Short Trade on KAITO (momentum_pullback_v1)
With 446.18 KAITO at 0.613$ per unit. Take profit: 0.6001 (2.09 %) & Stop Loss: 0.6309 (2.94 %)
11 Aug 2026 at 19:30:10
hyperliquid
KAITO
SHORT
momentum_pullback_v1
hyperliquid
11 Aug 2026 19:30
→ 04:00
· 8 hours
Position
Entry 0.6129$
Qty 446.1796 KAITO
Size 273.4858$ (margin 100$) (leverage 3)
Risk Setup
TP 0.6001 (+2.09%)
TP $ 5.71$
SL 0.6309 (-2.94%)
SL $ 8.03$
RR 0.71
Status
win
PnL
+2.09%
/ +5.71$
MAE -1.69%
MFE +20.98%
7.1R
expires
12 Aug 07:30
V2 Shadow Analysis
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Quality Rank (id: 66259)
#45 / 45
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 11/08/2026 19:00
score du 11/08/2026 19:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.0306
Quality Score
0.379
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
100 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
1
OK
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
14.9M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
11/08 19:16
11/08 19:16
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank
#45 / 45
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+2
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+8
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
2.94 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#45 / 45
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+8
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
2.94 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
2/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | — |
| 4h | near | -0.08×ATR |
| 1d | near | -0.55×ATR |
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
2/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
Regime
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : bear_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 1 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bear_medium_confirmed (+1) Tactical (1H) : bear_low (+1) 11/08 19:00 Score : +2 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high_confirmed (+3) 10/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 11/08 16:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 11/08 19:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1H
Score brut
0.3785
Score SMA
0.3970
Rank
#45
/ 45
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.0306
Rank Norm SMA
0.0364
Calculé le
11/08/2026 19:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.2468 | r1h: 0.288% · r4h: -2.978% · r1d: -5.34% · r3d: -11.92% · ema21_slope: -0.1610% · dist_ema21: -3.120% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.2994 | rs_1h: 0.309% · rs_4h: -3.419% · rs_1d: -4.76% · rs_3d: -9.93% · beta_24h: -0.239 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2449 | rvol_20: 0.76× · zscore_50: -0.664 · trend: -13.98% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5376 | ADX: 23.8 (weak) · Chop: 58.1 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 2.003% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_pullback_v1 (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -2.937%
(0.0180)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.894% | 0.3R | -1.113% | 0.4R | 0.8× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.894% | 0.3R | -1.692% | 0.6R | 0.5× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.894% | 0.3R | -1.692% | 0.6R | 0.5× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.676% | 0.6R | -1.692% | 0.6R | 1.0× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +20.979% | 7.1R | -1.692% | 0.6R | 12.4× | 144 |
computed 1 week ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 2.82
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | fading | expansion | bear_high_confirmed |
51%
|
noisy_chop 42% | mid | near -0.6ATR | — | 0.38 | bear_high | -4.82% | -1.00 | 10/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | fading | compression | bear_high |
51%
|
noisy_chop 42% | late | near -0.1ATR | — | 0.00 | bear_medium | -1.13% | -0.79 | 11/08 16:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | range | range | strong | fading | compression | bear_high |
55%
|
noisy_chop 40% | late | — | — | -0.09 | bear_low | -1.28% | -0.39 | 11/08 19:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | fading | normal | bear_high |
56%
|
noisy_chop 41% | late | near -1.0ATR | — | -0.02 | range_low | -0.60% | -0.33 | 11/08 19:15 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | 13b | — | 6.172×ATR | p78 | -1.766×ATR | p80 |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | 61b | — | 20.241×ATR | p100 | -2.645×ATR | p96 |
| 1h | ↓ down | late | 17b | — | 3.886×ATR | p83 | -2.045×ATR | p85 |
| 15m | ↓ down | late | 2b | — | 1.629×ATR | p0 | -1.833×ATR | p93 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
momentum_pullback_v1 - SELL
Indicators:
- stop_price: 0.63088
- tp_price: 0.60013314
- atr: 0.00512674
- expires_at: 2026-08-12T11:30:10+00:00
Details
- rank: 45
- total: 45
- score: 0.2468
- avg_rank_8h: 41.8
- rank_velocity: 3.2
- pullback_depth_atr: 3.68
- trigger_price: 0.61359
- fip_24h: -0.25
- confidence: 1
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (2)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 19:30 | 0.61295000 | +0.008% |
| 2 | 19:45 | 0.61253000 | -0.06% |
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.6129 | 0.6309 | 0.6001 | 0.71 | 0.3379 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.6129
- Stop Loss: 0.6309
- Take Profit: 0.6001
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.6309 - 0.6129 = 0.018
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.6129 - 0.6001 = 0.0128
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0128 / 0.018 = 0.7111
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 273.4858 | 100 | 446.1796 | 3.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss 0.018
Taille de position = 8 / 0.018 = 444.44
Taille de position USD = 444.44 x 0.6129 = 272.4
Donc, tu peux acheter 444.44 avec un stoploss a 0.6309
Avec un position size USD de 272.4$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 444.44 x 0.018 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 444.44 x 0.0128 = 5.69
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 5.69$
Résumé
- Taille de position 444.44
- Taille de position USD 272.4
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 5.69
- Risk-Reward Ratio 0.7111
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.09 % | 5.71 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.94 % | 8.03 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 5.71 $ | 2.09 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -1.692 % | 57.61 % | 21 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.6129 | 0.6309 | 0.6001 | 0.71 | 0.3379 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.6129
- Stop Loss: 0.6309
- Take Profit: 0.6001
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.6309 - 0.6129 = 0.018
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.6129 - 0.6001 = 0.0128
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0128 / 0.018 = 0.7111
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
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Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_pullback_v1 (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -2.937%
(0.0180)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.894% | 0.3R | -1.113% | 0.4R | 0.8× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.894% | 0.3R | -1.692% | 0.6R | 0.5× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.894% | 0.3R | -1.692% | 0.6R | 0.5× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.676% | 0.6R | -1.692% | 0.6R | 1.0× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +20.979% | 7.1R | -1.692% | 0.6R | 12.4× | 144 |
computed 1 week ago
Commentaires
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