Long Trade on LIT (CatchTheWave)
With 437.39 LIT at 2.404$ per unit. Take profit: 2.441 (1.52 %) & Stop Loss: 2.3861 (0.76 %)
Long Trade on LIT (CatchTheWave)
With 437.39 LIT at 2.404$ per unit. Take profit: 2.441 (1.52 %) & Stop Loss: 2.3861 (0.76 %)
Position
Entry 2.4044$
Qty 437.3934 LIT
Size 1051.6687$ (margin 100$) (leverage 11)
Risk Setup
TP 2.441 (+1.52%)
TP $ 16.01$
SL 2.3861 (-0.76%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.9473
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | -0.62×ATR |
| 4h | near | -1.41×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 0.88×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 1d | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bear_low_vol rules_regime : bear_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bear_medium_confirmed (-1) Tactical (1H) : bear_low_confirmed (-1) 11/08 16:00 Score : -2 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
5m : 0.285887 15m : 0.277047 |
1H_regime : bull_high 15m_regime : bear_high 5m_regime : bear_medium |
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+3) 10/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 11/08 16:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 11/08 16:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.6552 | r1h: 1.680% · r4h: 0.994% · r1d: 1.62% · r3d: 6.64% · ema21_slope: 0.0961% · dist_ema21: 0.451% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.6980 | rs_1h: 1.544% · rs_4h: 1.236% · rs_1d: 2.55% · rs_3d: 9.12% · beta_24h: 1.501 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.5281 | rvol_20: 1.25× · zscore_50: 0.980 · trend: 56.95% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6742 | ADX: 32.0 (trend) · Chop: 49.7 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.837% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.256% | 1.7R | -0.848% | 1.1R | 1.5× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.605% | 2.1R | -0.848% | 1.1R | 1.9× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +1.605% | 2.1R | -0.848% | 1.1R | 1.9× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.605% | 2.1R | -4.209% | 5.5R | 0.4× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.605% | 2.1R | -5.794% | 7.6R | 0.3× | 144 |
computed 1 week ago
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | fading | compression | bull_high |
67%
|
noisy_chop 38% | mid | — | — | — | bear_high | -4.82% | +0.71 | 10/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | normal | bull_high |
66%
|
noisy_chop 34% | early | — | near -1.4ATR | 0.34 | bear_medium | -0.90% | +0.74 | 11/08 16:00 |
| 1h | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | expansion | bull_high |
61%
|
noisy_chop 38% | early | — | near -0.6ATR | 0.35 | bear_low | -1.20% | +0.33 | 11/08 16:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | range_high |
39%
|
noisy_chop 43% | early | — | near -1.1ATR | — | range_low | -0.50% | -0.05 | 11/08 16:15 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | mid | 8b | — | 2.522×ATR | p0 | +1.086×ATR | p61 |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | 16b | — | 2.518×ATR | p31 | +0.936×ATR | p55 |
| 1h | ↑ up | early | 5b | — | 1.555×ATR | p9 | +0.382×ATR | p19 |
| 15m | ↑ up | early | 5b | — | 2.253×ATR | p14 | +0.171×ATR | p11 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
63685.3
-0.000680627
63642
0.285887
63875.8
-0.00366065
63642
0.277047
64472.8
-0.0128865
63642
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-09 04:00:00
[1] => 2.2589
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-09 20:00:00
[1] => 2.3859
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-10 00:00:00
[1] => 2.3001
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-10 13:00:00
[1] => 2.2619
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-10 18:00:00
[1] => 2.4228
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-10 22:00:00
[1] => 2.3513
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-11 04:00:00
[1] => 2.4989
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-11 08:00:00
[1] => 2.4271
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-11 14:00:00
[1] => 2.5311
[2] => H
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-11 15:00:00
[1] => 2.3795
[2] => L
)
)
[detected_trend] => range
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -3.5360120105883
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 2.6097919731036
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 6
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 5
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 6.3710863626812
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-11 04:15:00
[1] => 2.4989
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-11 05:30:00
[1] => 2.4989
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-11 08:15:00
[1] => 2.4271
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-11 11:00:00
[1] => 2.5126
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-11 14:15:00
[1] => 2.5311
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-11 15:45:00
[1] => 2.3795
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-11 16:45:00
[1] => 2.4545
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-11 19:00:00
[1] => 2.39
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-11 19:45:00
[1] => 2.4546
[2] => H
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-11 20:45:00
[1] => 2.4026
[2] => L
)
)
[detected_trend] => uptrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -2.0451397376355
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.074918837925572
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 4
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 0
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 2.1643219845168
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-11 14:20:00
[1] => 2.5311
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-11 15:00:00
[1] => 2.4298
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-11 15:25:00
[1] => 2.45
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-11 15:50:00
[1] => 2.3795
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-11 16:55:00
[1] => 2.4545
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-11 17:05:00
[1] => 2.4178
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-11 18:00:00
[1] => 2.4528
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-11 19:05:00
[1] => 2.39
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-11 19:55:00
[1] => 2.4546
[2] => H
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-11 20:45:00
[1] => 2.4026
[2] => L
)
)
[detected_trend] => uptrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -2.0451397376355
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.074918837925572
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 10
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 0
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 2.1643219845168
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 1
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
2.3795
194
0.5842
0.5391
0.3139
0.2066
0.4017
1
0.1832
0.5537
0.4015
0.8759
0.5658
0.6712
0.0055
0.0368
1
0.2229
1.0156
0.6
0.4
-1
5
1
0.5869
0.4948
3.0979
0.55
1.5567
3.564
1.0156
0.0731
0.2605
0.9
0.2038
0.4488
0.4845
0.5634
0.6712
-1.9407
3.9617
1
0
0
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (2)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 16:46 | 2.40440000 | 0% |
| 2 | 16:52 | 2.39990000 | -0.187% |
Market Structure Score: 2
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-11 14:20:00 | 2.5311 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-11 15:00:00 | 2.4298 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-11 15:25:00 | 2.45 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-11 15:50:00 | 2.3795 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-11 16:55:00 | 2.4545 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-11 17:05:00 | 2.4178 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-11 18:00:00 | 2.4528 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-11 19:05:00 | 2.39 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-11 19:55:00 | 2.4546 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-11 20:45:00 | 2.4026 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-11 04:15:00 | 2.4989 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-11 05:30:00 | 2.4989 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-11 08:15:00 | 2.4271 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-11 11:00:00 | 2.5126 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-11 14:15:00 | 2.5311 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-11 15:45:00 | 2.3795 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-11 16:45:00 | 2.4545 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-11 19:00:00 | 2.39 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-11 19:45:00 | 2.4546 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-11 20:45:00 | 2.4026 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-09 04:00:00 | 2.2589 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 20:00:00 | 2.3859 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-10 00:00:00 | 2.3001 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-10 13:00:00 | 2.2619 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-10 18:00:00 | 2.4228 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-10 22:00:00 | 2.3513 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-11 04:00:00 | 2.4989 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-11 08:00:00 | 2.4271 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-11 14:00:00 | 2.5311 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-11 15:00:00 | 2.3795 | ↓ Low |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.4044 | 2.3861 | 2.441 | 2 | 3.6425 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 2.3861 - 2.4044 = -0.0183
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 2.4044 - 2.441 = -0.0366
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0366 / -0.0183 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1051.6687 | 100 | 437.3934 | 11.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.0183 = -437.16
Taille de position USD = -437.16 x 2.4044 = -1051.11
Donc, tu peux acheter -437.16 avec un stoploss a 2.3861
Avec un position size USD de -1051.11$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -437.16 x -0.0183 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -437.16 x -0.0366 = 16
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.52 % | 16.01 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.76 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -0.76 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.7985 % | 104.91 % | 0 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.4044 | 2.3861 | 2.441 | 2 | 3.6425 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 2.3861 - 2.4044 = -0.0183
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 2.4044 - 2.441 = -0.0366
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0366 / -0.0183 = 2
Array
(
)
Array
(
[1.1] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 2.441
[entry_price] => 2.4044
[stop_loss] => 2.38427
[rr_ratio] => 1.82
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
[closed_at] => 2026-08-11 20:55:00+00
[result] => loss
)
[1.2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 2.441
[entry_price] => 2.4044
[stop_loss] => 2.38244
[rr_ratio] => 1.67
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
[closed_at] => 2026-08-11 22:00:00+00
[result] => win
)
[1.3] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 2.441
[entry_price] => 2.4044
[stop_loss] => 2.38061
[rr_ratio] => 1.54
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
[closed_at] => 2026-08-11 22:00:00+00
[result] => win
)
[1.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 2.441
[entry_price] => 2.4044
[stop_loss] => 2.37695
[rr_ratio] => 1.33
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
[closed_at] => 2026-08-11 22:00:00+00
[result] => win
)
)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.256% | 1.7R | -0.848% | 1.1R | 1.5× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.605% | 2.1R | -0.848% | 1.1R | 1.9× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +1.605% | 2.1R | -0.848% | 1.1R | 1.9× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.605% | 2.1R | -4.209% | 5.5R | 0.4× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.605% | 2.1R | -5.794% | 7.6R | 0.3× | 144 |
computed 1 week ago
Aucun commentaire.