Short Trade on kBONK (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 141643.06 kBONK at 0.00232$ per unit. Take profit: 0.002263 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 0.002377 (2.41 %)
11 Aug 2026 at 21:10:05
hyperliquid
kBONK
SHORT
momentum_rotation_v2
hyperliquid
11 Aug 2026 21:10
→ 03:00
· 5 hours
Position
Entry 0.002321$
Qty 141643.0595 kBONK
Size 328.7535$ (margin 100$) (leverage 3)
Risk Setup
TP 0.002263 (+2.5%)
TP $ 8.22$
SL 0.002377 (-2.41%)
SL $ 7.93$
RR 1.04
Status
win
PnL
+1.21%
/ +3.97$
MAE -1.25%
MFE +1.68%
0.7R
expires
12 Aug 03:10
Exit
time_expired
V2 Shadow Analysis
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Quality Rank (id: 66339)
#10 / 46
OUT
seuil : top 15
score du 11/08/2026 21:00
score du 11/08/2026 21:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.1476
Quality Score
0.579
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
96 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
1
OK
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
1.1M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
11/08 21:01
11/08 21:01
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank
#10 / 46
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
96 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+2
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+8
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
2.41 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#10 / 46
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
96 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+8
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
2.41 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
0/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | — |
| 4h | clear | — |
| 1d | clear | — |
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
Regime
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : bear_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 1 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bear_medium_confirmed (+1) Tactical (1H) : bear_low (+1) 11/08 21:00 Score : +2 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3) 11/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 11/08 20:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 11/08 20:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1H
Score brut
0.5793
Score SMA
0.4794
Rank
#10
/ 46
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.1476
Rank Norm SMA
0.1945
Calculé le
11/08/2026 21:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.3446 | r1h: -0.258% · r4h: 0.086% · r1d: -4.84% · r3d: -7.42% · ema21_slope: -0.1857% · dist_ema21: -0.732% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.3836 | rs_1h: -0.463% · rs_4h: 0.121% · rs_1d: -4.32% · rs_3d: -5.49% · beta_24h: 0.759 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.8516 | rvol_20: 3.05× · zscore_50: 2.123 · trend: 32.52% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7312 | ADX: 44.5 (trend) · Chop: 55.5 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.024% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -2.413%
(0.0001)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.043% | 0.0R | -0.517% | 0.2R | 0.1× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.086% | 0.0R | -0.517% | 0.2R | 0.2× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.474% | 0.2R | -1.250% | 0.5R | 0.4× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +1.680% | 0.7R | -1.250% | 0.5R | 1.3× | 72 |
| 8h | +2.499% | 1.0R | -1.250% | 0.5R | 2.0× | 96 |
| 12h | +3.835% | 1.6R | -1.250% | 0.5R | 3.1× | 144 |
computed 1 week ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 1.22
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
52%
|
noisy_chop 42% | late | — | — | 0.67 | bear_high | -4.75% | -0.95 | 11/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
59%
|
noisy_chop 42% | mid | — | — | 0.46 | bear_medium | -1.12% | -0.45 | 11/08 20:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
62%
|
noisy_chop 41% | early | — | — | 0.26 | bear_low | -1.03% | -0.30 | 11/08 20:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | explosive | compression | bear_medium |
60%
|
noisy_chop 42% | mid | — | — | — | range_low | -0.29% | +0.06 | 11/08 20:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | late | 39b | — | 14.981×ATR | p100 | -3.016×ATR | p97 |
| 4h | ↓ down | mid | 22b | — | 4.522×ATR | p75 | -1.701×ATR | p77 |
| 1h | ↑ up | early | 7b | — | 2.02×ATR | p28 | -0.692×ATR | p46 |
| 15m | ↑ up | mid | 27b | — | 4.608×ATR | p78 | +0.215×ATR | p16 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL
Indicators:
- stop_price: 0.00237748
- tp_price: 0.00226297
- atr: 2.259E-5
- expires_at: 2026-08-12T07:10:05+00:00
Details
- rank: 44
- total: 46
- score: 0.3446
- delta_2h: -0.0281
- extension_atr: -0.54
- trend_phase:
- trend_direction:
- rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.1476
- confidence: 0.956
Signal Details
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.002321 | 0.002377 | 0.002263 | 1.04 | 0.002897 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.002321
- Stop Loss: 0.002377
- Take Profit: 0.002263
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.002377 - 0.002321 = 5.6E-5
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.002321 - 0.002263 = 5.8E-5
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 5.8E-5 / 5.6E-5 = 1.0357
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 328.7535 | 100 | 141643.0595 | 3.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss 5.6E-5
Taille de position = 8 / 5.6E-5 = 142857.14
Taille de position USD = 142857.14 x 0.002321 = 331.57
Donc, tu peux acheter 142857.14 avec un stoploss a 0.002377
Avec un position size USD de 331.57$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 142857.14 x 5.6E-5 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 142857.14 x 5.8E-5 = 8.29
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 8.29$
Résumé
- Taille de position 142857.14
- Taille de position USD 331.57
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 8.29
- Risk-Reward Ratio 1.0357
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.5 % | 8.22 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.41 % | 7.93 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 3.97 $ | 1.21 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -1.2495 % | 51.79 % | 17 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.002321 | 0.002377 | 0.002263 | 1.04 | 0.002897 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.002321
- Stop Loss: 0.002377
- Take Profit: 0.002263
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.002377 - 0.002321 = 5.6E-5
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.002321 - 0.002263 = 5.8E-5
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 5.8E-5 / 5.6E-5 = 1.0357
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -2.413%
(0.0001)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.043% | 0.0R | -0.517% | 0.2R | 0.1× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.086% | 0.0R | -0.517% | 0.2R | 0.2× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.474% | 0.2R | -1.250% | 0.5R | 0.4× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +1.680% | 0.7R | -1.250% | 0.5R | 1.3× | 72 |
| 8h | +2.499% | 1.0R | -1.250% | 0.5R | 2.0× | 96 |
| 12h | +3.835% | 1.6R | -1.250% | 0.5R | 3.1× | 144 |
computed 1 week ago
Commentaires
Aucun commentaire.