Short Trade on ONDO (BosPullback)
With 1489.4 ONDO at 0.336$ per unit. Take profit: 0.3223 (3.99 %) & Stop Loss: 0.3411 (1.61 %)
Short Trade on ONDO (BosPullback)
With 1489.4 ONDO at 0.336$ per unit. Take profit: 0.3223 (3.99 %) & Stop Loss: 0.3411 (1.61 %)
Position
Entry 0.3357$
Qty 1489.4029 ONDO
Size 500.0223$ (margin 100$) (leverage 5)
Risk Setup
TP 0.3223 (+3.99%)
TP $ 19.96$
SL 0.3411 (-1.61%)
SL $ 8.04$
RR 2.48
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.1136
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | — |
| 4h | clear | 3.77×ATR |
| 1d | near | 0.22×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bear_low_vol rules_regime : bear_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 2 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bear_medium_confirmed (+1) Tactical (1H) : bear_low_confirmed (+1) 11/08 16:00 Score : +2 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
1H_regime : bear_high 15m_regime : range_medium |
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3) 10/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 11/08 16:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 11/08 16:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.4351 | r1h: 0.461% · r4h: 0.684% · r1d: -2.64% · r3d: -5.47% · ema21_slope: -0.1118% · dist_ema21: -0.703% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4867 | rs_1h: 0.325% · rs_4h: 0.927% · rs_1d: -1.70% · rs_3d: -2.99% · beta_24h: 0.823 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1635 | rvol_20: 0.41× · zscore_50: -0.753 · trend: -39.71% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7239 | ADX: 41.8 (trend) · Chop: 53.6 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.868% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.277% | 0.2R | -0.057% | 0.0R | 4.9× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.277% | 0.2R | -0.343% | 0.2R | 0.8× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.322% | 0.2R | -0.402% | 0.3R | 0.8× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.536% | 0.3R | -0.807% | 0.5R | 0.7× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.102% | 0.7R | -0.807% | 0.5R | 1.4× | 144 |
| 24h | +1.969% | 1.2R | -1.367% | 0.9R | 1.4× | 288 |
computed 1 week ago
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | fading | compression | bear_high |
50%
|
noisy_chop 42% | late | near 0.2ATR | — | 0.63 | bear_high | -4.82% | -0.94 | 10/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | fading | compression | bear_high |
59%
|
noisy_chop 48% | mid | — | — | 0.55 | bear_medium | -0.90% | -0.33 | 11/08 16:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
63%
|
noisy_chop 40% | early | — | near -0.2ATR | 0.52 | bear_low | -1.20% | +0.04 | 11/08 16:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | balanced | compression | range_medium |
41%
|
noisy_chop 43% | early | — | — | 0.55 | range_low | -0.50% | +0.09 | 11/08 16:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | late | 12b | — | 4.628×ATR | p72 | -1.648×ATR | p81 |
| 4h | ↓ down | mid | 19b | — | 3.565×ATR | p54 | -1.233×ATR | p72 |
| 1h | ↑ up | early | 5b | — | 2.179×ATR | p34 | -0.206×ATR | p6 |
| 15m | ↑ up | early | 11b | — | 2.902×ATR | p48 | +0.854×ATR | p49 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
0.3309
144
0.2566
0.5802
0.3047
0.2228
0.3717
1
0.3353
0.3771
0.3107
0.2189
0.6149
0.1487
-0.1362
-0.1224
0
-0.617
-2.3011
0.45
0.55
-1
5
1
0.5545
0.5383
3.1982
0.6
2.3239
3.6314
-2.3011
0.1764
0.2534
0.26
-0.2057
0.4305
0.468
0.8678
0.1487
-9.7318
1.6995
1
1
0
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[label] => LH
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[price] => 0.33934
[kind] => high
[label] => LH
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0.3309
0.3408
0.3408
0.3309
0.3324
0.3309
0.33165
0.4289
0.341
0.33654
0.33877
0.7784
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (2)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 16:38 | 0.33572000 | +0.006% |
| 2 | 16:44 | 0.33572000 | +0.006% |
Market Structure Score: 0
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.3357 | 0.3411 | 0.3223 | 2.48 | 0.3728 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.3411 - 0.3357 = 0.0054
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.3357 - 0.3223 = 0.0134
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0134 / 0.0054 = 2.4815
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 500.0223 | 100 | 1489.4029 | 5.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 0.0054 = 1481.48
Taille de position USD = 1481.48 x 0.3357 = 497.33
Donc, tu peux acheter 1481.48 avec un stoploss a 0.3411
Avec un position size USD de 497.33$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 1481.48 x 0.0054 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 1481.48 x 0.0134 = 19.85
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 19.85$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 3.99 % | 19.96 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.61 % | 8.04 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 19.96 $ | 3.99 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -1.3673 % | 85 % | 63 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.3357 | 0.3411 | 0.3223 | 2.48 | 0.3728 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.3411 - 0.3357 = 0.0054
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.3357 - 0.3223 = 0.0134
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0134 / 0.0054 = 2.4815
Array
(
)
Array
(
)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.277% | 0.2R | -0.057% | 0.0R | 4.9× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.277% | 0.2R | -0.343% | 0.2R | 0.8× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.322% | 0.2R | -0.402% | 0.3R | 0.8× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.536% | 0.3R | -0.807% | 0.5R | 0.7× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.102% | 0.7R | -0.807% | 0.5R | 1.4× | 144 |
| 24h | +1.969% | 1.2R | -1.367% | 0.9R | 1.4× | 288 |
computed 1 week ago
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