Short Trade on kBONK (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 120772.95 kBONK at 0.0023$ per unit. Take profit: 0.002242 (2.52 %) & Stop Loss: 0.002366 (2.87 %)
11 Aug 2026 at 12:10:06
hyperliquid
kBONK
SHORT
momentum_rotation_v2
hyperliquid
11 Aug 2026 12:10
→ 18:00
· 5 hours
Position
Entry 0.0023$
Qty 120772.9469 kBONK
Size 277.7778$ (margin 100$) (leverage 3)
Risk Setup
TP 0.002242 (+2.52%)
TP $ 7$
SL 0.002366 (-2.87%)
SL $ 7.97$
RR 0.88
Status
loss
PnL
-1.00%
/ -2.78$
MAE -1.17%
MFE +1.22%
0.4R
expires
11 Aug 18:10
Exit
time_expired
V2 Shadow Analysis
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Quality Rank (id: 65926)
#36 / 46
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 11/08/2026 12:00
score du 11/08/2026 12:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.1544
Quality Score
0.517
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
93 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
3
OK
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
1.2M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
11/08 12:01
11/08 12:01
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank
#36 / 46
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
93 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+1
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+7
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
2.87 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#36 / 46
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
93 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+7
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
2.87 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
0/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | — |
| 4h | clear | — |
| 1d | clear | — |
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
2/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | late | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
Regime
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bear_low_vol rules_regime : bear_low_confirmed rules_regime_5m : bear_low Score : 3 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : range_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : bear_low_confirmed (+1) 11/08 12:00 Score : +1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3) 10/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 11/08 08:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 11/08 11:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1H
Score brut
0.5165
Score SMA
0.4775
Rank
#36
/ 46
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.1544
Rank Norm SMA
0.1919
Calculé le
11/08/2026 12:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.2674 | r1h: 0.087% · r4h: -2.050% · r1d: -6.48% · r3d: -9.15% · ema21_slope: -0.2492% · dist_ema21: -3.216% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.3793 | rs_1h: 0.432% · rs_4h: -0.752% · rs_1d: -5.31% · rs_3d: -6.80% · beta_24h: 0.791 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.5823 | rvol_20: 1.92× · zscore_50: 0.967 · trend: 18.17% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.8330 | ADX: 40.0 (trend) · Chop: 28.3 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.211% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -2.870%
(0.0001)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -0.522% | 0.2R | 0.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.217% | 0.4R | -0.522% | 0.2R | 2.3× | 24 |
| 4h | +1.217% | 0.4R | -0.913% | 0.3R | 1.3× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +1.217% | 0.4R | -1.174% | 0.4R | 1.0× | 72 |
| 8h | +1.217% | 0.4R | -1.304% | 0.5R | 0.9× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.217% | 0.4R | -1.435% | 0.5R | 0.9× | 144 |
computed 1 week ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 2.4
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
52%
|
noisy_chop 42% | late | — | — | 0.67 | bear_high | -3.51% | -0.98 | 10/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
57%
|
noisy_chop 41% | late | — | — | 0.47 | bear_medium | -0.77% | -0.64 | 11/08 08:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | fading | expansion_after_compression | bear_high |
56%
|
noisy_chop 44% | late | — | — | 0.27 | bear_low_confirmed | -1.52% | -0.49 | 11/08 11:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | range | range | strong | explosive | expansion_after_compression | bear_medium_confirmed |
63%
|
noisy_chop 44% | mid | — | — | — | bear_low_confirmed | -1.06% | -0.02 | 11/08 11:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | late | 38b | — | 14.122×ATR | p100 | -3×ATR | p98 |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | 19b | — | 4.628×ATR | p75 | -2.849×ATR | p93 |
| 1h | ↑ up | late | 14b | — | 0×ATR | p0 | -2.641×ATR | p93 |
| 15m | ↑ up | mid | 3b | — | 1.7×ATR | p3 | -1.588×ATR | p76 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL
Indicators:
- stop_price: 0.00236624
- tp_price: 0.0022425
- atr: 2.65E-5
- expires_at: 2026-08-11T22:10:06+00:00
Details
- rank: 43
- total: 46
- score: 0.2674
- delta_2h: -0.1047
- extension_atr: -2.33
- trend_phase:
- trend_direction:
- rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.1544
- confidence: 0.933
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (2)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12:10 | 0.00230000 | 0% |
| 2 | 13:10 | 0.00230700 | +0.304% |
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.0023 | 0.002366 | 0.002242 | 0.88 | 0.003081 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.0023
- Stop Loss: 0.002366
- Take Profit: 0.002242
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.002366 - 0.0023 = 6.6E-5
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.0023 - 0.002242 = 5.8E-5
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 5.8E-5 / 6.6E-5 = 0.8788
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 277.7778 | 100 | 120772.9469 | 3.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss 6.6E-5
Taille de position = 8 / 6.6E-5 = 121212.12
Taille de position USD = 121212.12 x 0.0023 = 278.79
Donc, tu peux acheter 121212.12 avec un stoploss a 0.002366
Avec un position size USD de 278.79$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 121212.12 x 6.6E-5 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 121212.12 x 5.8E-5 = 7.03
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 7.03$
Résumé
- Taille de position 121212.12
- Taille de position USD 278.79
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 7.03
- Risk-Reward Ratio 0.8788
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.52 % | 7 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.87 % | 7.97 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -2.78 $ | -1.00 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -1 % | 34.85 % | 8 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.0023 | 0.002366 | 0.002242 | 0.88 | 0.003081 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.0023
- Stop Loss: 0.002366
- Take Profit: 0.002242
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.002366 - 0.0023 = 6.6E-5
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.0023 - 0.002242 = 5.8E-5
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 5.8E-5 / 6.6E-5 = 0.8788
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -2.870%
(0.0001)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -0.522% | 0.2R | 0.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.217% | 0.4R | -0.522% | 0.2R | 2.3× | 24 |
| 4h | +1.217% | 0.4R | -0.913% | 0.3R | 1.3× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +1.217% | 0.4R | -1.174% | 0.4R | 1.0× | 72 |
| 8h | +1.217% | 0.4R | -1.304% | 0.5R | 0.9× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.217% | 0.4R | -1.435% | 0.5R | 0.9× | 144 |
computed 1 week ago
Commentaires
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