Short Trade on kBONK (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 121377.64 kBONK at 0.0023$ per unit. Take profit: 0.002239 (2.48 %) & Stop Loss: 0.002362 (2.87 %)
11 Aug 2026 at 15:10:04
hyperliquid
kBONK
SHORT
momentum_rotation_v2
hyperliquid
11 Aug 2026 15:10
→ 21:00
· 5 hours
Position
Entry 0.002296$
Qty 121377.6362 kBONK
Size 278.6831$ (margin 100$) (leverage 3)
Risk Setup
TP 0.002239 (+2.48%)
TP $ 6.92$
SL 0.002362 (-2.87%)
SL $ 8.01$
RR 0.86
Status
loss
PnL
-1.00%
/ -2.79$
MAE -1.48%
MFE +0.22%
0.1R
expires
11 Aug 21:10
Exit
time_expired
V2 Shadow Analysis
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Quality Rank (id: 66065)
#43 / 46
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 11/08/2026 15:00
score du 11/08/2026 15:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.1217
Quality Score
0.482
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
98 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
3
OK
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
1.3M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
11/08 15:01
11/08 15:01
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank
#43 / 46
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
98 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+2
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+8
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
2.87 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#43 / 46
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
98 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+8
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
2.87 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
0/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | — |
| 4h | clear | — |
| 1d | clear | — |
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
2/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | late | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
Regime
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bear_low_vol rules_regime : bear_low rules_regime_5m : bear_low Score : 3 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bear_medium_confirmed (+1) Tactical (1H) : bear_low_confirmed (+1) 11/08 15:00 Score : +2 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3) 10/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 11/08 12:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 11/08 14:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1H
Score brut
0.4820
Score SMA
0.4756
Rank
#43
/ 46
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.1217
Rank Norm SMA
0.1848
Calculé le
11/08/2026 15:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.3333 | r1h: 0.569% · r4h: 0.218% · r1d: -6.32% · r3d: -8.30% · ema21_slope: -0.2672% · dist_ema21: -2.337% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4488 | rs_1h: 1.040% · rs_4h: 0.949% · rs_1d: -5.39% · rs_3d: -5.63% · beta_24h: 0.530 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1944 | rvol_20: 0.38× · zscore_50: -0.671 · trend: -20.67% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.8731 | ADX: 45.1 (trend) · Chop: 38.5 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.194% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -2.875%
(0.0001)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.218% | 0.1R | -1.089% | 0.4R | 0.2× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.218% | 0.1R | -1.089% | 0.4R | 0.2× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.218% | 0.1R | -1.350% | 0.5R | 0.2× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +0.218% | 0.1R | -1.481% | 0.5R | 0.2× | 72 |
| 8h | +0.218% | 0.1R | -1.612% | 0.6R | 0.1× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.610% | 0.2R | -2.352% | 0.8R | 0.3× | 144 |
computed 1 week ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.25
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
52%
|
noisy_chop 42% | late | — | — | 0.67 | bear_high | -4.82% | -0.98 | 10/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
58%
|
noisy_chop 43% | late | — | — | 0.47 | bear_medium | -1.17% | -0.61 | 11/08 12:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | fading | expansion_after_compression | bear_high |
57%
|
noisy_chop 44% | late | — | — | 0.26 | bear_low_confirmed | -1.81% | -0.42 | 11/08 14:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | range | bearish_transition | moderate | explosive | normal | bear_medium |
61%
|
noisy_chop 48% | mid | — | near -0.1ATR | — | bear_low | -1.19% | -0.08 | 11/08 14:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | late | 38b | — | 14.159×ATR | p100 | -3.25×ATR | p98 |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | 20b | — | 4.893×ATR | p75 | -2.743×ATR | p92 |
| 1h | ↑ up | late | 17b | — | 0×ATR | p0 | -1.841×ATR | p84 |
| 15m | ↑ up | mid | 3b | — | 1.752×ATR | p3 | -1.334×ATR | p67 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL
Indicators:
- stop_price: 0.00236191
- tp_price: 0.0022386
- atr: 2.637E-5
- expires_at: 2026-08-12T01:10:04+00:00
Details
- rank: 45
- total: 46
- score: 0.3333
- delta_2h: -0.0017
- extension_atr: -1.85
- trend_phase:
- trend_direction:
- rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.1217
- confidence: 0.978
Signal Details
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.002296 | 0.002362 | 0.002239 | 0.86 | 0.003184 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.002296
- Stop Loss: 0.002362
- Take Profit: 0.002239
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.002362 - 0.002296 = 6.6E-5
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.002296 - 0.002239 = 5.7E-5
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 5.7E-5 / 6.6E-5 = 0.8636
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 278.6831 | 100 | 121377.6362 | 3.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss 6.6E-5
Taille de position = 8 / 6.6E-5 = 121212.12
Taille de position USD = 121212.12 x 0.002296 = 278.3
Donc, tu peux acheter 121212.12 avec un stoploss a 0.002362
Avec un position size USD de 278.3$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 121212.12 x 6.6E-5 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 121212.12 x 5.7E-5 = 6.91
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 6.91$
Résumé
- Taille de position 121212.12
- Taille de position USD 278.3
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 6.91
- Risk-Reward Ratio 0.8636
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.48 % | 6.92 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.87 % | 8.01 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -2.79 $ | -1.00 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -1.4808 % | 51.51 % | 9 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.002296 | 0.002362 | 0.002239 | 0.86 | 0.003184 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.002296
- Stop Loss: 0.002362
- Take Profit: 0.002239
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.002362 - 0.002296 = 6.6E-5
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.002296 - 0.002239 = 5.7E-5
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 5.7E-5 / 6.6E-5 = 0.8636
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -2.875%
(0.0001)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.218% | 0.1R | -1.089% | 0.4R | 0.2× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.218% | 0.1R | -1.089% | 0.4R | 0.2× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.218% | 0.1R | -1.350% | 0.5R | 0.2× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +0.218% | 0.1R | -1.481% | 0.5R | 0.2× | 72 |
| 8h | +0.218% | 0.1R | -1.612% | 0.6R | 0.1× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.610% | 0.2R | -2.352% | 0.8R | 0.3× | 144 |
computed 1 week ago
Commentaires
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