Long Trade on TAO (CatchTheWave)
With 13.9 TAO at 203.15$ per unit. Take profit: 204.3012 (0.57 %) & Stop Loss: 202.5744 (0.28 %)
Long Trade on TAO (CatchTheWave)
With 13.9 TAO at 203.15$ per unit. Take profit: 204.3012 (0.57 %) & Stop Loss: 202.5744 (0.28 %)
Position
Entry 203.15$
Qty 13.8986 TAO
Size 2823.5106$ (margin 100$) (leverage 28)
Risk Setup
TP 204.3012 (+0.57%)
TP $ 16$
SL 202.5744 (-0.28%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.7659
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | -0.67×ATR |
| 4h | clear | 0.90×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 6.71×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 1d | ↑ up | early | OK |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : bear_low rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : bear_high Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) Operational (4H) : bear_medium_confirmed (-1) Tactical (1H) : bear_low (-1) 12/08 02:00 Score : -2 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
5m : 0.480589 15m : 0.662973 |
1H_regime : bull_high 15m_regime : range_medium 5m_regime : range_low |
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3) 11/08 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 12/08 00:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 12/08 01:00 Score : 0 / ±6 |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5109 | r1h: -0.103% · r4h: -0.556% · r1d: 2.28% · r3d: -1.24% · ema21_slope: 0.0714% · dist_ema21: 0.810% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5117 | rs_1h: -0.222% · rs_4h: -0.602% · rs_1d: 2.53% · rs_3d: 0.23% · beta_24h: 1.598 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1835 | rvol_20: 0.30× · zscore_50: -0.781 · trend: -23.31% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6771 | ADX: 21.8 (weak) · Chop: 38.7 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.904% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.182% | 0.6R | -0.286% | 1.0R | 0.6× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.266% | 0.9R | -0.458% | 1.6R | 0.6× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +1.078% | 3.8R | -0.458% | 1.6R | 2.4× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.078% | 3.8R | -1.403% | 5.0R | 0.8× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.078% | 3.8R | -2.432% | 8.6R | 0.4× | 144 |
computed 2 weeks ago
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | fading | compression | bear_high |
59%
|
noisy_chop 31% | early | near -1.4ATR | — | 0.60 | bear_high | -4.75% | +0.59 | 11/08 20:00 |
| 4h | ↔ neutral | range | bearish_transition | moderate | fading | expansion | bull_high |
55%
|
noisy_chop 37% | early | — | — | 0.70 | bear_medium | -0.83% | +0.20 | 12/08 00:00 |
| 1h | ↔ neutral | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | balanced | normal | bull_high |
59%
|
noisy_chop 41% | late | — | near -0.7ATR | 0.46 | range_low | -0.75% | +0.22 | 12/08 01:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | compression | bull_medium |
58%
|
noisy_chop 38% | mid | — | — | — | range_low | -0.03% | -0.05 | 12/08 01:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | early | 15b | — | 2.162×ATR | p0 | +0.461×ATR | p21 |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | 3b | — | 2.061×ATR | p8 | +0.755×ATR | p56 |
| 1h | ↑ up | late | 10b | — | 4.052×ATR | p86 | +0.893×ATR | p59 |
| 15m | ↓ down | mid | 12b | — | 2.567×ATR | p58 | -0.442×ATR | p23 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
63733.7
-0.00109476
63664
0.480589
63792.3
-0.00176049
63680
0.662973
64368.7
-0.0105917
63687
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205.96
195
0.7157
0.6772
0.2974
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0.3758
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0.5896
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0.6039
0.6401
0.1504
0.068
1
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1.0907
0.55
0.45
1
4
1
0.5968
0.5999
4.9306
0.6
1.2668
4.9146
1.0907
0.1284
0.3694
0.2
0.1613
0.4639
0.4697
0.5547
0.6401
-4.3686
7.7692
1
0
0
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (3)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 02:21 | 203.15000000 | 0% |
| 2 | 02:57 | 202.79000000 | -0.177% |
| 3 | 03:04 | 202.76000000 | -0.192% |
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-12 01:35:00 | 204.52 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-12 02:10:00 | 204.57 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-12 02:20:00 | 204.57 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-12 02:30:00 | 205.96 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-12 03:10:00 | 204.82 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-12 03:55:00 | 204.92 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-12 04:20:00 | 205.91 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-12 05:25:00 | 203.44 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-12 05:50:00 | 204.13 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-12 06:20:00 | 202.97 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-11 08:15:00 | 198.73 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-11 11:00:00 | 202.29 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-11 12:15:00 | 200.74 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-11 13:00:00 | 203.93 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-11 15:30:00 | 197 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-11 19:00:00 | 196.32 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-11 22:30:00 | 199.95 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-12 02:30:00 | 205.96 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-12 04:15:00 | 205.91 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-12 06:15:00 | 203.08 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-09 11:00:00 | 202.72 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-09 15:00:00 | 210.67 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-10 00:00:00 | 200.8 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-10 12:00:00 | 206.03 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-11 01:00:00 | 198.4 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-11 08:00:00 | 198.73 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-11 13:00:00 | 203.93 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-11 19:00:00 | 196.32 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-12 02:00:00 | 205.96 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-12 06:00:00 | 203.23 | ↓ Low |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 203.15 | 202.5744 | 204.3012 | 2 | 236.14 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 202.5744 - 203.15 = -0.57560000000001
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 203.15 - 204.3012 = -1.1512
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -1.1512 / -0.57560000000001 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2823.5106 | 100 | 13.8986 | 28.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.57560000000001 = -13.9
Taille de position USD = -13.9 x 203.15 = -2823.79
Donc, tu peux acheter -13.9 avec un stoploss a 202.5744
Avec un position size USD de -2823.79$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -13.9 x -0.57560000000001 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -13.9 x -1.1512 = 16
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.57 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.28 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -0.28 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.2855 % | 100.78 % | 6 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 203.15 | 202.5744 | 204.3012 | 2 | 236.14 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 202.5744 - 203.15 = -0.57560000000001
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 203.15 - 204.3012 = -1.1512
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -1.1512 / -0.57560000000001 = 2
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.182% | 0.6R | -0.286% | 1.0R | 0.6× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.266% | 0.9R | -0.458% | 1.6R | 0.6× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +1.078% | 3.8R | -0.458% | 1.6R | 2.4× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.078% | 3.8R | -1.403% | 5.0R | 0.8× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.078% | 3.8R | -2.432% | 8.6R | 0.4× | 144 |
computed 2 weeks ago
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