Short Trade on NIL

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11 Aug 2026 at 12:10:06 hyperliquid

Short Trade on NIL (momentum_rotation_v2)

With 2308.3 NIL at 0.0363$ per unit. Take profit: 0.03543 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 0.0398 (9.52 %)

NIL SHORT momentum_rotation_v2 hyperliquid 11 Aug 2026 12:10 → 15:05 · 2 hours

Position

Entry 0.03634$

Qty 2308.3027 NIL

Size 83.8745$ (leverage 1)

Risk Setup

TP 0.03543 (+2.5%)

TP $ 2.1$

SL 0.0398 (-9.52%)

SL $ 7.99$

RR 0.26

Status win PnL +2.50% / +2.1$ MAE -0.43% MFE +4.04% 0.4R expires 11 Aug 18:10

V2 Shadow Analysis

Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?

Quality Rank (id: 65939)

#45 / 46 OK

seuil : top 15
score du 11/08/2026 12:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.0109

Quality Score

0.387

score brut du coin

Signal Confidence

96 % OK

seuil : ≥ 40%

Regime Score

3 OK

seuil : score ≥ 1

Décision V2

WOULD TRADE

rank + confidence + regime

Volume 24h (signal)

1.0M $

volume USDT au moment du signal
11/08 12:02

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank

#45 / 46 OK

seuil : top 15

Signal Confidence

96 % OK

seuil : ≥ 40%

BTC Regime Score

−4 → +4 (macro BTC)

Coin Regime Score

−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)

Combined Regime Score

+3 OK

seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3

Stop Loss Size

9.52 % OK

seuil : ≥ 0.75%

Décision V3

WOULD TRADE

rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank

#45 / 46 OK

seuil : top 15

Signal Confidence

96 % OK

seuil : ≥ 40%

Combined Regime Score

+3 OK

seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3

Stop Loss Size

9.52 % OK

seuil : ≥ 0.75%

Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)

1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF

TF	Near Demand	Distance (ATR)
1h	clear	1.20×ATR
4h	near	0.39×ATR
1d	clear	0.91×ATR

Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)

1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF

TF	Direction	Maturity	Adverse
1h	↓ down	late	BLOCKED
4h	↓ down	mid	OK
1d	↓ down	early	OK

Décision V4

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

Regime

BTC Market Regime	BTC Market Regime V2
ml_regime : bear_low_vol rules_regime : bear_low_confirmed rules_regime_5m : bear_low Score : 3	ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : range_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : bear_low_confirmed (+1) 11/08 12:00 Score : +1

BTC Market Regime

BTC Market Regime V2

ml_regime : bear_low_vol

rules_regime : bear_low_confirmed

rules_regime_5m : bear_low

Score : 3

ml_regime : bear_high

Strategic (1D) : range_high (0)

Operational (4H) : range_medium (0)

Tactical (1H) : bear_low_confirmed (+1)

11/08 12:00

Score : +1

BTC Correlation	Coin Market Regime	Coin Market Regime V2
		Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3) 10/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (-2) 11/08 08:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 11/08 11:00 Score : +2 / ±6

BTC Correlation

Coin Market Regime

Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3)

10/08 20:00

Operational (4H) : bull_high (-2)

11/08 08:00

Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1)

11/08 11:00

Score : +2 / ±6

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

Score brut

0.3871

Score SMA

0.3906

Rank

#45 / 46

Rank Norm SMA 8h

0.0109

Rank Norm SMA

0.1098

Calculé le

11/08/2026 12:00

Composante	Poids	Score	Détails
Momentum	30%	0.2640	r1h: 0.271% · r4h: -2.890% · r1d: -12.83% · r3d: 1.71% · ema21_slope: -0.4534% · dist_ema21: -6.330%
Force Relative	25%	0.4013	rs_1h: 0.616% · rs_4h: -1.592% · rs_1d: -11.66% · rs_3d: 4.06% · beta_24h: -0.662
Volume	20%	0.3753	rvol_20: 1.62× · zscore_50: -0.364 · trend: -35.35%
Qualité Tendance	15%	0.4203	ADX: 12.3 (weak) · Chop: 60.7 (neutral)
Volatilité	10%	0.6948	ATR%: 3.916% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -9.521% (0.0035)

Horizon	MFE %	MFE R	MAE %	MAE R	MFE/MAE	Candles
1h	+1.805%	0.2R	-0.427%	0.0R	4.2×	12
2h	+1.805%	0.2R	-0.427%	0.0R	4.2×	24
4h	+3.396%	0.4R	-0.427%	0.0R	8.0×	48
6h ★	+4.042%	0.4R	-0.427%	0.0R	9.5×	72
8h	+4.794%	0.5R	-0.427%	0.0R	11.2×	96
12h	+4.794%	0.5R	-2.755%	0.3R	1.7×	144

computed 1 week ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: 30

ML Pullback Score: 5.55

Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

TF	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à
1d	↔ neutral	range	bullish_transition	moderate	balanced	volatile_reversal	bear_high	47%	noisy_chop 40%	early	—	—	0.34	bear_high	-3.51%	+0.23	10/08 20:00
4h	↔ neutral	transition	bullish_transition	moderate	grind	expansion	bull_high	63%	noisy_chop 42%	mid	near 0.4ATR	—	0.36	bear_medium	-0.77%	+0.55	11/08 08:00
1h	↔ neutral	transition	bullish_transition	moderate	fading	compression	bear_high	54%	noisy_chop 41%	late	—	—	0.05	bear_low_confirmed	-1.52%	-0.46	11/08 11:00
15m	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	strong	grind	compression	bear_high_confirmed	59%	noisy_chop 51%	mid	—	—	—	bear_low_confirmed	-1.06%	-0.53	11/08 11:30
5m	—

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF	Direction	Maturity	Age (bars)	Age since BOS	Amplitude	Amp. %ile	Extension	Ext. %ile
1d	↓ down	early	1b	—	2.627×ATR	p14	+0.191×ATR	p14
4h	↓ down	mid	6b	—	4.34×ATR	p71	-0.574×ATR	p44
1h	↓ down	late	26b	—	10.072×ATR	p98	-2.038×ATR	p77
15m	↑ up	mid	3b	—	1.157×ATR	p0	-1.76×ATR	p71

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL

Indicators:

stop_price: 0.03980175
tp_price: 0.0354276
atr: 0.0013863
expires_at: 2026-08-11T22:10:06+00:00

Details

rank: 44
total: 46
score: 0.264
delta_2h: -0.063
extension_atr: -1.05
trend_phase:
trend_direction:
rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.0109
confidence: 0.956

Signal Details

Signaux confirmants (2)

#	Heure	Entry	Δ
1	12:10	0.03633600	-0.011%
2	13:10	0.03615500	-0.509%

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry	Stop Loss	Take Profit	RR	Current Price
0.03634	0.0398	0.03543	0.26	0.04233

Details

Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

Entry 0.03634
Stop Loss: 0.0398
Take Profit: 0.03543

Calcul:

Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

SL - E = 0.0398 - 0.03634 = 0.00346
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

E - TP = 0.03634 - 0.03543 = 0.00090999999999999
Risk-Reward Ratio:

RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.00090999999999999 / 0.00346 = 0.263

📌 Position Size

Amount	Margin	Quantity	Leverage
83.8745	83.8745	2308.3027	1.00

Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

Account Size 100
Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

Risk Amount 8
Distance Stop Loss 0.00346

Taille de position = 8 / 0.00346 = 2312.14

Taille de position USD = 2312.14 x 0.03634 = 84.02

Donc, tu peux acheter 2312.14 avec un stoploss a 0.0398

Avec un position size USD de 84.02$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 2312.14 x 0.00346 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 2312.14 x 0.00090999999999999 = 2.1

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 2.1$

Résumé

Taille de position 2312.14
Taille de position USD 84.02
Perte potentielle 8
Gain potentiel 2.1
Risk-Reward Ratio 0.263

📌 Peformances

TP % Target	TP $ Target
2.5 %	2.1 $

SL % Target	SL $ Target
9.52 %	7.99 $

PNL	PNL %
2.1 $	2.50

Max Drawdown	Max Drawdown / SL Ratio	Candles in Entry
-0.4265 %	4.48 %	5

Entry	Stop Loss	Take Profit	RR	Current Price
0.03634	0.0398	0.03543	0.26	0.04233

Details

Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

Entry 0.03634
Stop Loss: 0.0398
Take Profit: 0.03543

Calcul:

Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

SL - E = 0.0398 - 0.03634 = 0.00346
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

E - TP = 0.03634 - 0.03543 = 0.00090999999999999
Risk-Reward Ratio:

RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.00090999999999999 / 0.00346 = 0.263

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data


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Extra SL data


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MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -9.521% (0.0035)

Horizon	MFE %	MFE R	MAE %	MAE R	MFE/MAE	Candles
1h	+1.805%	0.2R	-0.427%	0.0R	4.2×	12
2h	+1.805%	0.2R	-0.427%	0.0R	4.2×	24
4h	+3.396%	0.4R	-0.427%	0.0R	8.0×	48
6h ★	+4.042%	0.4R	-0.427%	0.0R	9.5×	72
8h	+4.794%	0.5R	-0.427%	0.0R	11.2×	96
12h	+4.794%	0.5R	-2.755%	0.3R	1.7×	144

computed 1 week ago

Commentaires

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