Long Trade on BNB (CatchTheWave)
With 4.93 BNB at 607.72$ per unit. Take profit: 610.963 (0.53 %) & Stop Loss: 606.0985 (0.27 %)
Long Trade on BNB (CatchTheWave)
With 4.93 BNB at 607.72$ per unit. Take profit: 610.963 (0.53 %) & Stop Loss: 606.0985 (0.27 %)
Position
Entry 607.72$
Qty 4.9337 BNB
Size 2998.3283$ (margin 100$) (leverage 30)
Risk Setup
TP 610.963 (+0.53%)
TP $ 16$
SL 606.0985 (-0.27%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.8590
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 0.60×ATR |
| 4h | near | -1.09×ATR |
| 1d | near | -1.90×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | late | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : bear_low_confirmed rules_regime_5m : bear_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : range_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : bear_low_confirmed (-1) 11/08 11:00 Score : -1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
5m : 0.508541 15m : 0.49315 |
1H_regime : bull_medium 15m_regime : range_low 5m_regime : range_low |
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+3) 10/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high_confirmed (+2) 11/08 08:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_low_confirmed (+1) 11/08 10:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5380 | r1h: -0.175% · r4h: 0.459% · r1d: 1.53% · r3d: 1.21% · ema21_slope: 0.0532% · dist_ema21: 0.945% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5832 | rs_1h: 0.187% · rs_4h: 0.880% · rs_1d: 2.57% · rs_3d: 3.00% · beta_24h: 0.609 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.4411 | rvol_20: 0.87× · zscore_50: 0.006 · trend: 86.26% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7742 | ADX: 32.9 (trend) · Chop: 20.4 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.401% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.308% | 1.2R | -0.410% | 1.5R | 0.8× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.406% | 1.5R | -0.410% | 1.5R | 1.0× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.474% | 1.8R | -0.410% | 1.5R | 1.2× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.114% | 4.2R | -0.410% | 1.5R | 2.7× | 96 |
| 12h | +2.045% | 7.7R | -0.410% | 1.5R | 5.0× | 144 |
computed 1 week ago
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | fading | normal | bull_high |
64%
|
noisy_chop 42% | late | — | near -1.9ATR | 0.83 | bear_high | -3.51% | +0.74 | 10/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | grind | expansion | bull_high_confirmed |
61%
|
noisy_chop 48% | late | — | near -1.1ATR | 0.81 | range_medium | -0.29% | +0.38 | 11/08 08:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | strong | balanced | expansion | bull_low_confirmed |
54%
|
noisy_chop 48% | late | — | — | 0.55 | bear_low | -0.92% | +0.16 | 11/08 10:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | early_expansion | bullish_transition | strong | explosive | expansion | bull_low |
53%
|
noisy_chop 40% | mid | — | — | — | range_low | -0.48% | +0.12 | 11/08 10:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | late | 18b | — | 4.194×ATR | p42 | +1.657×ATR | p83 |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | 5b | — | 2.718×ATR | p26 | +1.753×ATR | p92 |
| 1h | ↓ down | late | 2b | — | 1.732×ATR | p8 | +2.364×ATR | p88 |
| 15m | ↓ down | mid | 10b | — | 3.017×ATR | p54 | +0.46×ATR | p26 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
64109.4
-0.0057312
63742
0.508541
64191.5
-0.00700333
63742
0.49315
64652.2
-0.0128565
63821
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614.88
196
0.733
0.7527
0.2968
0.2318
0.35
1
0.2172
0.6031
0.6595
0.9542
0.7104
0.7652
0.1899
0.0927
1
0.9589
1.565
0.5
0.5
1
3
0.9474
0.589
0.8004
6.9671
0.55
5.0854
8.6511
1.565
0
0.321
0.96
0.2673
0.5144
0.5293
0.5572
0.7652
-2.3771
7.7484
1
0
0
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (2)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11:12 | 607.72000000 | 0% |
| 2 | 11:36 | 606.28000000 | -0.237% |
Market Structure Score: 0
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-11 08:50:00 | 604.1 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-11 09:25:00 | 607.6 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-11 10:00:00 | 607.95 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-11 10:50:00 | 608.24 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-11 11:15:00 | 606.44 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-11 12:10:00 | 614.88 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-11 13:10:00 | 613.54 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-11 13:35:00 | 609.94 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-11 14:45:00 | 611.35 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-11 14:55:00 | 606.11 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-10 23:30:00 | 598.22 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-11 01:00:00 | 600.61 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-11 02:30:00 | 599.72 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-11 03:15:00 | 600.74 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-11 05:00:00 | 599.1 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-11 06:00:00 | 600.5 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-11 07:00:00 | 598.2 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-11 11:15:00 | 606.44 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-11 12:00:00 | 614.88 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-11 14:45:00 | 606.11 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-08 22:00:00 | 598.95 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 01:00:00 | 604.44 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 14:00:00 | 611.46 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 22:00:00 | 610.99 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-10 04:00:00 | 601.05 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-10 10:00:00 | 606.69 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-10 17:00:00 | 597.46 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-10 23:00:00 | 598.22 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-11 07:00:00 | 598.2 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-11 12:00:00 | 614.88 | ↑ High |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 607.72 | 606.0985 | 610.963 | 2 | 699.16 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 606.0985 - 607.72 = -1.6215000000001
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 607.72 - 610.963 = -3.2429999999999
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -3.2429999999999 / -1.6215000000001 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2998.3283 | 100 | 4.9337 | 30.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -1.6215000000001 = -4.93
Taille de position USD = -4.93 x 607.72 = -2996.06
Donc, tu peux acheter -4.93 avec un stoploss a 606.0985
Avec un position size USD de -2996.06$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -4.93 x -1.6215000000001 = 7.99
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 7.99$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -4.93 x -3.2429999999999 = 15.99
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 15.99$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.53 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.27 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -0.27 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.288 % | 107.95 % | 2 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 607.72 | 606.0985 | 610.963 | 2 | 699.16 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 606.0985 - 607.72 = -1.6215000000001
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 607.72 - 610.963 = -3.2429999999999
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -3.2429999999999 / -1.6215000000001 = 2
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.308% | 1.2R | -0.410% | 1.5R | 0.8× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.406% | 1.5R | -0.410% | 1.5R | 1.0× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.474% | 1.8R | -0.410% | 1.5R | 1.2× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.114% | 4.2R | -0.410% | 1.5R | 2.7× | 96 |
| 12h | +2.045% | 7.7R | -0.410% | 1.5R | 5.0× | 144 |
computed 1 week ago
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