Short Trade on NEAR (CatchTheWave)
With 1165.85 NEAR at 1.606$ per unit. Take profit: 1.5927 (0.85 %) & Stop Loss: 1.6133 (0.43 %)
Short Trade on NEAR (CatchTheWave)
With 1165.85 NEAR at 1.606$ per unit. Take profit: 1.5927 (0.85 %) & Stop Loss: 1.6133 (0.43 %)
Position
Entry 1.6064$
Qty 1165.846 NEAR
Size 1872.8149$ (margin 100$) (leverage 19)
Risk Setup
TP 1.5927 (+0.85%)
TP $ 15.97$
SL 1.6133 (-0.43%)
SL $ 8.04$
RR 1.99
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.4088
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 3.51×ATR |
| 4h | clear | — |
| 1d | near | -0.92×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | late | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bear_low_vol rules_regime : bear_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 2 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bear_medium_confirmed (+1) Tactical (1H) : bear_low (+1) 11/08 19:00 Score : +2 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
5m : 0.421311 15m : 0.370762 |
1H_regime : range_high 15m_regime : bull_medium 5m_regime : bull_low |
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3) 10/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 11/08 16:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 11/08 18:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5070 | r1h: 0.264% · r4h: 2.077% · r1d: 0.26% · r3d: -1.38% · ema21_slope: -0.1182% · dist_ema21: 0.712% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5616 | rs_1h: 0.284% · rs_4h: 1.637% · rs_1d: 0.84% · rs_3d: 0.61% · beta_24h: 1.746 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2193 | rvol_20: 0.59× · zscore_50: -0.313 · trend: -30.43% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6862 | ADX: 24.1 (weak) · Chop: 40.0 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.972% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.224% | 0.5R | -1.127% | 2.6R | 0.2× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.224% | 0.5R | -2.515% | 5.9R | 0.1× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.224% | 0.5R | -3.729% | 8.7R | 0.1× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.224% | 0.5R | -4.787% | 11.1R | 0.1× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.224% | 0.5R | -4.787% | 11.1R | 0.1× | 144 |
computed 1 week ago
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | fading | compression | bear_high |
52%
|
noisy_chop 45% | late | near -0.9ATR | — | 0.56 | bear_high | -4.82% | -0.89 | 10/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | early_expansion | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | expansion | bear_high |
63%
|
noisy_chop 39% | early | — | — | 0.63 | bear_medium | -0.88% | +0.02 | 11/08 16:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | normal | bear_high |
62%
|
noisy_chop 38% | late | — | near -0.5ATR | 0.43 | bear_low | -1.18% | -0.01 | 11/08 18:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | range_medium |
43%
|
noisy_chop 51% | late | — | — | — | range_low | -0.46% | +0.22 | 11/08 18:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | late | 27b | — | 6.543×ATR | p85 | -2.055×ATR | p88 |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | 2b | — | 1.951×ATR | p0 | -0.421×ATR | p25 |
| 1h | ↑ up | late | 8b | — | 3.879×ATR | p82 | +0.675×ATR | p46 |
| 15m | ↓ down | late | 1b | — | 1.203×ATR | p0 | +2.422×ATR | p89 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
63601.3
-0.000696549
63557
0.421311
63832.2
-0.00431257
63557
0.370762
64451.1
-0.0138268
63560
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-09 04:00:00
[1] => 1.632
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-09 05:00:00
[1] => 1.6064
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-09 11:00:00
[1] => 1.6096
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-09 17:00:00
[1] => 1.649
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-09 23:00:00
[1] => 1.5955
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-10 08:00:00
[1] => 1.6681
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-10 22:00:00
[1] => 1.5903
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-11 06:00:00
[1] => 1.6173
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-11 14:00:00
[1] => 1.5371
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-11 23:00:00
[1] => 1.6058
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => downtrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => -1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.012454851164527
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 4.4564439528983
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 9
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 4.4694554680893
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-10 22:15:00
[1] => 1.606
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-11 01:00:00
[1] => 1.6137
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-11 03:30:00
[1] => 1.5943
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-11 06:00:00
[1] => 1.6173
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-11 07:15:00
[1] => 1.5974
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-11 09:15:00
[1] => 1.6128
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-11 10:15:00
[1] => 1.5905
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-11 13:30:00
[1] => 1.5985
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-11 14:45:00
[1] => 1.5371
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-11 23:00:00
[1] => 1.6067
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => range
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.018671811788135
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 4.5084900136621
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 33
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 4.5280072864485
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-11 14:55:00
[1] => 1.5371
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-11 16:25:00
[1] => 1.559
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-11 17:10:00
[1] => 1.547
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-11 18:20:00
[1] => 1.5672
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-11 18:40:00
[1] => 1.5547
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-11 20:10:00
[1] => 1.5804
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-11 22:20:00
[1] => 1.5916
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-11 22:25:00
[1] => 1.6051
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-08-11 23:10:00
[1] => 1.6067
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => uptrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.018671811788135
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.92988187986932
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 10
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.099682262787368
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
1.5371
190
0.4629
0.6302
0.3026
0.2384
0.355
1
0.276
0.4774
0.3243
0.2887
0.6122
0.5189
0.0504
-0.0281
0.6667
1.263
0.3058
0.45
0.55
-1
9
1
0.5231
0.5099
4.7683
0.6
2.9704
5.2803
0.3058
0.4846
0.2218
0.18
-0.0289
0.4905
0.5246
0.6545
0.5189
-4.4511
4.8016
1
0
0
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (2)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 19:14 | 1.60640000 | 0% |
| 2 | 19:26 | 1.61040000 | +0.249% |
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-11 14:55:00 | 1.5371 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-11 16:25:00 | 1.559 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-11 17:10:00 | 1.547 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-11 18:20:00 | 1.5672 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-11 18:40:00 | 1.5547 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-11 20:10:00 | 1.5804 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-11 22:20:00 | 1.5916 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-11 22:25:00 | 1.6051 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-11 23:10:00 | 1.6067 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-10 22:15:00 | 1.606 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-11 01:00:00 | 1.6137 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-11 03:30:00 | 1.5943 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-11 06:00:00 | 1.6173 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-11 07:15:00 | 1.5974 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-11 09:15:00 | 1.6128 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-11 10:15:00 | 1.5905 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-11 13:30:00 | 1.5985 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-11 14:45:00 | 1.5371 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-11 23:00:00 | 1.6067 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-09 04:00:00 | 1.632 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 05:00:00 | 1.6064 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 11:00:00 | 1.6096 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 17:00:00 | 1.649 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-09 23:00:00 | 1.5955 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-10 08:00:00 | 1.6681 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-10 22:00:00 | 1.5903 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-11 06:00:00 | 1.6173 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-11 14:00:00 | 1.5371 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-11 23:00:00 | 1.6058 | ↑ High |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.6064 | 1.6133 | 1.5927 | 1.99 | 1.9483 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 1.6133 - 1.6064 = 0.0068999999999999
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 1.6064 - 1.5927 = 0.0137
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0137 / 0.0068999999999999 = 1.9855
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1872.8149 | 100 | 1165.846 | 19.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 0.0068999999999999 = 1159.42
Taille de position USD = 1159.42 x 1.6064 = 1862.49
Donc, tu peux acheter 1159.42 avec un stoploss a 1.6133
Avec un position size USD de 1862.49$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 1159.42 x 0.0068999999999999 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 1159.42 x 0.0137 = 15.88
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 15.88$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.85 % | 15.97 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.43 % | 8.04 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8.04 $ | -0.43 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.6101 % | 142.05 % | 3 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.6064 | 1.6133 | 1.5927 | 1.99 | 1.9483 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 1.6133 - 1.6064 = 0.0068999999999999
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 1.6064 - 1.5927 = 0.0137
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0137 / 0.0068999999999999 = 1.9855
Array
(
)
Array
(
[1.1] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 1.5927
[entry_price] => 1.6064
[stop_loss] => 1.61399
[rr_ratio] => 1.81
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
[closed_at] => 2026-08-11 23:35:00+00
[result] => loss
)
[1.2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 1.5927
[entry_price] => 1.6064
[stop_loss] => 1.61468
[rr_ratio] => 1.65
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
[closed_at] => 2026-08-11 23:35:00+00
[result] => loss
)
[1.3] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 1.5927
[entry_price] => 1.6064
[stop_loss] => 1.61537
[rr_ratio] => 1.53
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
[closed_at] => 2026-08-11 23:35:00+00
[result] => loss
)
[1.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 1.5927
[entry_price] => 1.6064
[stop_loss] => 1.61675
[rr_ratio] => 1.32
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
[closed_at] => 2026-08-11 23:40:00+00
[result] => loss
)
)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.224% | 0.5R | -1.127% | 2.6R | 0.2× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.224% | 0.5R | -2.515% | 5.9R | 0.1× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.224% | 0.5R | -3.729% | 8.7R | 0.1× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.224% | 0.5R | -4.787% | 11.1R | 0.1× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.224% | 0.5R | -4.787% | 11.1R | 0.1× | 144 |
computed 1 week ago
Aucun commentaire.