Short Trade on LIT

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12 Aug 2026 at 00:10:04 hyperliquid

Short Trade on LIT (momentum_rotation_v2)

With 79.13 LIT at 2.336$ per unit. Take profit: 2.2774 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 2.4369 (4.33 %)

LIT SHORT momentum_rotation_v2 hyperliquid 12 Aug 2026 00:10 → 02:30 · 2 hours

Position

Entry 2.3358$

Qty 79.1256 LIT

Size 184.8215$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)

Risk Setup

TP 2.2774 (+2.5%)

TP $ 4.62$

SL 2.4369 (-4.33%)

SL $ 8$

RR 0.58

Status win PnL +2.50% / +4.62$ MAE -0.00% MFE +3.03% 0.7R expires 12 Aug 06:10

V2 Shadow Analysis

Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?

Quality Rank (id: 66493)

#43 / 44 OK

seuil : top 15
score du 12/08/2026 00:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.3807

Quality Score

0.440

score brut du coin

Signal Confidence

98 % OK

seuil : ≥ 40%

Regime Score

1 OK

seuil : score ≥ 1

Décision V2

WOULD TRADE

rank + confidence + regime

Volume 24h (signal)

20.4M $

volume USDT au moment du signal
12/08 00:02

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank

#43 / 44 OK

seuil : top 15

Signal Confidence

98 % OK

seuil : ≥ 40%

BTC Regime Score

−4 → +4 (macro BTC)

Coin Regime Score

-4

−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)

Combined Regime Score

-3 BLOCKED

seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3

Stop Loss Size

4.33 % OK

seuil : ≥ 0.75%

Décision V3

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank

#43 / 44 OK

seuil : top 15

Signal Confidence

98 % OK

seuil : ≥ 40%

Combined Regime Score

-3 BLOCKED

seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3

Stop Loss Size

4.33 % OK

seuil : ≥ 0.75%

Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)

1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF

TF	Near Demand	Distance (ATR)
1h	clear	0.64×ATR
4h	near	-0.63×ATR
1d	clear	2.46×ATR

Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)

0/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF

TF	Direction	Maturity	Adverse
1h	↓ down	mid	OK
4h	↓ down	early	OK
1d	↑ up	mid	OK

Décision V4

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

Regime

BTC Market Regime	BTC Market Regime V2
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : bear_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 1	ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : range_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : bear_low (+1) 12/08 00:00 Score : +1

BTC Market Regime

BTC Market Regime V2

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : bear_low

rules_regime_5m : range_low

Score : 1

ml_regime : bear_high

Strategic (1D) : range_high (0)

Operational (4H) : range_medium (0)

Tactical (1H) : bear_low (+1)

12/08 00:00

Score : +1

BTC Correlation	Coin Market Regime	Coin Market Regime V2
		Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-3) 11/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (-2) 11/08 20:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 11/08 23:00 Score : -4 / ±6

BTC Correlation

Coin Market Regime

Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-3)

11/08 20:00

Operational (4H) : bull_high (-2)

11/08 20:00

Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1)

11/08 23:00

Score : -4 / ±6

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

Score brut

0.4398

Score SMA

0.6104

Rank

#43 / 44

Rank Norm SMA 8h

0.3807

Rank Norm SMA

0.7518

Calculé le

12/08/2026 00:00

Composante	Poids	Score	Détails
Momentum	30%	0.3151	r1h: -1.064% · r4h: -4.702% · r1d: -6.95% · r3d: 1.73% · ema21_slope: -0.0933% · dist_ema21: -3.941%
Force Relative	25%	0.2926	rs_1h: -1.172% · rs_4h: -5.055% · rs_1d: -6.42% · rs_3d: 3.24% · beta_24h: 0.193
Volume	20%	0.3277	rvol_20: 0.79× · zscore_50: -0.020 · trend: 11.42%
Qualité Tendance	15%	0.7103	ADX: 25.2 (trend) · Chop: 37.9 (trend)
Volatilité	10%	1.0000	ATR%: 1.859% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -4.328% (0.1011)

Horizon	MFE %	MFE R	MAE %	MAE R	MFE/MAE	Candles
1h	+1.494%	0.4R	-0.000%	0.0R	—	12
2h	+1.661%	0.4R	-0.000%	0.0R	—	24
4h	+3.027%	0.7R	-0.000%	0.0R	—	48
6h ★	+3.027%	0.7R	-0.000%	0.0R	—	72
8h	+3.027%	0.7R	-0.000%	0.0R	—	96
12h	+5.553%	1.3R	-0.608%	0.1R	9.1×	144

computed 2 weeks ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: 30

ML Pullback Score: 0.28

Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

TF	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à
1d	↑ up	range	range	moderate	fading	compression	bull_high	68%	noisy_chop 39%	mid	—	—	—	bear_high	-4.75%	+0.88	11/08 20:00
4h	↑ up	early_expansion	bullish_transition	moderate	grind	expansion	bull_high	62%	noisy_chop 32%	early	near -0.6ATR	near 0.1ATR	0.31	bear_medium	-0.77%	+0.38	11/08 20:00
1h	↔ neutral	range	range	moderate	grind	expansion	bear_high	54%	noisy_chop 42%	mid	—	—	0.32	bear_low	-0.84%	-0.43	11/08 23:00
15m	↓ down	range	range	moderate	grind	normal	bear_high	55%	choppy 53%	late	—	—	0.20	range_low	-0.11%	-0.49	11/08 23:45
5m	—

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF	Direction	Maturity	Age (bars)	Age since BOS	Amplitude	Amp. %ile	Extension	Ext. %ile
1d	↑ up	mid	9b	—	2.703×ATR	p13	+1.105×ATR	p62
4h	↓ down	early	3b	—	2.473×ATR	p30	-0.402×ATR	p22
1h	↓ down	mid	8b	—	2.987×ATR	p69	-1.519×ATR	p78
15m	↓ down	late	23b	—	7.662×ATR	p96	-3.249×ATR	p98

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL

Indicators:

stop_price: 2.43690512
tp_price: 2.277405
atr: 0.04044205
expires_at: 2026-08-12T10:10:04+00:00

Details

rank: 44
total: 45
score: 0.3151
delta_2h: -0.1399
extension_atr: -1.49
trend_phase:
trend_direction:
rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.3807
confidence: 0.977

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry	Stop Loss	Take Profit	RR	Current Price
2.3358	2.4369	2.2774	0.58	3.7523

Details

Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

Entry 2.3358
Stop Loss: 2.4369
Take Profit: 2.2774

Calcul:

Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

SL - E = 2.4369 - 2.3358 = 0.1011
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

E - TP = 2.3358 - 2.2774 = 0.0584
Risk-Reward Ratio:

RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0584 / 0.1011 = 0.5776

📌 Position Size

Amount	Margin	Quantity	Leverage
184.8215	100	79.1256	2.00

Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

Account Size 100
Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

Risk Amount 8
Distance Stop Loss 0.1011

Taille de position = 8 / 0.1011 = 79.13

Taille de position USD = 79.13 x 2.3358 = 184.83

Donc, tu peux acheter 79.13 avec un stoploss a 2.4369

Avec un position size USD de 184.83$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 79.13 x 0.1011 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 79.13 x 0.0584 = 4.62

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 4.62$

Résumé

Taille de position 79.13
Taille de position USD 184.83
Perte potentielle 8
Gain potentiel 4.62
Risk-Reward Ratio 0.5776

📌 Peformances

TP % Target	TP $ Target
2.5 %	4.62 $

SL % Target	SL $ Target
4.33 %	8 $

PNL	PNL %
4.62 $	2.50

Max Drawdown	Max Drawdown / SL Ratio	Candles in Entry
0 %	0 %	0

Entry	Stop Loss	Take Profit	RR	Current Price
2.3358	2.4369	2.2774	0.58	3.7523

Details

Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

Entry 2.3358
Stop Loss: 2.4369
Take Profit: 2.2774

Calcul:

Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

SL - E = 2.4369 - 2.3358 = 0.1011
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

E - TP = 2.3358 - 2.2774 = 0.0584
Risk-Reward Ratio:

RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0584 / 0.1011 = 0.5776

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data


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Extra SL data


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MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -4.328% (0.1011)

Horizon	MFE %	MFE R	MAE %	MAE R	MFE/MAE	Candles
1h	+1.494%	0.4R	-0.000%	0.0R	—	12
2h	+1.661%	0.4R	-0.000%	0.0R	—	24
4h	+3.027%	0.7R	-0.000%	0.0R	—	48
6h ★	+3.027%	0.7R	-0.000%	0.0R	—	72
8h	+3.027%	0.7R	-0.000%	0.0R	—	96
12h	+5.553%	1.3R	-0.608%	0.1R	9.1×	144

computed 2 weeks ago

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