Short Trade on ACE (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 1229.04 ACE at 0.106$ per unit. Take profit: 0.103 (2.46 %) & Stop Loss: 0.1121 (6.16 %)
Short Trade on ACE (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 1229.04 ACE at 0.106$ per unit. Take profit: 0.103 (2.46 %) & Stop Loss: 0.1121 (6.16 %)
Position
Entry 0.1056$
Qty 1229.0353 ACE
Size 129.7861$ (margin 100$) (leverage 1)
Risk Setup
TP 0.103 (+2.46%)
TP $ 3.2$
SL 0.1121 (-6.16%)
SL $ 7.99$
RR 0.4
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.0300
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | -1.83×ATR |
| 4h | near | -2.86×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 0.82×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↓ down | early | OK |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bear_low_vol rules_regime : bear_low rules_regime_5m : bear_low Score : 3 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bear_medium_confirmed (+1) Tactical (1H) : bear_low_confirmed (+1) 11/08 15:00 Score : +2 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-3) 10/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (-2) 11/08 12:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 11/08 14:00 Score : -4 / ±6 |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.2017 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -0.376% · r1d: -8.93% · r3d: -26.52% · ema21_slope: -0.4924% · dist_ema21: -3.479% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.3021 | rs_1h: 0.470% · rs_4h: 0.356% · rs_1d: -8.00% · rs_3d: -23.85% · beta_24h: -0.604 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.0940 | rvol_20: 0.32× · zscore_50: -1.589 · trend: -68.57% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5277 | ADX: 22.1 (weak) · Chop: 57.6 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 2.685% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -1.136% | 0.2R | 0.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.095% | 0.0R | -1.136% | 0.2R | 0.1× | 24 |
| 4h | +1.705% | 0.3R | -1.136% | 0.2R | 1.5× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +1.894% | 0.3R | -1.136% | 0.2R | 1.7× | 72 |
| 8h | +2.367% | 0.4R | -1.894% | 0.3R | 1.3× | 96 |
| 12h | +9.470% | 1.5R | -5.587% | 0.9R | 1.7× | 144 |
computed 1 week ago
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | fading | volatile_reversal | bull_high |
57%
|
noisy_chop 38% | early | — | near 0.3ATR | 0.31 | bear_high | -4.82% | +0.97 | 10/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | range | range | strong | balanced | compression | bull_high |
58%
|
noisy_chop 42% | late | near -2.9ATR | — | 0.04 | bear_medium | -1.17% | -0.13 | 11/08 12:00 |
| 1h | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
51%
|
noisy_chop 46% | late | near -1.8ATR | — | -0.05 | bear_low_confirmed | -1.81% | -0.83 | 11/08 14:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | balanced | compression | bear_high |
62%
|
noisy_chop 41% | early | near -0.1ATR | — | — | bear_low | -1.19% | +0.27 | 11/08 14:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | early | 3b | — | 2.7×ATR | p8 | +0.572×ATR | p35 |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | 18b | — | 5.74×ATR | p85 | -1.2×ATR | p66 |
| 1h | ↓ down | late | 18b | — | 7.618×ATR | p97 | -1.525×ATR | p77 |
| 15m | ↓ down | early | 7b | — | 1.958×ATR | p23 | -0.075×ATR | p3 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Market Structure Score: 0
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.1056 | 0.1121 | 0.103 | 0.4 | 0.2327 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.1121 - 0.1056 = 0.0065
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.1056 - 0.103 = 0.0026
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0026 / 0.0065 = 0.4
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 129.7861 | 100 | 1229.0353 | 1.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 0.0065 = 1230.77
Taille de position USD = 1230.77 x 0.1056 = 129.97
Donc, tu peux acheter 1230.77 avec un stoploss a 0.1121
Avec un position size USD de 129.97$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 1230.77 x 0.0065 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 1230.77 x 0.0026 = 3.2
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 3.2$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.46 % | 3.2 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 6.16 % | 7.99 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 1.11 $ | 0.85 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -1.1364 % | 18.46 % | 14 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.1056 | 0.1121 | 0.103 | 0.4 | 0.2327 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.1121 - 0.1056 = 0.0065
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.1056 - 0.103 = 0.0026
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0026 / 0.0065 = 0.4
Array
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -1.136% | 0.2R | 0.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.095% | 0.0R | -1.136% | 0.2R | 0.1× | 24 |
| 4h | +1.705% | 0.3R | -1.136% | 0.2R | 1.5× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +1.894% | 0.3R | -1.136% | 0.2R | 1.7× | 72 |
| 8h | +2.367% | 0.4R | -1.894% | 0.3R | 1.3× | 96 |
| 12h | +9.470% | 1.5R | -5.587% | 0.9R | 1.7× | 144 |
computed 1 week ago
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