Short Trade on JUP (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 2172.7 JUP at 0.174$ per unit. Take profit: 0.1702 (2.46 %) & Stop Loss: 0.1782 (2.12 %)
11 Aug 2026 at 14:10:08
hyperliquid
JUP
SHORT
momentum_rotation_v2
hyperliquid
11 Aug 2026 14:10
→ 20:05
· 5 hours
Position
Entry 0.1745$
Qty 2172.6968 JUP
Size 379.2008$ (margin 100$) (leverage 4)
Risk Setup
TP 0.1702 (+2.46%)
TP $ 9.34$
SL 0.1782 (-2.12%)
SL $ 8.04$
RR 1.16
Status
loss
PnL
-0.26%
/ -1$
MAE -1.97%
MFE +0.66%
0.3R
expires
11 Aug 20:10
Exit
time_expired
V2 Shadow Analysis
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Quality Rank (id: 66020)
#6 / 46
OUT
seuil : top 15
score du 11/08/2026 14:00
score du 11/08/2026 14:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.5684
Quality Score
0.586
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
89 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
2
OK
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
1.9M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
11/08 14:01
11/08 14:01
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank
#6 / 46
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
89 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+2
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+8
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
2.12 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#6 / 46
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
89 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+8
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
2.12 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
0/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | — |
| 4h | clear | — |
| 1d | clear | 1.75×ATR |
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
3/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
Regime
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bear_low_vol rules_regime : bear_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 2 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bear_medium_confirmed (+1) Tactical (1H) : bear_low_confirmed (+1) 11/08 14:00 Score : +2 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3) 10/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 11/08 12:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high_confirmed (+1) 11/08 13:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1H
Score brut
0.5864
Score SMA
0.5022
Rank
#6
/ 46
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.5684
Rank Norm SMA
0.3570
Calculé le
11/08/2026 14:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.3237 | r1h: -0.707% · r4h: -3.297% · r1d: -4.22% · r3d: -5.85% · ema21_slope: -0.1201% · dist_ema21: -2.889% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.3453 | rs_1h: -0.800% · rs_4h: -2.298% · rs_1d: -3.58% · rs_3d: -3.45% · beta_24h: 1.499 |
| Volume | 20% | 1.0000 | rvol_20: 5.26× · zscore_50: 5.244 · trend: 192.21% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6864 | ADX: 22.4 (weak) · Chop: 28.3 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.884% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -2.120%
(0.0037)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.665% | 0.3R | -0.132% | 0.1R | 5.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.665% | 0.3R | -1.198% | 0.6R | 0.6× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.665% | 0.3R | -1.966% | 0.9R | 0.3× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +0.665% | 0.3R | -1.966% | 0.9R | 0.3× | 72 |
| 8h | +0.665% | 0.3R | -1.966% | 0.9R | 0.3× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.665% | 0.3R | -1.966% | 0.9R | 0.3× | 144 |
computed 1 week ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.71
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
55%
|
noisy_chop 33% | late | — | — | 0.65 | bear_high | -3.51% | -0.33 | 10/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | grind | expansion | bear_high |
56%
|
noisy_chop 42% | late | — | — | 0.57 | bear_medium | -1.28% | -0.18 | 11/08 12:00 |
| 1h | ↔ neutral | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | expansion | bear_high_confirmed |
52%
|
noisy_chop 43% | late | — | — | 0.50 | bear_low_confirmed | -1.46% | -0.27 | 11/08 13:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | strong | explosive | volatile_reversal | bear_medium_confirmed |
51%
|
noisy_chop 45% | late | — | — | — | bear_low | -0.89% | -0.20 | 11/08 13:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | late | 40b | — | 8.234×ATR | p94 | -1.24×ATR | p68 |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | 13b | — | 4.29×ATR | p72 | -1.901×ATR | p94 |
| 1h | ↓ down | late | 14b | — | 5.484×ATR | p95 | -3.393×ATR | p100 |
| 15m | ↓ down | late | 9b | — | 3.218×ATR | p67 | -2.104×ATR | p86 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL
Indicators:
- stop_price: 0.17821206
- tp_price: 0.17016675
- atr: 0.00147282
- expires_at: 2026-08-12T00:10:08+00:00
Details
- rank: 42
- total: 47
- score: 0.3237
- delta_2h: -0.0522
- extension_atr: -2.94
- trend_phase:
- trend_direction:
- rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.5684
- confidence: 0.891
Signal Details
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.1745 | 0.1782 | 0.1702 | 1.16 | 0.2168 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.1745
- Stop Loss: 0.1782
- Take Profit: 0.1702
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.1782 - 0.1745 = 0.0037
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.1745 - 0.1702 = 0.0043
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0043 / 0.0037 = 1.1622
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 379.2008 | 100 | 2172.6968 | 4.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss 0.0037
Taille de position = 8 / 0.0037 = 2162.16
Taille de position USD = 2162.16 x 0.1745 = 377.3
Donc, tu peux acheter 2162.16 avec un stoploss a 0.1782
Avec un position size USD de 377.3$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 2162.16 x 0.0037 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 2162.16 x 0.0043 = 9.3
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 9.3$
Résumé
- Taille de position 2162.16
- Taille de position USD 377.3
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 9.3
- Risk-Reward Ratio 1.1622
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.46 % | 9.34 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.12 % | 8.04 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -1 $ | -0.26 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -1.9656 % | 92.7 % | 3 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.1745 | 0.1782 | 0.1702 | 1.16 | 0.2168 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.1745
- Stop Loss: 0.1782
- Take Profit: 0.1702
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.1782 - 0.1745 = 0.0037
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.1745 - 0.1702 = 0.0043
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0043 / 0.0037 = 1.1622
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -2.120%
(0.0037)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.665% | 0.3R | -0.132% | 0.1R | 5.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.665% | 0.3R | -1.198% | 0.6R | 0.6× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.665% | 0.3R | -1.966% | 0.9R | 0.3× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +0.665% | 0.3R | -1.966% | 0.9R | 0.3× | 72 |
| 8h | +0.665% | 0.3R | -1.966% | 0.9R | 0.3× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.665% | 0.3R | -1.966% | 0.9R | 0.3× | 144 |
computed 1 week ago
Commentaires
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