Short Trade on KAITO (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 255.26 KAITO at 0.629$ per unit. Take profit: 0.6136 (2.49 %) & Stop Loss: 0.6607 (4.99 %)
11 Aug 2026 at 16:10:04
hyperliquid
KAITO
SHORT
momentum_rotation_v2
hyperliquid
11 Aug 2026 16:10
→ 17:50
· 1 hour
Position
Entry 0.6293$
Qty 255.2586 KAITO
Size 160.6393$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)
Risk Setup
TP 0.6136 (+2.49%)
TP $ 4.01$
SL 0.6607 (-4.99%)
SL $ 8.02$
RR 0.5
Status
win
PnL
+2.49%
/ +4.01$
MAE -0.25%
MFE +3.48%
0.7R
expires
11 Aug 22:10
V2 Shadow Analysis
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Quality Rank (id: 66123)
#45 / 46
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 11/08/2026 16:00
score du 11/08/2026 16:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.0607
Quality Score
0.338
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
100 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
2
OK
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
13.7M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
11/08 16:02
11/08 16:02
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank
#45 / 46
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+2
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+8
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
4.99 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#45 / 46
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+8
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
4.99 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
2/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | — |
| 4h | near | 0.44×ATR |
| 1d | near | -0.55×ATR |
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
Regime
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bear_low_vol rules_regime : bear_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 2 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bear_medium_confirmed (+1) Tactical (1H) : bear_low_confirmed (+1) 11/08 16:00 Score : +2 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high_confirmed (+3) 10/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 11/08 12:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 11/08 15:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1H
Score brut
0.3380
Score SMA
0.4026
Rank
#45
/ 46
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.0607
Rank Norm SMA
0.0390
Calculé le
11/08/2026 16:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.1924 | r1h: -1.491% · r4h: -2.917% · r1d: -3.96% · r3d: -14.82% · ema21_slope: -0.1144% · dist_ema21: -2.535% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.2359 | rs_1h: -1.627% · rs_4h: -2.675% · rs_1d: -3.02% · rs_3d: -12.34% · beta_24h: -0.157 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2601 | rvol_20: 0.89× · zscore_50: -0.532 · trend: -24.82% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.4616 | ADX: 19.0 (weak) · Chop: 62.6 (range) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.926% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -4.990%
(0.0314)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.015% | 0.2R | -0.251% | 0.1R | 4.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +2.496% | 0.5R | -0.251% | 0.1R | 9.9× | 24 |
| 4h | +3.477% | 0.7R | -0.251% | 0.1R | 13.9× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +3.477% | 0.7R | -0.251% | 0.1R | 13.9× | 72 |
| 8h | +3.477% | 0.7R | -0.251% | 0.1R | 13.9× | 96 |
| 12h | +4.923% | 1.0R | -0.251% | 0.1R | 19.6× | 144 |
computed 1 week ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 6.28
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | fading | expansion | bear_high_confirmed |
51%
|
noisy_chop 42% | mid | near -0.6ATR | — | 0.38 | bear_high | -4.82% | -1.00 | 10/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | fading | compression | bear_high |
51%
|
noisy_chop 38% | late | near 0.4ATR | — | 0.00 | bear_medium | -1.54% | -0.65 | 11/08 12:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | range | range | strong | fading | compression | bear_high |
56%
|
noisy_chop 36% | mid | — | — | -0.10 | bear_low_confirmed | -1.55% | -0.22 | 11/08 15:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | balanced | compression | bear_medium |
58%
|
noisy_chop 45% | late | — | — | -0.03 | bear_low | -0.88% | -0.09 | 11/08 15:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | 13b | — | 6.172×ATR | p78 | -1.766×ATR | p80 |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | 60b | — | 19.463×ATR | p100 | -2.29×ATR | p86 |
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | 13b | — | 2.672×ATR | p52 | -1.294×ATR | p69 |
| 15m | ↓ down | late | 14b | — | 5.195×ATR | p92 | -2.198×ATR | p98 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL
Indicators:
- stop_price: 0.66066077
- tp_price: 0.613587
- atr: 0.01253631
- expires_at: 2026-08-12T02:10:04+00:00
Details
- rank: 46
- total: 46
- score: 0.1924
- delta_2h: -0.0602
- extension_atr: -1.12
- trend_phase:
- trend_direction:
- rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.0607
- confidence: 1
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (2)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 16:10 | 0.62932000 | +0.003% |
| 2 | 17:10 | 0.62500000 | -0.683% |
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.6293 | 0.6607 | 0.6136 | 0.5 | 0.3391 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.6293
- Stop Loss: 0.6607
- Take Profit: 0.6136
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.6607 - 0.6293 = 0.0314
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.6293 - 0.6136 = 0.0157
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0157 / 0.0314 = 0.5
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 160.6393 | 100 | 255.2586 | 2.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss 0.0314
Taille de position = 8 / 0.0314 = 254.78
Taille de position USD = 254.78 x 0.6293 = 160.33
Donc, tu peux acheter 254.78 avec un stoploss a 0.6607
Avec un position size USD de 160.33$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 254.78 x 0.0314 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 254.78 x 0.0157 = 4
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 4$
Résumé
- Taille de position 254.78
- Taille de position USD 160.33
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 4
- Risk-Reward Ratio 0.5
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.49 % | 4.01 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 4.99 % | 8.02 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 4.01 $ | 2.49 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.2511 % | 5.03 % | 3 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.6293 | 0.6607 | 0.6136 | 0.5 | 0.3391 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.6293
- Stop Loss: 0.6607
- Take Profit: 0.6136
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.6607 - 0.6293 = 0.0314
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.6293 - 0.6136 = 0.0157
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0157 / 0.0314 = 0.5
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -4.990%
(0.0314)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.015% | 0.2R | -0.251% | 0.1R | 4.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +2.496% | 0.5R | -0.251% | 0.1R | 9.9× | 24 |
| 4h | +3.477% | 0.7R | -0.251% | 0.1R | 13.9× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +3.477% | 0.7R | -0.251% | 0.1R | 13.9× | 72 |
| 8h | +3.477% | 0.7R | -0.251% | 0.1R | 13.9× | 96 |
| 12h | +4.923% | 1.0R | -0.251% | 0.1R | 19.6× | 144 |
computed 1 week ago
Commentaires
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