Long Trade on LIT (CatchTheWave)
With 421.2 LIT at 2.39$ per unit. Take profit: 2.4276 (1.59 %) & Stop Loss: 2.3706 (0.8 %)
Long Trade on LIT (CatchTheWave)
With 421.2 LIT at 2.39$ per unit. Take profit: 2.4276 (1.59 %) & Stop Loss: 2.3706 (0.8 %)
Position
Entry 2.3896$
Qty 421.1998 LIT
Size 1006.4991$ (margin 100$) (leverage 10)
Risk Setup
TP 2.4276 (+1.59%)
TP $ 16.01$
SL 2.3706 (-0.8%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.9473
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | -0.48×ATR |
| 4h | near | -1.41×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 0.88×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 1d | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bear_low_vol rules_regime : bear_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bear_medium_confirmed (-1) Tactical (1H) : bear_low_confirmed (-1) 11/08 16:00 Score : -2 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
5m : 0.270902 15m : 0.271317 |
1H_regime : bull_high 15m_regime : bear_high 5m_regime : bear_medium |
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+3) 10/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 11/08 16:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 11/08 16:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.6552 | r1h: 1.680% · r4h: 0.994% · r1d: 1.62% · r3d: 6.64% · ema21_slope: 0.0961% · dist_ema21: 0.451% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.6980 | rs_1h: 1.544% · rs_4h: 1.236% · rs_1d: 2.55% · rs_3d: 9.12% · beta_24h: 1.501 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.5281 | rvol_20: 1.25× · zscore_50: 0.980 · trend: 56.95% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6742 | ADX: 32.0 (trend) · Chop: 49.7 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.837% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +2.109% | 2.7R | -0.188% | 0.2R | 11.2× | 12 |
| 2h | +2.235% | 2.8R | -0.188% | 0.2R | 11.9× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +2.235% | 2.8R | -0.188% | 0.2R | 11.9× | 48 |
| 8h | +2.235% | 2.8R | -3.616% | 4.6R | 0.6× | 96 |
| 12h | +2.235% | 2.8R | -5.210% | 6.6R | 0.4× | 144 |
computed 1 week ago
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | fading | compression | bull_high |
67%
|
noisy_chop 38% | mid | — | — | — | bear_high | -4.82% | +0.71 | 10/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | normal | bull_high |
66%
|
noisy_chop 34% | early | — | near -1.4ATR | 0.34 | bear_medium | -0.90% | +0.74 | 11/08 16:00 |
| 1h | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | expansion | bull_high |
61%
|
noisy_chop 38% | early | near 0.4ATR | near -0.5ATR | 0.35 | bear_low | -1.20% | +0.31 | 11/08 16:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
61%
|
noisy_chop 45% | mid | near -1.0ATR | near 0.5ATR | 0.30 | range_low | -0.42% | -0.06 | 11/08 16:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | mid | 8b | — | 2.522×ATR | p0 | +1.086×ATR | p61 |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | 16b | — | 2.518×ATR | p31 | +0.936×ATR | p55 |
| 1h | ↑ up | early | 5b | — | 1.419×ATR | p3 | +0.261×ATR | p13 |
| 15m | ↓ down | mid | 4b | — | 2.31×ATR | p18 | -1.345×ATR | p70 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
63681.6
0.00030423
63701
0.270902
63876.3
-0.00329234
63666
0.271317
64472.8
-0.0128865
63642
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2.3795
194
0.4984
0.5391
0.3195
0.2192
0.4017
1
0.0997
0.5445
0.4015
0.988
0.5724
0.5154
-0.0109
0.0268
0.6667
-0.5525
0.12
0.6
0.4
-1
5
1
0.5617
0.4948
3.0979
0.55
1.5567
3.564
0.12
0.0731
0.2397
0.98
0.3267
0.4897
0.4637
0.5282
0.5154
-2.5953
2.7606
1
0
0
Signal Details
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-11 14:20:00 | 2.5311 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-11 15:00:00 | 2.4298 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-11 15:25:00 | 2.45 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-11 15:50:00 | 2.3795 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-11 16:55:00 | 2.4545 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-11 17:05:00 | 2.4178 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-11 18:00:00 | 2.4528 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-11 19:05:00 | 2.39 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-11 19:55:00 | 2.4546 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-11 20:55:00 | 2.3852 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-11 04:15:00 | 2.4989 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-11 05:30:00 | 2.4989 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-11 08:15:00 | 2.4271 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-11 11:00:00 | 2.5126 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-11 14:15:00 | 2.5311 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-11 15:45:00 | 2.3795 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-11 16:45:00 | 2.4545 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-11 19:00:00 | 2.39 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-11 19:45:00 | 2.4546 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-11 20:45:00 | 2.3985 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-09 04:00:00 | 2.2589 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 20:00:00 | 2.3859 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-10 00:00:00 | 2.3001 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-10 13:00:00 | 2.2619 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-10 18:00:00 | 2.4228 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-10 22:00:00 | 2.3513 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-11 04:00:00 | 2.4989 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-11 08:00:00 | 2.4271 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-11 14:00:00 | 2.5311 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-11 15:00:00 | 2.3795 | ↓ Low |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.3896 | 2.3706 | 2.4276 | 2 | 3.5561 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 2.3706 - 2.3896 = -0.019
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 2.3896 - 2.4276 = -0.038
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.038 / -0.019 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1006.4991 | 100 | 421.1998 | 10.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.019 = -421.05
Taille de position USD = -421.05 x 2.3896 = -1006.14
Donc, tu peux acheter -421.05 avec un stoploss a 2.3706
Avec un position size USD de -1006.14$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -421.05 x -0.019 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -421.05 x -0.038 = 16
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.59 % | 16.01 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.8 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 16.01 $ | 1.59 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.1883 % | 23.68 % | 1 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.3896 | 2.3706 | 2.4276 | 2 | 3.5561 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 2.3706 - 2.3896 = -0.019
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 2.3896 - 2.4276 = -0.038
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.038 / -0.019 = 2
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +2.109% | 2.7R | -0.188% | 0.2R | 11.2× | 12 |
| 2h | +2.235% | 2.8R | -0.188% | 0.2R | 11.9× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +2.235% | 2.8R | -0.188% | 0.2R | 11.9× | 48 |
| 8h | +2.235% | 2.8R | -3.616% | 4.6R | 0.6× | 96 |
| 12h | +2.235% | 2.8R | -5.210% | 6.6R | 0.4× | 144 |
computed 1 week ago
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