Long Trade on LIT (CatchTheWave)
With 459.11 LIT at 2.406$ per unit. Take profit: 2.4408 (1.45 %) & Stop Loss: 2.3885 (0.72 %)
Long Trade on LIT (CatchTheWave)
With 459.11 LIT at 2.406$ per unit. Take profit: 2.4408 (1.45 %) & Stop Loss: 2.3885 (0.72 %)
Position
Entry 2.4059$
Qty 459.1105 LIT
Size 1104.5739$ (margin 100$) (leverage 11)
Risk Setup
TP 2.4408 (+1.45%)
TP $ 16.02$
SL 2.3885 (-0.72%)
SL $ 7.99$
RR 2.01
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.9424
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | -0.07×ATR |
| 4h | near | -1.14×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 0.88×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 1d | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bear_low_vol rules_regime : bear_low rules_regime_5m : bear_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bear_medium_confirmed (-1) Tactical (1H) : bear_low_confirmed (-1) 11/08 14:00 Score : -2 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
5m : 0.368654 15m : 0.260039 |
1H_regime : bull_high 15m_regime : bear_high 5m_regime : bear_medium |
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+3) 10/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 11/08 12:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 11/08 14:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5877 | r1h: -0.307% · r4h: -1.308% · r1d: 1.24% · r3d: 6.61% · ema21_slope: 0.1389% · dist_ema21: 0.270% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5754 | rs_1h: -0.400% · rs_4h: -0.309% · rs_1d: 1.87% · rs_3d: 9.00% · beta_24h: 1.246 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.4760 | rvol_20: 1.01× · zscore_50: 0.461 · trend: 72.30% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7104 | ADX: 35.8 (trend) · Chop: 49.1 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.760% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.430% | 2.0R | -0.661% | 0.9R | 2.2× | 12 |
| 2h | +2.024% | 2.8R | -0.661% | 0.9R | 3.1× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +2.024% | 2.8R | -0.910% | 1.3R | 2.2× | 48 |
| 8h | +2.024% | 2.8R | -2.976% | 4.1R | 0.7× | 96 |
| 12h | +2.024% | 2.8R | -5.852% | 8.1R | 0.4× | 144 |
computed 1 week ago
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | fading | compression | bull_high |
67%
|
noisy_chop 38% | mid | — | — | — | bear_high | -4.82% | +0.71 | 10/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | early_expansion | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | expansion | bull_high |
64%
|
noisy_chop 34% | early | — | near -1.1ATR | 0.34 | bear_medium | -1.17% | +0.47 | 11/08 12:00 |
| 1h | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | expansion | bull_high |
60%
|
noisy_chop 38% | early | near 0.0ATR | near -0.1ATR | 0.35 | bear_low | -1.37% | +0.33 | 11/08 14:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | range | range | strong | explosive | expansion | range_high |
41%
|
noisy_chop 40% | early | — | — | — | bear_low | -0.94% | -0.08 | 11/08 14:15 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | mid | 8b | — | 2.522×ATR | p0 | +1.086×ATR | p61 |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | 15b | — | 2.196×ATR | p16 | +0.814×ATR | p49 |
| 1h | ↑ up | early | 3b | — | 1.042×ATR | p4 | -0.135×ATR | p7 |
| 15m | ↑ up | early | 10b | — | 1.938×ATR | p27 | -0.761×ATR | p45 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
63808.6
-0.00767323
63319
0.368654
63936.4
-0.00823355
63410
0.260039
64529.4
-0.0179825
63369
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3
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0.2591
0.92
0.1858
0.4105
0.4805
0.7391
0.5999
-2.4947
3.7398
1
0
0
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (2)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 14:40 | 2.40590000 | 0% |
| 2 | 14:52 | 2.39920000 | -0.278% |
Market Structure Score: 0
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-11 12:30:00 | 2.4685 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-11 13:45:00 | 2.4497 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-11 14:20:00 | 2.5311 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-11 15:00:00 | 2.4298 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-11 15:25:00 | 2.45 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-11 15:50:00 | 2.3795 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-11 16:55:00 | 2.4545 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-11 17:05:00 | 2.4178 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-11 18:00:00 | 2.4528 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-11 18:35:00 | 2.4014 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-11 00:00:00 | 2.4005 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-11 00:30:00 | 2.3569 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-11 04:15:00 | 2.4989 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-11 05:30:00 | 2.4989 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-11 08:15:00 | 2.4271 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-11 11:00:00 | 2.5126 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-11 14:15:00 | 2.5311 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-11 15:45:00 | 2.3795 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-11 16:45:00 | 2.4545 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-11 18:30:00 | 2.4168 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-09 04:00:00 | 2.2589 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 20:00:00 | 2.3859 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-10 00:00:00 | 2.3001 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-10 13:00:00 | 2.2619 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-10 18:00:00 | 2.4228 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-10 22:00:00 | 2.3513 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-11 04:00:00 | 2.4989 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-11 08:00:00 | 2.4271 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-11 14:00:00 | 2.5311 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-11 15:00:00 | 2.3795 | ↓ Low |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.4059 | 2.3885 | 2.4408 | 2.01 | 3.2698 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 2.3885 - 2.4059 = -0.0174
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 2.4059 - 2.4408 = -0.0349
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0349 / -0.0174 = 2.0057
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1104.5739 | 100 | 459.1105 | 11.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.0174 = -459.77
Taille de position USD = -459.77 x 2.4059 = -1106.16
Donc, tu peux acheter -459.77 avec un stoploss a 2.3885
Avec un position size USD de -1106.16$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -459.77 x -0.0174 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -459.77 x -0.0349 = 16.05
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16.05$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.45 % | 16.02 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.72 % | 7.99 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 16.02 $ | 1.45 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.6609 % | 91.39 % | 3 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.4059 | 2.3885 | 2.4408 | 2.01 | 3.2698 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 2.3885 - 2.4059 = -0.0174
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 2.4059 - 2.4408 = -0.0349
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0349 / -0.0174 = 2.0057
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.430% | 2.0R | -0.661% | 0.9R | 2.2× | 12 |
| 2h | +2.024% | 2.8R | -0.661% | 0.9R | 3.1× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +2.024% | 2.8R | -0.910% | 1.3R | 2.2× | 48 |
| 8h | +2.024% | 2.8R | -2.976% | 4.1R | 0.7× | 96 |
| 12h | +2.024% | 2.8R | -5.852% | 8.1R | 0.4× | 144 |
computed 1 week ago
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