04 | 11.73000000 | +0.325% |
| 20 | 10:09 | 11.72700000 | +0.299% |
| 21 | 10:15 | 11.72700000 | +0.299% |
| 22 | 10:21 | 11.74300000 | +0.436% |
| 23 | 10:27 | 11.74300000 | +0.436% |
| 24 | 10:33 | 11.74300000 | +0.436% |
| 25 | 10:39 | 11.65000000 | -0.359% |
| 26 | 10:45 | 11.65000000 | -0.359% |
| 27 | 10:51 | 11.62600000 | -0.564% |
| 28 | 10:57 | 11.62600000 | -0.564% |
| 29 | 11:04 | 11.62600000 | -0.564% |
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
Orderbook Context
→ neutral
ws_rolling
5 snapshots
7061ms
Confidence avant OB :
89%
→
89%
Order Book Imbalance
OBI Top 5
0.037
avg 0.036
± 0.001
OBI Top 10
0.050
Microstructure
Mid Price
11.6670
Micro Price
11.6681
Spread
0.0514%
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
Price
11.6000
Size
9,355.06
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
Price
11.8000
Size
7,958.21
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11.692 | 11.8894 | 11.1985 | 2.5 | 15.588 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 11.692
- Stop Loss: 11.8894
- Take Profit: 11.1985
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 11.8894 - 11.692 = 0.1974
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 11.692 - 11.1985 = 0.4935
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.4935 / 0.1974 = 2.5
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 473.8739 | 100 | 40.5298 | 5.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss 0.1974
Taille de position = 8 / 0.1974 = 40.53
Taille de position USD = 40.53 x 11.692 = 473.88
Donc, tu peux acheter 40.53 avec un stoploss a 11.8894
Avec un position size USD de 473.88$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 40.53 x 0.1974 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 40.53 x 0.4935 = 20
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 20$
Résumé
- Taille de position 40.53
- Taille de position USD 473.88
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 20
- Risk-Reward Ratio 2.5
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 4.22 % | 20 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.69 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 7.3 $ | 1.54 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.4362 % | 25.84 % | 3 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11.692 | 11.8894 | 11.1985 | 2.5 | 15.588 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 11.692
- Stop Loss: 11.8894
- Take Profit: 11.1985
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 11.8894 - 11.692 = 0.1974
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 11.692 - 11.1985 = 0.4935
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.4935 / 0.1974 = 2.5
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -1.688%
(0.1974)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.984% | 0.6R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 12 |
| 2h | +0.984% | 0.6R | -0.436% | 0.3R | 2.3× | 24 |
| 4h | +2.925% | 1.7R | -0.436% | 0.3R | 6.7× | 48 |
| 8h | +2.925% | 1.7R | -0.436% | 0.3R | 6.7× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +2.925% | 1.7R | -0.436% | 0.3R | 6.7× | 143 |
| 24h | +2.925% | 1.7R | -3.892% | 2.3R | 0.8× | 288 |
computed 1 week ago
Commentaires
Aucun commentaire.