Short Trade on NIL (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 2216.83 NIL at 0.0363$ per unit. Take profit: 0.03543 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 0.03995 (9.93 %)
11 Aug 2026 at 09:10:05
hyperliquid
NIL
SHORT
momentum_rotation_v2
hyperliquid
11 Aug 2026 09:10
→ 10:55
· 1 hour
Position
Entry 0.03634$
Qty 2216.8341 NIL
Size 80.5664$ (leverage 1)
Risk Setup
TP 0.03543 (+2.5%)
TP $ 2.02$
SL 0.03995 (-9.93%)
SL $ 8$
RR 0.25
Status
win
PnL
+2.50%
/ +2.02$
MAE -0.86%
MFE +2.98%
0.3R
expires
11 Aug 15:10
V2 Shadow Analysis
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Quality Rank (id: 65801)
#47 / 47
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 11/08/2026 09:00
score du 11/08/2026 09:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.0130
Quality Score
0.349
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
98 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
0
BLOCKED
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
1.4M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
11/08 09:02
11/08 09:02
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank
#47 / 47
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
98 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
0
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+2
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+2
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
9.93 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#47 / 47
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
98 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+2
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
9.93 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
0/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 1.61×ATR |
| 4h | clear | 0.59×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 0.91×ATR |
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| 4h | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | early | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
Regime
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : range_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : range_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 11/08 09:00 Score : 0 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3) 10/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (-2) 11/08 08:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 11/08 08:00 Score : +2 / ±6 |
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1H
Score brut
0.3490
Score SMA
0.4247
Rank
#47
/ 47
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.0130
Rank Norm SMA
0.1868
Calculé le
11/08/2026 09:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.3230 | r1h: -0.428% · r4h: -1.890% · r1d: -21.29% · r3d: 5.80% · ema21_slope: -0.3995% · dist_ema21: -5.763% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.3729 | rs_1h: -0.332% · rs_4h: -2.171% · rs_1d: -20.43% · rs_3d: 6.83% · beta_24h: 2.813 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2126 | rvol_20: 0.81× · zscore_50: -0.585 · trend: -47.94% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.3707 | ADX: 11.8 (weak) · Chop: 66.4 (range) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.6074 | ATR%: 4.178% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -9.934%
(0.0036)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.442% | 0.2R | -0.864% | 0.1R | 1.7× | 12 |
| 2h | +2.977% | 0.3R | -0.864% | 0.1R | 3.5× | 24 |
| 4h | +2.977% | 0.3R | -0.864% | 0.1R | 3.5× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +2.977% | 0.3R | -0.864% | 0.1R | 3.5× | 72 |
| 8h | +3.396% | 0.3R | -0.864% | 0.1R | 3.9× | 96 |
| 12h | +4.794% | 0.5R | -0.864% | 0.1R | 5.6× | 144 |
computed 1 week ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 4.45
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | bullish_transition | moderate | balanced | volatile_reversal | bear_high |
47%
|
noisy_chop 40% | early | — | — | 0.34 | bear_high | -3.51% | +0.23 | 10/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↔ neutral | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | expansion | bull_high |
63%
|
noisy_chop 41% | mid | — | — | 0.36 | range_medium | +0.16% | +0.59 | 11/08 08:00 |
| 1h | ↔ neutral | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
51%
|
noisy_chop 41% | late | — | — | 0.04 | range_low | -0.39% | -0.80 | 11/08 08:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
56%
|
noisy_chop 49% | mid | — | — | — | range_low | +0.05% | -0.54 | 11/08 08:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | early | 1b | — | 2.627×ATR | p14 | +0.191×ATR | p14 |
| 4h | ↓ down | mid | 6b | — | 4.318×ATR | p71 | -0.457×ATR | p38 |
| 1h | ↓ down | late | 23b | — | 8.675×ATR | p94 | -1.894×ATR | p74 |
| 15m | ↓ down | mid | 9b | — | 4.207×ATR | p77 | -2.016×ATR | p78 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL
Indicators:
- stop_price: 0.03995175
- tp_price: 0.03543442
- atr: 0.0014435
- expires_at: 2026-08-11T19:10:05+00:00
Details
- rank: 49
- total: 50
- score: 0.323
- delta_2h: -0.1025
- extension_atr: -1.47
- trend_phase:
- trend_direction:
- rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.013
- confidence: 0.98
Signal Details
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.03634 | 0.03995 | 0.03543 | 0.25 | 0.04634 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.03634
- Stop Loss: 0.03995
- Take Profit: 0.03543
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.03995 - 0.03634 = 0.00361
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.03634 - 0.03543 = 0.00090999999999999
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.00090999999999999 / 0.00361 = 0.2521
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 80.5664 | 80.5664 | 2216.8341 | 1.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss 0.00361
Taille de position = 8 / 0.00361 = 2216.07
Taille de position USD = 2216.07 x 0.03634 = 80.53
Donc, tu peux acheter 2216.07 avec un stoploss a 0.03995
Avec un position size USD de 80.53$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 2216.07 x 0.00361 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 2216.07 x 0.00090999999999999 = 2.02
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 2.02$
Résumé
- Taille de position 2216.07
- Taille de position USD 80.53
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 2.02
- Risk-Reward Ratio 0.2521
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.5 % | 2.02 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 9.93 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 2.02 $ | 2.50 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.8641 % | 8.7 % | 7 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.03634 | 0.03995 | 0.03543 | 0.25 | 0.04634 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.03634
- Stop Loss: 0.03995
- Take Profit: 0.03543
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.03995 - 0.03634 = 0.00361
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.03634 - 0.03543 = 0.00090999999999999
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.00090999999999999 / 0.00361 = 0.2521
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -9.934%
(0.0036)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.442% | 0.2R | -0.864% | 0.1R | 1.7× | 12 |
| 2h | +2.977% | 0.3R | -0.864% | 0.1R | 3.5× | 24 |
| 4h | +2.977% | 0.3R | -0.864% | 0.1R | 3.5× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +2.977% | 0.3R | -0.864% | 0.1R | 3.5× | 72 |
| 8h | +3.396% | 0.3R | -0.864% | 0.1R | 3.9× | 96 |
| 12h | +4.794% | 0.5R | -0.864% | 0.1R | 5.6× | 144 |
computed 1 week ago
Commentaires
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