Short Trade on kBONK

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11 Aug 2026 at 09:10:05 hyperliquid

Short Trade on kBONK (momentum_rotation_v2)

With 138744.36 kBONK at 0.00233$ per unit. Take profit: 0.002276 (2.49 %) & Stop Loss: 0.002392 (2.49 %)

kBONK SHORT momentum_rotation_v2 hyperliquid 11 Aug 2026 09:10 → 13:50 · 4 hours

Position

Entry 0.002334$

Qty 138744.3635 kBONK

Size 323.8293$ (margin 100$) (leverage 3)

Risk Setup

TP 0.002276 (+2.49%)

TP $ 8.05$

SL 0.002392 (-2.49%)

SL $ 8.05$

RR 1

Status win PnL +2.49% / +8.05$ MAE -0.94% MFE +2.66% 1.1R expires 11 Aug 15:10

V2 Shadow Analysis

Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?

Quality Rank (id: 65787)

#45 / 47 OK

seuil : top 15
score du 11/08/2026 09:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.2234

Quality Score

0.434

score brut du coin

Signal Confidence

96 % OK

seuil : ≥ 40%

Regime Score

0 BLOCKED

seuil : score ≥ 1

Décision V2

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime

Volume 24h (signal)

1.1M $

volume USDT au moment du signal
11/08 09:01

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank

#45 / 47 OK

seuil : top 15

Signal Confidence

96 % OK

seuil : ≥ 40%

BTC Regime Score

−4 → +4 (macro BTC)

Coin Regime Score

−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)

Combined Regime Score

+6 OK

seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3

Stop Loss Size

2.49 % OK

seuil : ≥ 0.75%

Décision V3

WOULD TRADE

rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank

#45 / 47 OK

seuil : top 15

Signal Confidence

96 % OK

seuil : ≥ 40%

Combined Regime Score

+6 OK

seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3

Stop Loss Size

2.49 % OK

seuil : ≥ 0.75%

Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)

0/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF

TF	Near Demand	Distance (ATR)
1h	clear	—
4h	clear	—
1d	clear	—

Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)

2/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF

TF	Direction	Maturity	Adverse
1h	↑ up	late	OK
4h	↓ down	late	BLOCKED
1d	↓ down	late	BLOCKED

Décision V4

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

Regime

BTC Market Regime	BTC Market Regime V2
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : range_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0	ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : range_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : range_low (0) 11/08 09:00 Score : 0

BTC Market Regime

BTC Market Regime V2

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : range_low

rules_regime_5m : range_low

Score : 0

ml_regime : bear_high

Strategic (1D) : range_high (0)

Operational (4H) : range_medium (0)

Tactical (1H) : range_low (0)

11/08 09:00

Score : 0

BTC Correlation	Coin Market Regime	Coin Market Regime V2
		Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3) 10/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 11/08 08:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 11/08 08:00 Score : +6 / ±6

BTC Correlation

Coin Market Regime

Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3)

10/08 20:00

Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2)

11/08 08:00

Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1)

11/08 08:00

Score : +6 / ±6

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

Score brut

0.4343

Score SMA

0.4737

Rank

#45 / 47

Rank Norm SMA 8h

0.2234

Rank Norm SMA

0.1748

Calculé le

11/08/2026 09:00

Composante	Poids	Score	Détails
Momentum	30%	0.3251	r1h: -0.641% · r4h: -0.810% · r1d: -5.56% · r3d: -6.58% · ema21_slope: -0.2020% · dist_ema21: -2.647%
Force Relative	25%	0.3496	rs_1h: -0.544% · rs_4h: -1.091% · rs_1d: -4.70% · rs_3d: -5.55% · beta_24h: -0.331
Volume	20%	0.1503	rvol_20: 0.22× · zscore_50: -0.836 · trend: -45.52%
Qualité Tendance	15%	0.7956	ADX: 35.5 (trend) · Chop: 37.4 (trend)
Volatilité	10%	1.0000	ATR%: 1.047% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -2.485% (0.0001)

Horizon	MFE %	MFE R	MAE %	MAE R	MFE/MAE	Candles
1h	+0.171%	0.1R	-0.857%	0.3R	0.2×	12
2h	+1.928%	0.8R	-0.943%	0.4R	2.1×	24
4h	+2.314%	0.9R	-0.943%	0.4R	2.5×	48
6h ★	+2.656%	1.1R	-0.943%	0.4R	2.8×	72
8h	+2.656%	1.1R	-0.943%	0.4R	2.8×	96
12h	+2.656%	1.1R	-0.943%	0.4R	2.8×	144

computed 1 week ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: 30

ML Pullback Score: 3.2

Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

TF	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à
1d	↓ down	range	range	moderate	grind	compression	bear_high	52%	noisy_chop 42%	late	—	—	0.67	bear_high	-3.51%	-0.98	10/08 20:00
4h	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	moderate	grind	compression	bear_high	58%	noisy_chop 41%	late	—	—	0.47	range_medium	+0.16%	-0.57	11/08 08:00
1h	↓ down	range	range	strong	fading	normal	bear_high	56%	noisy_chop 46%	late	—	—	0.26	range_low	-0.39%	-0.54	11/08 08:00
15m	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	strong	fading	compression	bear_medium	57%	noisy_chop 40%	mid	near 0.2ATR	—	—	range_low	+0.05%	-0.03	11/08 08:30
5m	—

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF	Direction	Maturity	Age (bars)	Age since BOS	Amplitude	Amp. %ile	Extension	Ext. %ile
1d	↓ down	late	38b	—	14.122×ATR	p100	-3×ATR	p98
4h	↓ down	late	19b	—	4.164×ATR	p72	-2.279×ATR	p88
1h	↑ up	late	11b	—	0×ATR	p0	-2.59×ATR	p93
15m	↓ down	mid	4b	—	1.739×ATR	p0	-1.751×ATR	p77

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL

Indicators:

stop_price: 0.00239166
tp_price: 0.00227565
atr: 2.306E-5
expires_at: 2026-08-11T19:10:05+00:00

Details

rank: 48
total: 50
score: 0.3251
delta_2h: -0.0184
extension_atr: -2.12
trend_phase:
trend_direction:
rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.2234
confidence: 0.959

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry	Stop Loss	Take Profit	RR	Current Price
0.002334	0.002392	0.002276	1	0.00313

Details

Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

Entry 0.002334
Stop Loss: 0.002392
Take Profit: 0.002276

Calcul:

Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

SL - E = 0.002392 - 0.002334 = 5.8E-5
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

E - TP = 0.002334 - 0.002276 = 5.8E-5
Risk-Reward Ratio:

RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 5.8E-5 / 5.8E-5 = 1

📌 Position Size

Amount	Margin	Quantity	Leverage
323.8293	100	138744.3635	3.00

Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

Account Size 100
Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

Risk Amount 8
Distance Stop Loss 5.8E-5

Taille de position = 8 / 5.8E-5 = 137931.03

Taille de position USD = 137931.03 x 0.002334 = 321.93

Donc, tu peux acheter 137931.03 avec un stoploss a 0.002392

Avec un position size USD de 321.93$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 137931.03 x 5.8E-5 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 137931.03 x 5.8E-5 = 8

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 8$

Résumé

Taille de position 137931.03
Taille de position USD 321.93
Perte potentielle 8
Gain potentiel 8
Risk-Reward Ratio 1

📌 Peformances

TP % Target	TP $ Target
2.49 %	8.05 $

SL % Target	SL $ Target
2.49 %	8.05 $

PNL	PNL %
8.05 $	2.49

Max Drawdown	Max Drawdown / SL Ratio	Candles in Entry
-0.9426 %	37.93 %	3

Entry	Stop Loss	Take Profit	RR	Current Price
0.002334	0.002392	0.002276	1	0.00313

Details

Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

Entry 0.002334
Stop Loss: 0.002392
Take Profit: 0.002276

Calcul:

Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

SL - E = 0.002392 - 0.002334 = 5.8E-5
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

E - TP = 0.002334 - 0.002276 = 5.8E-5
Risk-Reward Ratio:

RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 5.8E-5 / 5.8E-5 = 1

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data


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Extra SL data


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MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -2.485% (0.0001)

Horizon	MFE %	MFE R	MAE %	MAE R	MFE/MAE	Candles
1h	+0.171%	0.1R	-0.857%	0.3R	0.2×	12
2h	+1.928%	0.8R	-0.943%	0.4R	2.1×	24
4h	+2.314%	0.9R	-0.943%	0.4R	2.5×	48
6h ★	+2.656%	1.1R	-0.943%	0.4R	2.8×	72
8h	+2.656%	1.1R	-0.943%	0.4R	2.8×	96
12h	+2.656%	1.1R	-0.943%	0.4R	2.8×	144

computed 1 week ago

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