Long Trade on BNB (CatchTheWave)
With 10.24 BNB at 613.2$ per unit. Take profit: 614.7624 (0.25 %) & Stop Loss: 612.4188 (0.13 %)
Long Trade on BNB (CatchTheWave)
With 10.24 BNB at 613.2$ per unit. Take profit: 614.7624 (0.25 %) & Stop Loss: 612.4188 (0.13 %)
Position
Entry 613.2$
Qty 10.2406 BNB
Size 6279.5229$ (margin 100$) (leverage 63)
Risk Setup
TP 614.7624 (+0.25%)
TP $ 16$
SL 612.4188 (-0.13%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.8376
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 1.45×ATR |
| 4h | clear | — |
| 1d | near | -2.38×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : bear_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : range_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : bear_low (-1) 12/08 01:00 Score : -1 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
5m : 0.23873 15m : 0.488422 |
1H_regime : bull_medium 15m_regime : range_low 5m_regime : range_low |
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+3) 11/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 12/08 00:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_medium (+1) 12/08 01:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5549 | r1h: 0.227% · r4h: -0.455% · r1d: 2.47% · r3d: 2.19% · ema21_slope: 0.0841% · dist_ema21: 0.490% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5721 | rs_1h: 0.337% · rs_4h: -0.473% · rs_1d: 2.91% · rs_3d: 3.78% · beta_24h: 0.641 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2691 | rvol_20: 0.53× · zscore_50: -0.221 · trend: 9.14% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7684 | ADX: 32.2 (trend) · Chop: 35.5 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.466% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.127% | 1.0R | -0.713% | 5.6R | 0.2× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.127% | 1.0R | -0.713% | 5.6R | 0.2× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.127% | 1.0R | -0.713% | 5.6R | 0.2× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.349% | 2.7R | -0.713% | 5.6R | 0.5× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.349% | 2.7R | -0.745% | 5.9R | 0.5× | 144 |
computed 2 weeks ago
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | fading | compression | bull_high |
64%
|
noisy_chop 43% | late | — | near -2.4ATR | 0.83 | bear_high | -4.75% | +0.79 | 11/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | grind | expansion | bull_high |
61%
|
noisy_chop 46% | late | — | — | 0.80 | bear_medium | -0.83% | +0.39 | 12/08 00:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | early_expansion | bullish_transition | moderate | balanced | expansion | bull_medium |
64%
|
noisy_chop 43% | early | — | — | 0.57 | bear_low | -0.80% | +0.19 | 12/08 01:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | range | bearish_transition | strong | explosive | compression | range_low |
35%
|
noisy_chop 47% | mid | — | — | 0.49 | range_low | -0.05% | -0.07 | 12/08 01:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | late | 19b | — | 4.783×ATR | p65 | +1.84×ATR | p88 |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | 9b | — | 3.269×ATR | p49 | +1.705×ATR | p91 |
| 1h | ↓ down | early | 4b | — | 2.196×ATR | p29 | +0.969×ATR | p51 |
| 15m | ↓ down | mid | 5b | — | 1.751×ATR | p7 | -1.182×ATR | p60 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
63723.5
0.00141901
63814
0.23873
63794
0.000312867
63814
0.488422
64366.5
-0.00900395
63787
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0.68
0.2256
0.4829
0.6344
0.9127
0.8309
-2.1747
10.6867
1
0
0
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (2)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 01:30 | 613.20000000 | 0% |
| 2 | 02:06 | 610.61000000 | -0.422% |
Market Structure Score: 2
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-11 22:55:00 | 614.49 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-11 23:50:00 | 617.38 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-12 00:25:00 | 614.38 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-12 01:10:00 | 620.15 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-12 01:30:00 | 615.58 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-12 01:50:00 | 619.37 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-12 04:05:00 | 612.48 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-12 04:20:00 | 615.41 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-12 04:55:00 | 614.59 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-12 05:25:00 | 613.2 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-11 07:00:00 | 598.2 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-11 11:15:00 | 606.44 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-11 12:00:00 | 614.88 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-11 15:30:00 | 605.23 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-11 18:15:00 | 610.6 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-11 18:30:00 | 607.97 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-11 21:00:00 | 613.36 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-12 01:00:00 | 620.15 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-12 04:00:00 | 612.48 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-12 05:30:00 | 613.2 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-09 22:00:00 | 610.99 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-10 04:00:00 | 601.05 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-10 10:00:00 | 606.69 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-10 17:00:00 | 597.46 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-10 23:00:00 | 598.22 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-11 07:00:00 | 598.2 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-11 12:00:00 | 614.88 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-11 15:00:00 | 605.23 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-12 01:00:00 | 620.15 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-12 04:00:00 | 612.48 | ↓ Low |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 613.2 | 612.4188 | 614.7624 | 2 | 706.22 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 612.4188 - 613.2 = -0.78120000000001
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 613.2 - 614.7624 = -1.5623999999999
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -1.5623999999999 / -0.78120000000001 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 6279.5229 | 100 | 10.2406 | 63.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.78120000000001 = -10.24
Taille de position USD = -10.24 x 613.2 = -6279.17
Donc, tu peux acheter -10.24 avec un stoploss a 612.4188
Avec un position size USD de -6279.17$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -10.24 x -0.78120000000001 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -10.24 x -1.5623999999999 = 16
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.25 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.13 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -0.13 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.7127 % | 559.42 % | 2 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 613.2 | 612.4188 | 614.7624 | 2 | 706.22 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 612.4188 - 613.2 = -0.78120000000001
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 613.2 - 614.7624 = -1.5623999999999
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -1.5623999999999 / -0.78120000000001 = 2
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.127% | 1.0R | -0.713% | 5.6R | 0.2× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.127% | 1.0R | -0.713% | 5.6R | 0.2× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.127% | 1.0R | -0.713% | 5.6R | 0.2× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.349% | 2.7R | -0.713% | 5.6R | 0.5× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.349% | 2.7R | -0.745% | 5.9R | 0.5× | 144 |
computed 2 weeks ago
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