11 Aug 2026 at 11:10:09 hyperliquid

Short Trade on ADA (momentum_rotation_v2)

With 2223.57 ADA at 0.185$ per unit. Take profit: 0.1802 (2.49 %) & Stop Loss: 0.1884 (1.95 %)

ADA SHORT momentum_rotation_v2 hyperliquid 11 Aug 2026 11:10 → 17:05 · 5 hours

Position

Entry 0.1848$

Qty 2223.5749 ADA

Size 410.9611$ (margin 100$) (leverage 4)

Risk Setup

TP 0.1802 (+2.49%)

TP $ 10.23$

SL 0.1884 (-1.95%)

SL $ 8$

RR 1.28

Status loss PnL -0.38% / -1.56$ MAE -0.94% MFE +0.66% 0.3R expires 11 Aug 17:10 Exit time_expired

V2 Shadow Analysis

Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?

Quality Rank (id: 65878)
#25 / 46 OUT
seuil : top 15
score du 11/08/2026 11:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.3465

Quality Score
0.533
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
92 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
2 OK
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
6.8M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
11/08 11:01

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank
#25 / 46 OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
92 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+1
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+4
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+5 OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
1.95 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#25 / 46 OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
92 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+5 OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
1.95 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
2/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Demand Distance (ATR)
1h near 0.16×ATR
4h near -1.60×ATR
1d clear 2.06×ATR
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
2/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↓ down late BLOCKED
4h ↓ down late BLOCKED
1d ↓ down early OK
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

Regime

BTC Market Regime BTC Market Regime V2

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : bear_low_confirmed

rules_regime_5m : bear_low

Score : 2

ml_regime : bear_high

Strategic (1D) : range_high (0)

Operational (4H) : range_medium (0)

Tactical (1H) : bear_low_confirmed (+1)

11/08 11:00

Score : +1

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3)

10/08 20:00

Operational (4H) : range_high (0)

11/08 08:00

Tactical (1H) : bear_high_confirmed (+1)

11/08 10:00

Score : +4 / ±6

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1H
Score brut
0.5329
Score SMA
0.5064
Rank
#25 / 46
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.3465
Rank Norm SMA
0.3839
Calculé le
11/08/2026 11:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.3189 r1h: -0.659% · r4h: -1.362% · r1d: -5.36% · r3d: -7.45% · ema21_slope: -0.1709% · dist_ema21: -2.220%
Force Relative 25% 0.3668 rs_1h: -0.298% · rs_4h: -0.941% · rs_1d: -4.33% · rs_3d: -5.66% · beta_24h: 0.599
Volume 20% 0.6053 rvol_20: 1.86× · zscore_50: 0.943 · trend: 43.66%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.8300 ADX: 45.7 (trend) · Chop: 44.5 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 1.0000 ATR%: 0.805% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -1.948% (0.0036)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.660% 0.3R -0.390% 0.2R 1.7× 12
2h +0.660% 0.3R -0.936% 0.5R 0.7× 24
4h +0.660% 0.3R -0.936% 0.5R 0.7× 48
6h ★ +0.660% 0.3R -0.936% 0.5R 0.7× 72
8h +0.660% 0.3R -1.412% 0.7R 0.5× 96
12h +0.660% 0.3R -1.883% 1.0R 0.4× 144

computed 1 week ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.89
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↑ up range range moderate grind normal bear_high
69%
noisy_chop 44% early near 0.4ATR 0.79 bear_high -3.51% +0.77 10/08 20:00
4h ↔ neutral range range strong grind compression range_high
35%
noisy_chop 44% late near -1.6ATR 0.57 range_medium -0.29% -0.50 11/08 08:00
1h ↓ down range range moderate fading compression bear_high_confirmed
55%
noisy_chop 46% late near 0.2ATR 0.21 bear_low -0.92% -0.41 11/08 10:00
15m ↓ down transition bearish_transition moderate fading expansion_after_compression bear_low_confirmed
48%
noisy_chop 46% late range_low -0.48% -0.12 11/08 10:30
5m

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↓ down early 5b 2.432×ATR p0 +0.447×ATR p28
4h ↓ down late 29b 7.095×ATR p94 -2.082×ATR p87
1h ↓ down late 24b 7.803×ATR p100 -3.17×ATR p98
15m ↓ down late 8b 3.306×ATR p56 -2.311×ATR p91

Maturitylate : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL

Indicators:

  1. stop_price: 0.18841781
  2. tp_price: 0.1801995
  3. atr: 0.00143912
  4. expires_at: 2026-08-11T21:10:09+00:00
Details
  1. rank: 45
  2. total: 49
  3. score: 0.3189
  4. delta_2h: -0.0342
  5. extension_atr: -2.89
  6. trend_phase:
  7. trend_direction:
  8. rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.3465
  9. confidence: 0.917

Signal Details

Signaux confirmants (2)

# Heure Entry Δ
1 11:10 0.18482000 +0.011%
2 12:10 0.18526000 +0.249%

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.1848 0.1884 0.1802 1.28 0.2291
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.1848
  • Stop Loss: 0.1884
  • Take Profit: 0.1802

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.1884 - 0.1848 = 0.0036

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.1848 - 0.1802 = 0.0046

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0046 / 0.0036 = 1.2778

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
410.9611 100 2223.5749 4.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.0036

Taille de position = 8 / 0.0036 = 2222.22

Taille de position USD = 2222.22 x 0.1848 = 410.67

Donc, tu peux acheter 2222.22 avec un stoploss a 0.1884

Avec un position size USD de 410.67$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 2222.22 x 0.0036 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 2222.22 x 0.0046 = 10.22

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 10.22$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 2222.22
  • Taille de position USD 410.67
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 10.22
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 1.2778

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
2.49 % 10.23 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
1.95 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
-1.56 $ -0.38
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.9361 % 48.05 % 8
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.1848 0.1884 0.1802 1.28 0.2291
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.1848
  • Stop Loss: 0.1884
  • Take Profit: 0.1802

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.1884 - 0.1848 = 0.0036

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.1848 - 0.1802 = 0.0046

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0046 / 0.0036 = 1.2778

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
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Extra SL data

                              Array
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MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -1.948% (0.0036)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.660% 0.3R -0.390% 0.2R 1.7× 12
2h +0.660% 0.3R -0.936% 0.5R 0.7× 24
4h +0.660% 0.3R -0.936% 0.5R 0.7× 48
6h ★ +0.660% 0.3R -0.936% 0.5R 0.7× 72
8h +0.660% 0.3R -1.412% 0.7R 0.5× 96
12h +0.660% 0.3R -1.883% 1.0R 0.4× 144

computed 1 week ago

Commentaires

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