12 Aug 2026 at 01:21:25 hyperliquid

Long Trade on FARTCOIN (BalanceBreakoutRegime)

With 3130.76 FARTCOIN at 0.138$ per unit. Take profit: 0.1443 (4.57 %) & Stop Loss: 0.1354 (1.88 %)

FARTCOIN LONG BalanceBreakoutRegime hyperliquid 12 Aug 2026 01:21 → 02:25 · 1 hour

Position

Entry 0.138$

Qty 3130.7601 FARTCOIN

Size 431.9197$ (margin 100$) (leverage 4)

Risk Setup

TP 0.1443 (+4.57%)

TP $ 19.72$

SL 0.1354 (-1.88%)

SL $ 8.14$

RR 2.42

Status loss PnL -1.88% / -8.14$ MAE -5.41% MFE +0.18% 0.1R expires 12 Aug 13:21

V2 Shadow Analysis

Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?

Quality Rank (id: 66527)
#11 / 44 OK
seuil : top 15
score du 12/08/2026 01:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.7732

Quality Score
0.569
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
84 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
0 BLOCKED
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
7.8M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
12/08 01:16

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank
#11 / 44 OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
84 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
-1
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
0
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
-1 BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
1.88 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#11 / 44 OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
84 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
-1 BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
1.88 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
2/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Supply Distance (ATR)
1h near 0.25×ATR
4h near -0.17×ATR
1d clear 4.64×ATR
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
0/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↑ up early OK
4h ↑ up early OK
1d ↑ up early OK
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

Regime

BTC Market Regime BTC Market Regime V2

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : bear_low

rules_regime_5m : range_low

Score : 0

ml_regime : bear_high

Strategic (1D) : range_high (0)

Operational (4H) : range_medium (0)

Tactical (1H) : bear_low (-1)

12/08 01:00

Score : -1

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3)

11/08 20:00

Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2)

12/08 00:00

Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1)

12/08 00:00

Score : 0 / ±6

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1H
Score brut
0.5685
Score SMA
0.5520
Rank
#11 / 44
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.7732
Rank Norm SMA
0.6639
Calculé le
12/08/2026 01:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.5934 r1h: 0.459% · r4h: 1.546% · r1d: 2.24% · r3d: 5.73% · ema21_slope: 0.0455% · dist_ema21: 1.514%
Force Relative 25% 0.6500 rs_1h: 0.569% · rs_4h: 1.529% · rs_1d: 2.68% · rs_3d: 7.31% · beta_24h: 2.457
Volume 20% 0.1976 rvol_20: 0.40× · zscore_50: -0.481 · trend: -27.76%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.5896 ADX: 16.2 (weak) · Chop: 43.8 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 1.0000 ATR%: 1.294% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★ 12h) Initial Risk: -1.884% (0.0026)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.181% 0.1R -1.312% 0.7R 0.1× 12
2h +0.181% 0.1R -2.529% 1.3R 0.1× 24
4h +0.181% 0.1R -3.044% 1.6R 0.1× 48
8h +0.181% 0.1R -3.377% 1.8R 0.1× 96
12h ★ +0.181% 0.1R -5.406% 2.9R 0.0× 144
24h +0.181% 0.1R -6.949% 3.7R 0.0× 288

computed 2 weeks ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.12
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↔ neutral range range moderate fading compression bear_high
60%
noisy_chop 38% early 0.61 bear_high -4.75% +0.43 11/08 20:00
4h ↔ neutral range range moderate explosive expansion bull_high
63%
noisy_chop 40% early near -0.2ATR 0.60 range_medium -0.70% +0.60 12/08 00:00
1h ↑ up transition bullish_transition moderate balanced normal bull_high
61%
noisy_chop 40% early near 0.3ATR 0.42 bear_low -0.90% +0.10 12/08 00:00
15m ↑ up transition bullish_transition strong grind compression bull_medium
65%
noisy_chop 43% mid near -0.1ATR 0.50 range_low -0.17% +0.15 12/08 00:45
5m

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↑ up early 14b 2.234×ATR p0 +0.488×ATR p31
4h ↑ up early 4b 2.061×ATR p0 +0.873×ATR p56
1h ↑ up early 4b 1.423×ATR p0 +0.871×ATR p55
15m ↑ up mid 18b 4.107×ATR p72 +1.273×ATR p66

Maturitylate : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

BalanceBreakoutRegime - BUY

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: 1
  2. confidence: 0.8444
  3. reason: up_bo width=2.64×ATR dur=46b phase=fresh
  4. stop_price: 0.13540471
  5. tp_price: 0.14434823
  6. atr:
  7. score: 0.84435
  8. expires_at: 2026-08-12T17:21:18.251990
  9. max_bars: 12
  10. max_bars_tf: 1h
  11. confidence_pre_ob: 0.84435
Details
  1. 1H:
  2. 15m:
  3. 5m:
  4. btc_indicators
  5. ¸
  6. market_structures
  7. ¸
  8. market_structure_v2
  9. ¸
  10. trend_analyzer_1h
  11. ¸
  12. orderbook_context
  13. obi_top5 : 0.0974
  14. obi_top10 : -0.0225
  15. micro_price : 0.13806386
  16. spread_pct : 0.072464
  17. mid_price : 0.13805
  18. bid_wall_price : 0.137
  19. bid_wall_size : 2159487.58
  20. bid_wall_dist_atr :
  21. ask_wall_price : 0.139
  22. ask_wall_size : 1967402.34
  23. ask_wall_dist_atr :
  24. snapshots_count : 5
  25. obi_top5_mean : 0.1009
  26. obi_top5_std : 0.0071
  27. pressure_side : neutral
  28. collection_mode : ws_rolling
  29. collection_ms : 6905
  30. aggregation_tick : 0.001
  31. error :
  32. ¸
  33. strategy_details
  34. strategy : balance_breakout_regime_strict
  35. strategy_details
  36. balance_zone_top:
    0.13782
  37. balance_zone_bottom:
    0.13333
  38. balance_zone_mid:
    0.135575
  39. balance_zone_start_time:
    1786348800
  40. balance_zone_end_time:
    1786510800
  41. balance_zone_width_atr:
    2.6366
  42. balance_zone_duration_bars:
    46
  43. balance_zone_quality: tight
  44. balance_zone_maturity: established
  45. balance_zone_confidence:
    0.8444
  46. balance_zone_state: leaving_balance
  47. balance_zone_breakout_direction: up
  48. balance_zone_breakout_phase: fresh
  49. balance_zone_breakout_time:
    1786507200
  50. balance_zone_breakout_price:
    0.13782
  51. strategy_details
  52. balance_metrics_inside_close_ratio:
    0.8261
  53. balance_metrics_bars_since_breakout:
    1
  54. balance_metrics_distance_to_edge_atr:
    0.0822
  55. balance_metrics_has_retested:
    1
  56. balance_metrics_retest_count:
    1
  57. balance_metrics_touch_upper:
    12
  58. balance_metrics_touch_lower:
    5
  59. regime : bull_high
  60. atr_entry : 0.00170293
  61. ¸

Signal Details

duration_bars
46
inside_close_ratio
0.8261
bars_since_breakout
1
distance_to_edge_atr
0.0822

Signaux confirmants (3)

# Heure Entry Δ
1 01:21 0.13796000 -0.029%
2 01:27 0.13796000 -0.029%
3 01:34 0.13796000 -0.029%

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

Orderbook Context

→ neutral ws_rolling 5 snapshots 6905ms Confidence avant OB : 84%84%

Order Book Imbalance

OBI Top 5 0.097
avg 0.101 ± 0.007
OBI Top 10 -0.023

Microstructure

Mid Price
0.1381
Micro Price
0.1381
Spread
0.0725%

↑ Bid Wall (Support)

Price
0.1370
Size
2,159,487.58

↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)

Price
0.1390
Size
1,967,402.34

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.138 0.1354 0.1443 2.42 0.2072
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.138
  • Stop Loss: 0.1354
  • Take Profit: 0.1443

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.1354 - 0.138 = -0.0026

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.138 - 0.1443 = -0.0063

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0063 / -0.0026 = 2.4231

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
431.9197 100 3130.7601 4.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss -0.0026

Taille de position = 8 / -0.0026 = -3076.92

Taille de position USD = -3076.92 x 0.138 = -424.61

Donc, tu peux acheter -3076.92 avec un stoploss a 0.1354

Avec un position size USD de -424.61$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = -3076.92 x -0.0026 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = -3076.92 x -0.0063 = 19.38

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 19.38$

Résumé

  • Taille de position -3076.92
  • Taille de position USD -424.61
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 19.38
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2.4231

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
4.57 % 19.72 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
1.88 % 8.14 $
PNL PNL %
-8.14 $ -1.88
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-2.1377 % 113.46 % 2
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.138 0.1354 0.1443 2.42 0.2072
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.138
  • Stop Loss: 0.1354
  • Take Profit: 0.1443

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.1354 - 0.138 = -0.0026

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.138 - 0.1443 = -0.0063

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0063 / -0.0026 = 2.4231

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.1443
            [entry_price] => 0.138
            [stop_loss] => 0.13514
            [rr_ratio] => 2.2
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2026-08-12 06:25:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.1443
            [entry_price] => 0.138
            [stop_loss] => 0.13488
            [rr_ratio] => 2.02
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2026-08-12 06:50:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.1443
            [entry_price] => 0.138
            [stop_loss] => 0.13462
            [rr_ratio] => 1.86
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
            [closed_at] => 2026-08-12 06:50:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.1443
            [entry_price] => 0.138
            [stop_loss] => 0.1341
            [rr_ratio] => 1.62
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-08-12 07:40:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★ 12h) Initial Risk: -1.884% (0.0026)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.181% 0.1R -1.312% 0.7R 0.1× 12
2h +0.181% 0.1R -2.529% 1.3R 0.1× 24
4h +0.181% 0.1R -3.044% 1.6R 0.1× 48
8h +0.181% 0.1R -3.377% 1.8R 0.1× 96
12h ★ +0.181% 0.1R -5.406% 2.9R 0.0× 144
24h +0.181% 0.1R -6.949% 3.7R 0.0× 288

computed 2 weeks ago

Commentaires

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