Short Trade on NIL (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 2582.98 NIL at 0.0361$ per unit. Take profit: 0.03517 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 0.03917 (8.59 %)
11 Aug 2026 at 14:10:08
hyperliquid
NIL
SHORT
momentum_rotation_v2
hyperliquid
11 Aug 2026 14:10
→ 15:25
· 1 hour
Position
Entry 0.03607$
Qty 2582.9782 NIL
Size 93.1629$ (leverage 1)
Risk Setup
TP 0.03517 (+2.5%)
TP $ 2.32$
SL 0.03917 (-8.59%)
SL $ 8.01$
RR 0.29
Status
win
PnL
+2.50%
/ +2.32$
MAE -0.49%
MFE +4.08%
0.5R
expires
11 Aug 20:10
V2 Shadow Analysis
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Quality Rank (id: 65939)
#45 / 46
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 11/08/2026 12:00
score du 11/08/2026 12:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.0109
Quality Score
0.387
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
96 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
2
OK
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
866,582 $
volume USDT au moment du signal
11/08 14:02
11/08 14:02
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank
#45 / 46
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
96 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+2
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+2
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+4
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
8.59 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#45 / 46
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
96 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+4
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
8.59 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 1.80×ATR |
| 4h | near | 0.50×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 0.91×ATR |
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| 4h | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | early | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
Regime
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bear_low_vol rules_regime : bear_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 2 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bear_medium_confirmed (+1) Tactical (1H) : bear_low_confirmed (+1) 11/08 14:00 Score : +2 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3) 10/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (-2) 11/08 12:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 11/08 13:00 Score : +2 / ±6 |
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1H
Score brut
0.3871
Score SMA
0.3906
Rank
#45
/ 46
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.0109
Rank Norm SMA
0.1098
Calculé le
11/08/2026 12:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.2640 | r1h: 0.271% · r4h: -2.890% · r1d: -12.83% · r3d: 1.71% · ema21_slope: -0.4534% · dist_ema21: -6.330% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4013 | rs_1h: 0.616% · rs_4h: -1.592% · rs_1d: -11.66% · rs_3d: 4.06% · beta_24h: -0.662 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.3753 | rvol_20: 1.62× · zscore_50: -0.364 · trend: -35.35% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.4203 | ADX: 12.3 (weak) · Chop: 60.7 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.6948 | ATR%: 3.916% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -8.594%
(0.0031)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.907% | 0.2R | -0.485% | 0.1R | 3.9× | 12 |
| 2h | +2.673% | 0.3R | -0.485% | 0.1R | 5.5× | 24 |
| 4h | +3.324% | 0.4R | -0.485% | 0.1R | 6.9× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +4.081% | 0.5R | -0.485% | 0.1R | 8.4× | 72 |
| 8h | +4.081% | 0.5R | -1.863% | 0.2R | 2.2× | 96 |
| 12h | +4.081% | 0.5R | -3.524% | 0.4R | 1.2× | 144 |
computed 1 week ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 5.06
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | bullish_transition | moderate | balanced | volatile_reversal | bear_high |
47%
|
noisy_chop 40% | early | — | — | 0.34 | bear_high | -3.51% | +0.23 | 10/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↔ neutral | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | expansion | bull_high |
64%
|
noisy_chop 42% | mid | near 0.5ATR | — | 0.36 | bear_medium | -1.28% | +0.63 | 11/08 12:00 |
| 1h | ↔ neutral | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
54%
|
noisy_chop 43% | late | — | — | 0.05 | bear_low_confirmed | -1.52% | -0.53 | 11/08 13:00 |
| 15m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | early | 1b | — | 2.627×ATR | p14 | +0.191×ATR | p14 |
| 4h | ↓ down | mid | 7b | — | 4.46×ATR | p74 | -0.469×ATR | p38 |
| 1h | ↓ down | late | 28b | — | 10.362×ATR | p100 | -1.282×ATR | p57 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL
Indicators:
- stop_price: 0.0391652
- tp_price: 0.0351663
- atr: 0.00123888
- expires_at: 2026-08-12T00:10:08+00:00
Details
- rank: 45
- total: 47
- score: 0.264
- delta_2h: -0.063
- extension_atr: -1.13
- trend_phase:
- trend_direction:
- rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.0109
- confidence: 0.957
Signal Details
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.03607 | 0.03917 | 0.03517 | 0.29 | 0.04625 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.03607
- Stop Loss: 0.03917
- Take Profit: 0.03517
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.03917 - 0.03607 = 0.0031
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.03607 - 0.03517 = 0.0009
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0009 / 0.0031 = 0.2903
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 93.1629 | 93.1629 | 2582.9782 | 1.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss 0.0031
Taille de position = 8 / 0.0031 = 2580.65
Taille de position USD = 2580.65 x 0.03607 = 93.08
Donc, tu peux acheter 2580.65 avec un stoploss a 0.03917
Avec un position size USD de 93.08$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 2580.65 x 0.0031 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 2580.65 x 0.0009 = 2.32
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 2.32$
Résumé
- Taille de position 2580.65
- Taille de position USD 93.08
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 2.32
- Risk-Reward Ratio 0.2903
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.5 % | 2.32 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 8.59 % | 8.01 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 2.32 $ | 2.50 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.4852 % | 5.65 % | 1 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.03607 | 0.03917 | 0.03517 | 0.29 | 0.04625 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.03607
- Stop Loss: 0.03917
- Take Profit: 0.03517
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.03917 - 0.03607 = 0.0031
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.03607 - 0.03517 = 0.0009
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0009 / 0.0031 = 0.2903
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
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Extra SL data
Array
(
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MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -8.594%
(0.0031)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.907% | 0.2R | -0.485% | 0.1R | 3.9× | 12 |
| 2h | +2.673% | 0.3R | -0.485% | 0.1R | 5.5× | 24 |
| 4h | +3.324% | 0.4R | -0.485% | 0.1R | 6.9× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +4.081% | 0.5R | -0.485% | 0.1R | 8.4× | 72 |
| 8h | +4.081% | 0.5R | -1.863% | 0.2R | 2.2× | 96 |
| 12h | +4.081% | 0.5R | -3.524% | 0.4R | 1.2× | 144 |
computed 1 week ago
Commentaires
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